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Varese vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-76
25-20 18-18 23-14 19-24
Position#12
Record2-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game87.6
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#5
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game84.0
ItalyLega ARound 9
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Varese v Tortona
10 Jan 2027
VAR v TOR
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
VAR97
TOR87
06 Oct 2024
VAR95
TOR105
15 Oct 2023
VAR78
TOR80
02 Jan 2023
VAR88
TOR89
20 Nov 2021
VAR85
TOR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
61-77
61
77
-16
no box
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
61avg 68
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
56-97
56
97
-41
41avg 68
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 68
H10/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
78-94
78
94
-16
65avg 68
A17/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
67-106
67
106
-39
45avg 68
H24/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
78-96
78
96
-18
66avg 68
A31/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
55avg 68
H07/11
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
86-70
86
70
+16
74avg 68
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
21-23
19-17
22-19
18-17
17-23
9-20
17-17
27-12
11-25
21-21
16-14
17-21
18-23
15-28
6-25
19-21
21-19
24-20
15-22
18-29
15-14
20-29
25-22
19-25
11-24
20-27
17-30
30-24
14-20
15-27
19-25
18-18
19-25
16-19
18-22
22-15
21-21
16-23
27-11
159.3Avg total
73.7Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.887.6161.4-13.925%
Season at home (4)73.086.0159.0-13.025%
Season away (4)74.589.2163.8-14.825%
Last 10 (10)73.785.6159.3-11.930%
Last 5 (5)76.090.0166.0-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.486.7164.1-9.333%
vs Similar (15)80.985.7166.7-4.833%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Trento
#14
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
no box
A18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#11
L
77-92
77
92
-15
64avg 74
H26/09
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
79-77
79
77
+2
72avg 74
A03/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
78-87
78
87
-9
77avg 74
H09/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
82avg 74
A17/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
57-88
57
88
-31
47avg 74
A24/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
93-76
93
76
+17
91avg 74
H30/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
79-82
79
82
-3
62avg 74
A07/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
95-89
95
89
+6
96avg 74
H14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-4
23-22
18-19
18-19
14-16
22-20
10-18
20-20
15-17
20-23
18-30
24-22
20-22
17-18
26-18
16-19
18-24
24-20
21-22
15-21
26-19
26-20
12-12
26-30
18-20
10-24
19-22
10-22
20-22
31-14
22-29
20-11
12-23
24-16
14-21
29-22
15-16
23-22
40-28
17-23
159.9Avg total
78.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.084.0165.0-3.050%
Season at home (4)85.886.0171.8-0.250%
Season away (4)76.282.0158.2-5.850%
Last 10 (10)78.981.0159.9-2.150%
Last 5 (5)82.883.2166.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.476.1151.5-0.862%
vs Similar (16)76.178.6154.6-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.876.3160.2+7.583%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
VareseTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H24/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A31/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/11
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/11
Lega A
79.8Avg total
38.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.382.3-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.939.879.7+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.244.784.9-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.879.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.080.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.343.582.9-4.233%-
vs Similar (15)40.841.081.8-0.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#14
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H26/09
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A03/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H09/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A17/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A24/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H30/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A07/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H14/11
Lega A
77.6Avg total
39.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.575.9+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.637.777.3+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)37.437.374.7+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.277.6+1.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.280.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.940.978.8-3.025%-
vs Similar (16)36.536.873.3-0.338%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.234.879.0+9.383%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.9
51.7%
51.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.6
27.7%
35.4%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.312.1
66.1%
74.7%12.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.9
46.6%
51.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.5
39.1%
35.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.411.0
76.5%
74.7%11.0
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLLLLLWLW
Tortona
WLWLWLWLLW
#12
League position
#5
-18.8
Net rating
-4.0
98.5
Offensive rating
107.2
117.4
Defensive rating
111.2
48.0%
Effective FG%
51.4%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
27.7%
3-point %
39.1%
44.7%
Assist %
60.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 107.2Defence117.4 · 111.2Shooting48.0% · 51.4%3-point %27.7% · 39.1%Ball care18.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds28.6% · 27.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
Tortona wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/21ATrieste86-70
07/11/21HBrindisi71-84
31/10/21ATreviso78-96
24/10/21HReggiana67-106
17/10/21ACremona78-94
10/10/21HOlimpia Milano79-82
03/10/21AVirtus Bologna56-97
26/09/21HBrescia75-72
14/09/21ASassari61-77
12/09/21HCremona86-78
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/21HSassari95-89
07/11/21ABasket Napoli79-82
30/10/21HVirtus Bologna93-76
24/10/21ATrieste57-88
17/10/21APesaro90-81
09/10/21HBrindisi78-87
03/10/21ABrescia79-77
26/09/21HTreviso77-92
18/09/21AVirtus Bologna66-74
14/09/21ATrento75-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game73.873.074.5
Allowed / game87.686.089.2
Point differential-13.9-13.0-14.8
Avg total161.4159.0163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.085.876.2
Allowed / game84.086.082.0
Point differential-3.0-0.2-5.8
Avg total165.0171.8158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano880100%85.470.9+14.5
2 Virtus Bologna86275%91.677.8+13.9
3 Brindisi86275%85.879.9+5.9
4 Treviso85362%80.978.1+2.8
5 Trieste85362%77.876.8+1.0
6 Trento85362%79.280.1-0.9
7 Venezia84450%79.978.5+1.4
8 Basket Napoli84450%84.083.9+0.1
9 Tortona84450%81.084.0-3.0
10 Reggiana83538%82.881.6+1.1
11 Brescia83538%79.881.1-1.4
12 Cremona83538%79.181.9-2.8
13 Sassari83538%75.081.5-6.5
14 Fortitudo Bologna82625%81.886.2-4.5
15 Varese82625%73.887.6-13.9
16 Pesaro81712%74.482.1-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2518231985
Tortona2018142476
← all games of the day
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