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Varese vs Trapani Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 100-109
33-24 24-28 21-27 22-30
Position#12
Record0-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game109.7
vs
Trapani 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game82.3
ItalyLega ARound 4· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trapani winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 82
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 82
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
113-79
113
79
+34
114avg 82
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
90-102
90
102
-12
84avg 82
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
112-88
112
88
+24
108avg 82
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
95-100
95
100
-5
82avg 82
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
89avg 82
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
94-118
94
118
-24
81avg 82
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 82
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
85avg 82
A13/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
26-23
19-28
25-23
21-26
18-21
12-12
22-22
27-26
27-17
21-20
38-16
17-27
30-23
24-23
19-29
35-25
29-16
27-28
21-19
19-31
30-27
25-19
21-23
26-19
28-23
23-15
19-21
24-29
28-28
23-36
19-25
28-29
32-22
13-31
22-23
27-25
31-25
14-29
28-27
191.2Avg total
96.0Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)96.3109.7206.0-13.30%
Season at home (1)95.0105.0200.0-10.00%
Season away (2)97.0112.0209.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)96.095.2191.2+0.830%
Last 5 (5)96.0101.4197.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.592.3175.8-8.718%
vs Similar (16)94.287.6181.9+6.669%
vs Weaker (3)85.380.7166.0+4.767%
This opponent (Trapani) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrapaniItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrapani
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
78-71
78
71
+7
76avg 81
H18/05
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
91-69
91
69
+22
90avg 81
H20/05
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
95-78
95
78
+17
91avg 81
A23/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
85-73
85
73
+12
84avg 81
H01/06
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
72-70
72
70
+2
75avg 81
H03/06
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
59-64
59
64
-5
47avg 81
A07/06
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
64-58
64
58
+6
54avg 81
A09/06
Serie A2
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
78avg 81
H28/09
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
87-71
87
71
+16
75avg 81
A05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
101-87
101
87
+14
96avg 81
H13/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
12-18
19-17
19-19
26-18
20-17
24-17
21-17
16-22
38-19
26-19
15-18
18-12
24-19
20-23
23-19
18-28
20-13
14-11
20-18
11-25
15-9
17-14
16-16
13-16
17-12
14-12
20-18
25-29
16-21
20-19
27-20
21-19
18-22
23-12
25-18
25-30
29-24
22-12
25-21
155.0Avg total
82.0Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.082.3174.3+9.767%
Season at home (2)94.588.0182.5+6.550%
Season away (1)87.071.0158.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.073.0155.0+9.080%
Last 5 (5)79.873.8153.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)88.089.0177.0-1.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)83.073.8156.8+9.286%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
VareseTrapani
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A13/10
Lega A
100.8Avg total
52.5Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.445.291.6+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.544.292.7+4.364%-
Last 30 away (16)44.646.090.6-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)52.548.3100.8+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)54.651.6106.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)46.048.394.3-2.345%-
vs Similar (16)47.643.190.8+4.556%-
vs Weaker (3)41.344.786.0-3.333%-
This opponent (Trapani) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrapaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H18/05
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H20/05
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A23/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H01/06
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/06
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A07/06
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A09/06
Serie A2
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H28/09
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H13/10
Lega A
80.0Avg total
41.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.179.6+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.338.780.0+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.639.679.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.080.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.479.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)41.050.091.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)40.538.879.2+1.755%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 94.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.918.0
58.3%
52.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.112.9
39.0%
35.8%38.7
🏀 Free throws23.820.2
84.9%
76.8%20.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trapanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trapani: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.1
56.8%
52.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.6
35.0%
35.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.914.2
79.3%
76.8%14.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLWLWLWLL
Trapani
WWLWLWWWWW
#12
League position
#3
+0.6
Net rating
+12.7
120.3
Offensive rating
112.0
119.6
Defensive rating
99.3
58.4%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.7%
20.6%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.0%
3-point %
35.0%
56.0%
Assist %
57.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence120.3 · 112.0Defence119.6 · 99.3Shooting58.4% · 54.9%3-point %39.0% · 35.0%Ball care14.2% · 15.7%Off. rebounds20.6% · 23.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Varese   ■ Trapani
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
Trapani wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24ATrento100-106
06/10/24HTortona95-105
29/09/24ABrescia94-118
05/05/24APistoia96-78
28/04/24HTreviso95-100
21/04/24ASassari112-88
14/04/24AScafati90-102
07/04/24HBasket Napoli113-79
03/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.73-81
30/03/24HBrescia92-95
Trapanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24HScafati101-87
05/10/24ATreviso87-71
28/09/24HVirtus Bologna88-89
09/06/24AFortitudo Bologna64-58
07/06/24AFortitudo Bologna59-64
03/06/24HFortitudo Bologna72-70
01/06/24HFortitudo Bologna85-73
23/05/24AVerona95-78
20/05/24HVerona91-69
18/05/24HVerona78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game96.395.097.0
Allowed / game109.7105.0112.0
Point differential-13.3-10.0-15.0
Avg total206.0200.0209.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trapani
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game92.094.587.0
Allowed / game82.388.071.0
Point differential+9.7+6.5+16.0
Avg total174.3182.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento330100%93.382.0+11.3
2 Virtus Bologna330100%83.074.7+8.3
3 Trieste330100%87.081.0+6.0
4 Trapani32167%92.082.3+9.7
5 Brescia32167%99.391.7+7.7
6 Olimpia Milano32167%88.781.3+7.3
7 Tortona32167%89.082.7+6.3
8 Reggiana32167%80.376.7+3.7
9 Pistoia32167%74.077.0-3.0
10 Scafati31233%92.394.0-1.7
11 Sassari31233%85.091.0-6.0
12 Treviso31233%71.083.3-12.3
13 Cremona41325%73.576.0-2.5
14 Venezia3030%71.078.7-7.7
15 Basket Napoli4040%80.590.2-9.8
16 Varese3030%96.3109.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese33242122100
Trapani24282730109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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