Varese vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	89.8	91.3	181.1	-1.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	91.8	180.8	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	82.2	90.9	173.1	-8.6	29%
vs Similar (16)	85.2	84.9	170.1	+0.2	56%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

102-71

102

+31

H17/05

Lega A

Trento

84-87

-3

H19/05

Lega A

Trento

85-102

102

-17

A22/05

Lega A

Trento

90-81

A24/05

Lega A

Trento

106-95

106

+11

H26/05

Lega A

Venezia

83-91

-8

H30/05

Lega A

Venezia

98-79

+19

H01/06

Lega A

Venezia

85-89

-4

A04/06

Lega A

Venezia

83-90

-7

A06/06

Lega A

Fenerbahce

68-78

-10

A25/09

Euroleague

32-21

23-11

14-14

33-25

22-26

25-21

15-19

22-21

14-23

24-28

25-31

22-20

30-27

19-15

27-12

14-27

28-28

30-27

18-24

30-16

23-18

23-27

19-19

18-27

29-16

33-26

20-12

16-25

28-16

17-24

14-19

26-30

23-24

19-13

27-20

14-33

17-23

21-16

17-20

13-19

174.7Avg total

88.4Scored

86.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	88.4	86.3	174.7	+2.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	85.4	168.8	-2.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	81.8	90.6	172.4	-8.8	20%
vs Similar (7)	85.1	91.4	176.6	-6.3	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	88.3	83.3	171.6	+5.1	61%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseVirtus Bologna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	22.7	42.8	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	24.0	44.4	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.9	25.1	45.0	-5.1	21%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.3	43.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.4	21.4	45.8	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	21.2	41.1	-1.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	22.2	46.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.4	43.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.8	25.8	45.6	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.0	23.9	44.9	-2.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.7	19.1	42.8	+4.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.3	44.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	21.2	47.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.4	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.4	45.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.9	22.8	47.7	+2.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	60%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.7	23.3	48.0	+1.4	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.3	22.3	44.6	+0.1	56%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brescia

41-55

-14

H14/02

Lega A

Udine

#13

46-42

A08/03

Lega A

Treviso

#14

51-44

H15/03

Lega A

Basket Napoli

#11

19-47

-28

A22/03

Lega A

Tortona

49-49

H28/03

Lega A

Trieste

#10

53-48

A04/04

Lega A

Sassari

#16

51-42

H12/04

Lega A

Cantu

#15

44-46

-2

A19/04

Lega A

Cremona

#12

45-31

+14

H26/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

38-49

-11

A10/05

Lega A

89.0Avg total

43.7Scored

45.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	43.8	84.8	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	42.4	83.0	-1.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.3	45.1	86.4	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	45.3	89.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	43.2	89.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	41.6	46.4	87.9	-4.8	21%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.5	41.6	82.1	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

55-32

+23

H17/05

Lega A

Trento

47-47

H19/05

Lega A

Trento

38-51

-13

A22/05

Lega A

Trento

49-42

A24/05

Lega A

Trento

58-55

H26/05

Lega A

Venezia

46-45

H30/05

Lega A

Venezia

62-42

+20

H01/06

Lega A

Venezia

45-40

A04/06

Lega A

Venezia

42-37

A06/06

Lega A

Fenerbahce

38-39

-1

A25/09

Euroleague

91.0Avg total

48.0Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	43.7	88.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	49.2	44.2	93.5	+5.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.9	43.1	83.0	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.0	43.0	91.0	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	40.6	87.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.6	47.4	89.0	-5.8	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.7	47.1	92.9	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	46.0	41.4	87.4	+4.6	72%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.9	43.1	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.5	22.9	45.4	-0.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	24.0	45.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	26.0	46.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.3	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	31%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	60%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.0	21.1	39.1	-3.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.7	19.3	39.9	+1.4	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.0	43.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	22.0	46.3	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.6	45.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	21.7	40.9	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	23.9	22.2	46.1	+1.7	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.8	44.2	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	21.9	43.5	-0.3	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	24.1	45.1	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	24.3	45.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	26.8	44.2	-9.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	23.2	43.2	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	23.1	44.6	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-0.9	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	43.9	86.7	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	41.6	82.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.2	45.9	90.1	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	46.0	92.1	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	48.6	91.4	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	40.6	44.5	85.1	-3.9	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	44.7	43.4	88.1	+1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	42.7	84.0	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.1	42.0	82.1	-1.9	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.8	43.5	86.4	-0.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	43.3	83.7	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	44.8	81.6	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.2	43.2	83.4	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.4	44.3	83.7	-4.9	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.3	41.9	84.2	+0.4	39%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 89.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game

46%

33%

21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	19.5	58.6%	54.3%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.4	12.2	35.5%	34.7%	36.6
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.0	73.7%	74.4%	14.0

They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 88.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game

46%

33%

21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	21.1	56.1%	54.3%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.6	35.3%	34.7%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.4	76.7%	74.4%	17.4

They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	21.0	55.4%	54.3%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.2	35.9%	34.7%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	23.8	18.4	77.3%	74.4%	18.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	21.2	57.1%	54.3%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.5	35.7%	34.7%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	19.2	15.4	80.2%	74.4%	15.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	19.1	55.8%	54.3%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.6	10.6	32.7%	34.7%	31.9
🏀 Free throws	17.2	12.8	74.5%	74.4%	12.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.6	19.1	60.6%	54.3%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.7	34.3%	34.7%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	16.0	12.5	78.1%	74.4%	12.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	21.5	55.6%	54.3%	42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	8.5	31.5%	34.7%	25.6
🏀 Free throws	23.3	17.8	76.4%	74.4%	17.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	27.7	17.3	62.7%	54.3%	34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	10.1	36.3%	34.7%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	13.8	10.2	74.0%	74.4%	10.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Varese

LWLWLWLWWW

Virtus Bologna

LLLWLWWLLW

League position

-1.6

Net rating

+2.5

100.2

Offensive rating

104.3

101.8

Defensive rating

101.9

55.8%

Effective FG%

54.8%

Opp. effective FG%

55.7%

12.8%

Turnover %

13.5%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.35

35.5%

3-point %

35.3%

59.0%

Assist %

59.3%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Varese ■ Virtus Bologna

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Virtus Bologna wins

Date	Game	Score
10/05/26	Virtus Bologna v Varese	104-85
04/11/25	Varese v Virtus Bologna	77-83
27/04/25	Virtus Bologna v Varese	104-67
10/11/24	Varese v Virtus Bologna	104-95
21/01/24	Varese v Virtus Bologna	69-81
08/10/23	Virtus Bologna v Varese	115-84
07/05/23	Virtus Bologna v Varese	98-82
04/12/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	100-108
06/02/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	80-81
03/10/21	Virtus Bologna v Varese	97-56

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/26	A	Virtus Bologna	85-104
26/04/26	H	Cremona	84-75
19/04/26	A	Cantu	96-100
12/04/26	H	Sassari	91-90
04/04/26	A	Trieste	89-90
28/03/26	H	Tortona	97-87
22/03/26	A	Basket Napoli	75-104
15/03/26	H	Treviso	91-86
08/03/26	A	Udine	92-81
14/02/26	H	Brescia	98-96

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/09/26	A	Fenerbahce	68-78
06/06/26	A	Venezia	83-90
04/06/26	A	Venezia	85-89
01/06/26	H	Venezia	98-79
30/05/26	H	Venezia	83-91
26/05/26	H	Trento	106-95
24/05/26	A	Trento	90-81
22/05/26	A	Trento	85-102
19/05/26	H	Trento	84-87
17/05/26	H	Trento	102-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Udine	1	1	0	100%	87.0	63.0	+24.0
2	Basket Napoli	1	1	0	100%	94.0	75.0	+19.0
3	Treviso	1	1	0	100%	109.0	94.0	+15.0
4	Venezia	1	1	0	100%	85.0	73.0	+12.0
5	Tortona	1	1	0	100%	101.0	93.0	+8.0
6	Trento	1	1	0	100%	83.0	78.0	+5.0
7	Olimpia Milano	1	1	0	100%	83.0	79.0	+4.0
8	Trieste	1	0	1	0%	79.0	83.0	-4.0
9	Reggiana	1	0	1	0%	78.0	83.0	-5.0
10	Verona	1	0	1	0%	93.0	101.0	-8.0
11	Cantu	1	0	1	0%	73.0	85.0	-12.0
12	BC Roma	1	0	1	0%	94.0	109.0	-15.0
13	Maxima Roma	1	0	1	0%	75.0	94.0	-19.0
14	Scafati	1	0	1	0%	63.0	87.0	-24.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	21	18	19	11	69
Virtus Bologna	26	21	21	22	90

← all games of the day

Varese vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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