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Varese vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 88-89
17-18 27-24 29-20 15-27
Position#4
Record7-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game92.2
vs
Tortona 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record8-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game74.5
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Varese v Tortona
10 Jan 2027
VAR v TOR
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
VAR97
TOR87
06 Oct 2024
VAR95
TOR105
15 Oct 2023
VAR78
TOR80
02 Jan 2023
VAR88
TOR89
20 Nov 2021
VAR85
TOR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
no box
H16/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
75avg 76
A22/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 76
H30/10
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
101-93
101
93
+8
88avg 76
A06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
73avg 76
H19/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-91
98
91
+7
88avg 76
A27/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
100-108
100
108
-8
86avg 76
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
93-101
93
101
-8
88avg 76
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
no box
H18/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
61avg 76
A26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
24-24
17-18
17-21
22-18
21-16
24-22
20-25
24-23
17-23
26-19
20-20
31-33
28-15
17-20
25-25
20-16
27-23
26-30
20-21
34-30
25-19
19-21
20-21
20-28
27-28
22-23
31-29
27-27
17-32
30-23
19-19
26-16
21-22
25-21
16-29
21-36
11-21
28-25
24-14
187.6Avg total
93.8Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.392.2184.6+0.158%
Season at home (6)93.792.8186.5+0.867%
Season away (6)91.091.7182.7-0.750%
Last 10 (10)93.893.8187.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)95.899.0194.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)84.889.5174.2-4.842%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.688.5177.1+0.157%
vs Weaker (4)95.594.0189.5+1.575%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 71
H15/10
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
88-60
88
60
+28
87avg 71
A22/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
77-61
77
61
+16
80avg 71
H30/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 71
A06/11
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 71
A20/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
74-73
74
73
+1
64avg 71
H27/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
102-80
102
80
+22
95avg 71
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 71
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
91-72
91
72
+19
90avg 71
A18/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
90-95
90
95
-5
79avg 71
H26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
23-15
17-26
17-18
23-16
19-15
17-17
29-12
15-12
27-17
15-18
20-14
23-27
19-22
22-20
20-17
16-22
17-21
19-18
16-22
20-23
10-12
23-18
21-20
25-14
13-30
30-17
34-19
16-21
22-19
21-20
20-22
32-22
24-16
24-12
11-22
18-26
23-21
24-28
25-20
159.9Avg total
83.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.174.5155.6+6.667%
Season at home (6)79.575.7155.2+3.867%
Season away (6)82.773.3156.0+9.367%
Last 10 (10)83.476.5159.9+6.960%
Last 5 (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.284.0159.2-8.820%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.872.2149.1+4.669%
vs Weaker (8)85.479.9165.2+5.575%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
VareseTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H16/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H30/10
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A27/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A26/12
Lega A
94.2Avg total
47.0Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.144.788.8-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.943.286.1-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)45.346.291.5-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)47.047.294.2-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.851.897.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.245.988.1-3.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.742.787.4+2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)47.848.095.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H15/10
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A22/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H30/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A06/11
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A20/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H27/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A18/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H26/12
Lega A
79.4Avg total
40.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.777.7+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.939.177.0-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.138.378.4+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.579.4+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.881.4-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.242.680.8-4.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.636.775.3+1.962%-
vs Weaker (8)39.639.679.2+0.038%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.3
55.1%
51.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.5
34.8%
36.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.8
73.0%
76.1%16.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.9
53.2%
51.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.9
36.9%
36.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.514.9
80.5%
76.1%14.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLLWWWWWL
Tortona
LWLWWLLWWW
#4
League position
#3
-1.1
Net rating
+9.2
111.0
Offensive rating
115.2
112.1
Defensive rating
105.9
53.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.6%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.8%
3-point %
36.9%
55.8%
Assist %
62.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 115.2Defence112.1 · 105.9Shooting53.8% · 54.2%3-point %34.8% · 36.9%Ball care15.2% · 14.6%Off. rebounds22.9% · 24.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
1
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
16/04/22Tortona v Varese104-99
20/11/21Varese v Tortona85-76
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/22AOlimpia Milano84-96
18/12/22HTrieste104-99 OT
11/12/22APesaro93-101
04/12/22HVirtus Bologna100-108
27/11/22AVerona98-91
19/11/22HVenezia93-90
06/11/22AScafati101-93
30/10/22HTreviso87-85
22/10/22AReggiana87-81
16/10/22HTrento91-94 OT
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/22HTreviso90-95
18/12/22AScafati91-72
10/12/22HSassari79-82
03/12/22AVerona102-80
27/11/22HBasket Napoli74-73
20/11/22ABrescia68-83
06/11/22ABrindisi84-86
30/10/22HVenezia77-61
22/10/22ATrieste88-60
15/10/22HPesaro81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game92.393.791.0
Allowed / game92.292.891.7
Point differential+0.1+0.8-0.7
Avg total184.6186.5182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game81.179.582.7
Allowed / game74.575.773.3
Point differential+6.6+3.8+9.3
Avg total155.6155.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1211192%86.674.8+11.8
2 Olimpia Milano1210283%83.672.9+10.7
3 Tortona128467%81.174.5+6.6
4 Varese127558%92.392.2+0.1
5 Venezia137654%83.580.8+2.6
6 Pesaro137654%87.786.0+1.7
7 Trento137654%73.874.8-1.0
8 Brescia126650%85.583.2+2.2
9 Brindisi136746%78.481.3-2.9
10 Sassari125742%78.379.4-1.1
11 Scafati125742%77.279.7-2.5
12 Treviso135838%79.283.6-4.4
13 Basket Napoli124833%76.981.8-4.9
14 Trieste124833%79.787.7-8.0
15 Verona124833%79.787.9-8.2
16 Reggiana1331023%75.577.6-2.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1727291588
Tortona1824202789
← all games of the day
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