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Varese vs Cantu Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 05 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#10
Record9-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#11
Record9-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.0
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Varese v Cantu
07 Feb 2027
VAR v KAN
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
VAR91
KAN82
11 Oct 2020
VAR80
KAN90
04 Sep 2020
VAR84
KAN77
05 Apr 2020
VAR v KAN
upcoming
25 Dec 2018
VAR89
KAN71
16 Oct 2017
VAR95
KAN64
03 Dec 2016
VAR82
KAN92
03 Jan 2016
VAR79
KAN66
12 Oct 2014
VAR93
KAN84
15 Dec 2013
VAR77
KAN82
29 Oct 2012
VAR77
KAN73
30 Dec 2011
VAR67
KAN83
22 May 2011
VAR69
KAN75
16 Jan 2011
VAR82
KAN65
09 Jan 2010
VAR81
KAN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A26/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
24-20
21-15
20-15
14-14
21-23
12-17
20-20
25-24
31-30
26-20
21-13
24-18
17-29
16-24
15-22
26-14
18-19
24-15
23-12
16-20
20-26
17-19
28-21
23-17
14-27
22-11
25-24
25-28
18-22
27-25
17-18
20-20
22-18
33-21
16-26
20-24
28-20
13-20
15-15
165.6Avg total
85.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.680.1162.7+2.547%
Season at home (9)88.376.7165.0+11.778%
Season away (10)77.583.2160.7-5.720%
Last 10 (10)85.180.5165.6+4.650%
Last 5 (5)83.884.4168.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.286.2159.5-13.00%
vs Similar (11)81.086.7167.7-5.727%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.373.1156.5+10.267%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A22/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
23-21
17-12
20-20
20-17
15-24
21-17
21-16
20-27
33-23
20-17
23-19
21-17
27-18
17-13
22-24
28-23
18-27
19-31
17-12
22-19
26-17
13-26
28-21
21-24
22-23
29-20
12-17
18-18
17-28
12-19
26-20
22-21
17-20
21-16
21-20
16-17
20-21
19-15
16-26
163.1Avg total
82.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.779.0155.7-2.345%
Season at home (10)78.581.5160.0-3.040%
Season away (10)74.876.5151.3-1.750%
Last 10 (10)82.280.9163.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)81.283.4164.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.583.6161.1-6.136%
vs Similar (11)81.379.3160.5+2.064%
vs Weaker (5)78.874.2153.0+4.660%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
VareseCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/01
Lega A
87.2Avg total
44.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.379.9+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.678.5+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.981.3-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.287.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.485.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.043.277.2-9.20%-
vs Similar (11)40.041.381.3-1.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.836.779.5+6.173%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A05/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/02
Lega A
83.9Avg total
42.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.180.9+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.580.5-0.433%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.781.3+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.983.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.681.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.141.982.0-1.929%-
vs Similar (11)41.038.979.9+2.145%-
vs Weaker (5)42.837.480.2+5.480%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.116.0
56.9%
52.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.4
38.2%
35.1%37.2
🏀 Free throws18.314.9
81.4%
73.6%14.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.024.3
63.9%
52.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.0
70.2%
73.6%12.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWLWLWLW
Cantu
LWLLWLWWWW
#10
League position
#11
+6.7
Net rating
+10.5
122.5
Offensive rating
128.2
115.8
Defensive rating
117.8
57.1%
Effective FG%
59.1%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
38.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.2%
3-point %
34.6%
59.5%
Assist %
43.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence122.5 · 128.2Defence115.8 · 117.8Shooting57.1% · 59.1%3-point %38.2% · 34.6%Ball care15.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.7% · 38.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
08/12/19Cantu v Varese74-67
20/04/19Cantu v Varese84-75
25/12/18Varese v Cantu89-71
05/02/18Cantu v Varese85-89
16/10/17Varese v Cantu95-64
02/04/17Cantu v Varese72-85
03/12/16Varese v Cantu82-92
04/05/16Cantu v Varese89-79
03/01/16Varese v Cantu79-66
26/01/15Cantu v Varese91-83
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/20AFortitudo Bologna76-79
19/01/20HTrieste91-85
12/01/20ASassari87-93
05/01/20ATreviso84-79
29/12/19HTrento81-86
26/12/19HPistoia91-60
21/12/19ACremona72-93
15/12/19HPesaro103-87
08/12/19ACantu67-74
01/12/19HVirtus Roma99-69
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20ATrento71-79
02/02/20HVenezia81-77
25/01/20AReggiana73-85
12/01/20HBrindisi92-93 OT
05/01/20AOlimpia Milano89-83
29/12/19HBrescia82-93
26/12/19APesaro87-72
22/12/19ATrieste96-86
15/12/19HTreviso77-74
08/12/19HVarese74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%78%20%
Points / game82.688.377.5
Allowed / game80.176.783.2
Point differential+2.5+11.7-5.7
Avg total162.7165.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%56%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWWLLW40%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game76.778.574.8
Allowed / game79.081.576.5
Point differential-2.4-3.0-1.7
Avg total155.7160.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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