PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cremona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 94-78
29-18 14-15 29-20 22-25
Position#16
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game83.3
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game83.7
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Cremona v Varese
08 Dec 2025
CRE79
VAR87
08 Dec 2024
CRE78
VAR60
28 Jan 2024
CRE82
VAR83
17 Oct 2021
CRE94
VAR78
06 Sep 2021
CRE80
VAR70
17 Oct 2020
CRE80
VAR67
21 Dec 2019
CRE93
VAR72
14 Feb 2019
CRE82
VAR73
18 Nov 2018
CRE79
VAR82
07 Jan 2018
CRE80
VAR72
02 Jan 2017
CRE85
VAR71
16 Apr 2016
CRE70
VAR79
30 Nov 2014
CRE64
VAR53
29 Dec 2013
CRE75
VAR94
21 Apr 2013
CRE88
VAR92
08 Jan 2012
CRE69
VAR61
21 Nov 2010
CRE103
VAR79
16 Jan 2010
CRE78
VAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
W
78-67
78
67
+11
64avg 76
A18/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H25/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
53avg 76
A10/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H06/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
A12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
L
71-88
71
88
-17
61avg 76
A26/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
94-78
94
78
+16
88avg 76
H03/10
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
68-84
68
84
-16
55avg 76
A09/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
28-10
13-15
18-25
25-26
22-17
24-26
18-25
17-17
11-22
15-12
23-23
15-23
17-13
21-19
21-28
19-16
10-21
32-17
19-16
21-28
18-21
26-26
22-23
19-24
23-21
17-19
19-22
24-27
12-25
20-22
15-14
24-11
16-23
27-24
27-20
22-18
18-22
21-23
7-21
160.7Avg total
78.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.783.3161.0-5.733%
Season at home (1)94.078.0172.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)69.586.0155.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)78.582.2160.7-3.730%
Last 5 (5)79.686.8166.4-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.786.5165.2-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.585.4170.9+0.241%
vs Weaker (3)93.379.0172.3+14.367%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 70
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 70
H25/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
84-108
84
108
-24
73avg 70
A10/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A06/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
no box
H08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#12
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
61-77
61
77
-16
no box
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
61avg 70
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
56-97
56
97
-41
41avg 70
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 70
H10/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
21-24
33-25
24-17
20-15
17-25
16-13
20-26
16-30
29-31
23-20
16-27
16-19
21-10
17-32
16-19
26-23
19-24
22-27
15-18
24-19
21-23
19-17
22-19
18-17
17-23
9-20
17-17
27-12
11-25
21-21
16-14
17-21
18-23
15-28
6-25
19-21
21-19
24-20
15-22
162.8Avg total
76.9Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.083.7153.7-13.733%
Season at home (2)77.077.0154.0+0.050%
Season away (1)56.097.0153.0-41.00%
Last 10 (10)76.985.9162.8-9.030%
Last 5 (5)71.481.2152.6-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.186.1164.2-8.136%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.284.9165.1-4.733%
vs Weaker (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
CremonaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A18/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A10/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H06/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A26/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H03/10
Lega A
Trento
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A09/10
Lega A
78.2Avg total
38.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.082.6-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.341.183.3+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)38.943.081.9-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.278.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.083.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.043.181.1-5.110%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.441.983.4-0.547%-
vs Weaker (3)44.339.083.3+5.3100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H25/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A10/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A06/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/10
Lega A
83.5Avg total
40.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.581.6-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.179.6+1.356%-
Last 30 away (14)39.744.183.9-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.283.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.679.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.644.083.6-4.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.039.779.7+0.347%-
vs Weaker (1)48.033.081.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.6
50.2%
51.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.7
32.2%
35.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.012.8
80.0%
74.7%12.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.4
54.6%
51.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.5
35.2%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.913.2
69.8%
74.7%13.2
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWLLLWLLLW
Varese
LLWLWLLLLW
#16
League position
#12
-0.5
Net rating
-8.3
103.5
Offensive rating
105.6
104.0
Defensive rating
114.0
49.5%
Effective FG%
53.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
19.7%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.2%
3-point %
35.2%
57.3%
Assist %
48.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 105.6Defence104.0 · 114.0Shooting49.5% · 53.8%3-point %32.2% · 35.2%Ball care16.1% · 19.7%Off. rebounds24.7% · 26.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Cremona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cremona wins
5
Varese wins
DateGameScore
12/09/21Varese v Cremona86-78
06/09/21Cremona v Varese80-70
07/02/21Varese v Cremona110-105 OT
17/10/20Cremona v Varese80-67
21/12/19Cremona v Varese93-72
17/03/19Varese v Cremona83-64
14/02/19Cremona v Varese82-73
18/11/18Cremona v Varese79-82
06/05/18Varese v Cremona89-79
07/01/18Cremona v Varese80-72
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/21ATrento68-84
03/10/21HFortitudo Bologna94-78
26/09/21AVenezia71-88
12/09/21AVarese78-86
10/09/21HSassari87-98
06/09/21HVarese80-70
04/09/21ASassari74-83
10/05/21AOlimpia Milano66-74
25/04/21HBrescia89-94
18/04/21ABrindisi78-67
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/21HOlimpia Milano79-82
03/10/21AVirtus Bologna56-97
26/09/21HBrescia75-72
14/09/21ASassari61-77
12/09/21HCremona86-78
08/09/21HSassari82-92
06/09/21ACremona70-80
10/05/21ABrindisi84-108
25/04/21HTrieste73-79
18/04/21ATreviso103-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game77.794.069.5
Allowed / game83.378.086.0
Point differential-5.7+16.0-16.5
Avg total161.0172.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game70.077.056.0
Allowed / game83.777.097.0
Point differential-13.7+0.0-41.0
Avg total153.7154.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna440100%94.272.0+22.2
2 Olimpia Milano330100%82.771.3+11.3
3 Brindisi43175%90.883.8+7.0
4 Sassari43175%80.579.8+0.8
5 Reggiana42250%87.586.0+1.5
6 Treviso42250%76.576.5+0.0
7 Tortona42250%81.084.2-3.2
8 Trento42250%80.584.2-3.8
9 Trieste42250%76.080.5-4.5
10 Venezia31233%76.378.3-2.0
11 Cremona31233%77.783.3-5.7
12 Varese31233%70.083.7-13.7
13 Brescia41325%79.880.5-0.8
14 Fortitudo Bologna41325%84.586.5-2.0
15 Pesaro41325%73.578.2-4.8
16 Basket Napoli41325%80.885.8-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2914292294
Varese1815202578
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.