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Varese vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-82
18-21 25-19 27-17 21-25
Position#8
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game91.9
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record3-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game91.4
ItalyLega ARound 8· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Varese v Cantu
07 Feb 2027
VAR v KAN
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
VAR91
KAN82
11 Oct 2020
VAR80
KAN90
04 Sep 2020
VAR84
KAN77
05 Apr 2020
VAR v KAN
upcoming
25 Dec 2018
VAR89
KAN71
16 Oct 2017
VAR95
KAN64
03 Dec 2016
VAR82
KAN92
03 Jan 2016
VAR79
KAN66
12 Oct 2014
VAR93
KAN84
15 Dec 2013
VAR77
KAN82
29 Oct 2012
VAR77
KAN73
30 Dec 2011
VAR67
KAN83
22 May 2011
VAR69
KAN75
16 Jan 2011
VAR82
KAN65
09 Jan 2010
VAR81
KAN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-104
67
104
-37
58avg 74
A27/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
73avg 74
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
49avg 74
A11/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
105-102
105
102
+3
100avg 74
A05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 74
H11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
79-103
79
103
-24
68avg 74
A19/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
74-85
74
85
-11
71avg 74
H25/10
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 74
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
77avg 74
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 74
A09/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
13-32
20-35
17-24
19-19
20-16
27-22
19-23
21-20
20-23
14-18
9-22
27-24
27-25
28-29
23-24
17-28
15-22
20-24
9-20
22-28
22-28
18-20
17-27
22-17
18-24
18-21
16-23
23-25
16-21
18-19
18-21
23-16
12-23
19-14
23-30
23-23
25-17
24-31
15-19
168.4Avg total
77.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.791.9171.6-12.114%
Season at home (3)70.787.3158.0-16.70%
Season away (4)86.595.2181.8-8.825%
Last 10 (10)77.491.0168.4-13.620%
Last 5 (5)78.489.4167.8-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)80.292.5172.7-12.224%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.390.2177.6-2.944%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
81avg 72
A08/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
74-66
74
66
+8
67avg 72
A10/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
71avg 72
H13/06
Serie A2
Trento
#9
L
69-109
69
109
-40
50avg 72
A05/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
81avg 72
H12/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
52avg 72
H19/10
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
94-104
94
104
-10
87avg 72
A26/10
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
91-83
91
83
+8
88avg 72
H02/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
84-100
84
100
-16
74avg 72
A06/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
82avg 72
H09/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
21-20
23-18
27-25
19-23
11-14
19-21
25-8
18-19
18-17
15-25
34-19
15-24
15-22
12-29
27-34
20-20
21-27
20-14
22-17
17-19
20-25
15-23
11-14
27-29
11-28
26-28
30-19
23-24
24-20
22-18
22-21
20-27
17-28
23-18
24-27
20-17
21-24
13-20
21-14
168.7Avg total
81.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.091.4173.4-9.443%
Season at home (4)81.881.8163.5+0.075%
Season away (3)82.3104.3186.7-22.00%
Last 10 (10)81.986.8168.7-4.960%
Last 5 (5)84.490.6175.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.293.0170.2-15.825%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.980.9164.8+3.082%
vs Weaker (15)80.072.1152.1+7.967%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -6.7-6.7Q4: +4.5+4.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -6.7-6.7Q4: +4.5+4.5
VareseCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A27/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A19/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A09/11
Lega A
84.6Avg total
40.2Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.886.6-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.941.182.0-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)44.646.190.7-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.244.484.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.485.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)41.745.487.1-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.639.985.4+5.778%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A10/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H13/06
Serie A2
Trento
#9
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A05/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H12/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H19/10
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A26/10
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H02/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A06/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H09/11
Lega A
81.9Avg total
37.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.576.9-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.836.377.1+4.576%-
Last 30 away (13)35.341.376.6-6.015%-
Last 10 (10)37.344.681.9-7.310%-
Last 5 (5)40.048.288.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.548.585.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.039.577.5-1.545%-
vs Weaker (15)39.235.074.2+4.267%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.1
49.2%
54.1%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.6
34.7%
34.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws14.411.3
78.5%
76.1%11.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.4
49.4%
54.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.4
33.3%
34.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws26.017.9
68.8%
76.1%17.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLLLLWLWL
Cantu
WLWLLWLWWW
#8
League position
#15
-18.0
Net rating
-6.2
98.6
Offensive rating
102.7
116.6
Defensive rating
108.9
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.4%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.41
34.7%
3-point %
33.3%
65.5%
Assist %
57.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 102.7Defence116.6 · 108.9Shooting50.7% · 49.7%3-point %34.7% · 33.3%Ball care20.1% · 19.4%Off. rebounds23.0% · 28.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
31/01/21Cantu v Varese97-82
11/10/20Varese v Cantu80-90
07/09/20Cantu v Varese81-72
04/09/20Varese v Cantu84-77
08/12/19Cantu v Varese74-67
20/04/19Cantu v Varese84-75
25/12/18Varese v Cantu89-71
05/02/18Cantu v Varese85-89
16/10/17Varese v Cantu95-64
02/04/17Cantu v Varese72-85
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25ATortona87-90
04/11/25HVirtus Bologna77-83
02/11/25AVenezia75-86
25/10/25HTrento74-85
19/10/25AReggiana79-103
11/10/25HOlimpia Milano61-94
05/10/25ASassari105-102
11/05/25AVenezia64-83
04/05/25HTrieste85-80
27/04/25AVirtus Bologna67-104
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HUdine90-85 OT
06/11/25ASassari84-100
02/11/25HCremona91-83
26/10/25ABrescia94-104
19/10/25HTrapani63-81
12/10/25HReggiana83-78
05/10/25ATrento69-109
13/06/25HRimini85-80
10/06/25ARimini74-66
08/06/25ARimini86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game79.770.786.5
Allowed / game91.987.395.2
Point differential-12.1-16.7-8.8
Avg total171.6158.0181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game82.081.882.3
Allowed / game91.481.8104.3
Point differential-9.4+0.0-22.0
Avg total173.4163.5186.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia76186%90.081.9+8.1
2 Virtus Bologna76186%87.380.4+6.9
3 Trapani76186%93.087.9+5.1
4 Tortona86275%89.587.4+2.1
5 Olimpia Milano75271%87.773.9+13.9
6 Venezia75271%91.984.1+7.7
7 Cremona85362%89.283.6+5.6
8 Trieste84450%87.093.6-6.6
9 Basket Napoli73443%86.789.4-2.7
10 Cantu73443%82.091.4-9.4
11 Trento83538%85.983.2+2.6
12 Reggiana72529%81.684.3-2.7
13 Sassari82625%81.987.4-5.5
14 Treviso71614%86.496.1-9.7
15 Varese71614%79.791.9-12.1
16 Udine81712%82.284.9-2.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1825272191
Cantu2119172582
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