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Vasco vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 104-86
24-25 22-28 29-13 29-20
Position#20
Record5-32
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game81.3
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#16
Record10-27
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game83.2
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vasco v Botafogo
18 Apr 2026
VASC104
BOTA86
13 Mar 2025
VASC80
BOTA66
09 Feb 2024
VASC98
BOTA86
01 Dec 2018
VASC79
BOTA97
19 Dec 2017
VASC72
BOTA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H22/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A06/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A09/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A11/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H14/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H21/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
69-96
69
96
-27
H01/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-109
88
109
-21
H04/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H11/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
75-95
75
95
-20
A14/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
25-24
17-16
18-21
22-26
18-26
9-8
25-17
11-23
19-18
14-22
22-14
15-22
20-25
16-12
18-12
23-18
28-25
12-24
25-19
17-25
11-17
15-15
20-24
17-21
16-21
23-32
13-22
24-26
19-31
24-29
21-23
24-19
14-18
17-31
17-21
19-25
16-25
14-12
26-33
161.0Avg total
74.4Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)70.681.3152.0-10.714%
Season at home (18)73.984.7158.6-10.811%
Season away (19)67.678.1145.7-10.516%
Last 10 (10)74.486.6161.0-12.210%
Last 5 (5)73.494.0167.4-20.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)69.783.2152.9-13.58%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.577.3154.8+0.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A06/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H12/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
62-93
62
93
-31
H16/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A24/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H03/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-106
71
106
-35
H09/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H11/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
20-14
19-27
27-18
10-16
23-20
18-23
22-20
27-21
17-28
21-19
20-11
25-20
17-19
8-22
12-32
21-6
18-18
15-25
14-18
19-19
24-6
20-21
15-25
22-18
11-27
17-18
22-23
25-15
22-15
13-26
20-14
28-28
15-32
14-23
14-23
22-22
18-25
21-29
28-26
159.6Avg total
76.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)73.283.2156.4-10.127%
Season at home (19)75.682.2157.8-6.537%
Season away (18)70.684.3154.9-13.817%
Last 10 (10)76.183.5159.6-7.450%
Last 5 (5)78.087.0165.0-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)72.684.4157.0-11.821%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.880.0156.8-3.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
VascoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H22/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A06/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A09/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H14/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H21/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H01/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H04/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H11/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A14/04
NBB
83.7Avg total
37.8Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.142.077.1-6.917%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.142.578.6-6.320%-
Last 30 away (15)34.141.575.6-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)37.845.983.7-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.681.0-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)34.642.477.0-7.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.040.577.5-3.517%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A06/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A24/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H03/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H09/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/04
NBB
79.3Avg total
40.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.579.2-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.679.5-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)36.542.478.9-5.920%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.279.3+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.482.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)37.941.179.0-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.243.280.3-6.017%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.2
54.7%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.0
27.6%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.613.2
67.3%
72.8%13.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.9
53.3%
52.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.4
28.1%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.112.1
66.9%
72.8%12.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LLLLLWLLLL
Botafogo
LLWLWWLWLW
#20
League position
#16
-12.5
Net rating
-6.3
84.9
Offensive rating
89.4
97.3
Defensive rating
95.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
48.9%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.6%
3-point %
28.1%
75.2%
Assist %
60.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence84.9 · 89.4Defence97.3 · 95.8Shooting48.5% · 48.9%3-point %27.6% · 28.1%Ball care17.7% · 14.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Vasco   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vasco wins
4
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
23/10/25Botafogo v Vasco85-76
13/03/25Vasco v Botafogo80-66
15/11/24Botafogo v Vasco68-66
09/02/24Vasco v Botafogo98-86
04/11/23Botafogo v Vasco62-79
23/02/19Botafogo v Vasco79-74
01/12/18Vasco v Botafogo79-97
16/02/18Botafogo v Vasco87-94
19/12/17Vasco v Botafogo72-68
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/26AFlamengo75-95
11/04/26HCruzeiro72-89
04/04/26HMinas88-109
01/04/26HPaulistano69-96
21/03/26HPinheiros63-81
14/03/26HOsasco88-86
11/03/26ACaxias do Sul69-71
09/03/26AUniao Corinthians66-77
06/03/26ARio Claro74-77
22/02/26HFranca80-85
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26HFlamengo89-102
09/04/26HMinas71-106
06/04/26HCruzeiro80-70
03/04/26HPaulistano72-86
24/03/26AUniao Corinthians78-71
22/03/26ACaxias do Sul68-67
16/03/26HPinheiros62-93
12/03/26HOsasco85-79
06/03/26ABrasilia73-79
04/03/26ARio Claro83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL16%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %14%11%16%
Points / game70.673.967.6
Allowed / game81.384.778.1
Point differential-10.7-10.8-10.5
Avg total152.0158.6145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)29% (7)29% (7)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL27%
HomeLLWLL37%
AwayLWLWW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %27%37%17%
Points / game73.275.670.6
Allowed / game83.282.284.3
Point differential-10.1-6.5-13.8
Avg total156.4157.8154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3832684%90.876.9+13.9
2 Pinheiros3830879%85.374.1+11.2
3 Minas3829976%88.081.2+6.8
4 Flamengo38281074%87.579.0+8.5
5 Brasilia37271073%81.372.2+9.1
6 Corinthians Paulista38271171%85.279.4+5.8
7 Paulistano37231462%83.078.3+4.7
8 Sao Jose38221658%82.180.6+1.5
9 Bauru37211657%81.479.5+1.9
10 Mogi38211755%76.571.3+5.2
11 Unifacisa38201853%81.680.4+1.2
12 Uniao Corinthians38191950%80.281.9-1.7
13 Caxias do Sul38172145%74.076.8-2.8
14 Cruzeiro38132534%80.285.4-5.2
15 Rio Claro38122632%78.685.3-6.7
16 Botafogo37102727%73.283.2-10.1
17 Pato3773019%71.980.5-8.6
18 Osasco3873118%76.187.8-11.8
19 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
20 Vasco3753214%70.681.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco24222929104
Botafogo2528132086
← all games of the day
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