PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Verona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 86-84
Projected total 169.6
Final 88-99
23-25 21-25 27-23 17-26
Position#10
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game88.8
Vs
55%
45%
■ VER 55%■ VAR 45%
Pythia win probability
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game88.2
ItalyLega ARound 6· PalaOlimpia
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Verona v Varese
31 Oct 2026
VER88
VAR99
27 Nov 2022
VER91
VAR98
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Verona host Varese in the Lega Basket Serie A. Pythia makes Verona the favourite at 55% and projects 86-84, about 170 points in all (over 175: 36%). On the market's main spread (Verona -2) Pythia gives Verona 50% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Verona are 3-2 this season (90.0 scored, 88.8 allowed a game), form LWWWL; Varese are 3-2 this season (86.8 scored, 88.2 allowed a game), form WLLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winLost
54.9%fair 1.82
Best odds1.78
Implied53.3%
Edge+1.7pp
Varese winWon
45.1%fair 2.22
Best odds2.20
Implied46.7%
Edge-1.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 30 Oct 07:28 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 73
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 73
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
68avg 73
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 73
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
77avg 73
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
93-101
93
101
-8
77avg 73
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 73
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
89-82
89
82
+7
52avg 73
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 73
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
99-108
99
108
-9
88avg 73
A25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
20-13
24-28
15-10
22-24
29-18
20-18
13-14
17-20
23-17
13-21
31-18
20-21
21-20
11-27
18-14
30-16
16-28
15-17
22-14
24-30
24-22
27-24
18-25
21-21
23-17
14-15
17-19
24-25
28-22
18-25
19-10
29-21
28-25
16-20
21-15
27-23
26-28
24-28
22-29
168.1Avg total
85.7Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.088.8178.8+1.260%
Season at home (2)84.576.5161.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)93.797.0190.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)85.782.4168.1+3.370%
Last 5 (5)90.088.8178.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)87.090.0177.0-3.050%
vs Similar (16)79.973.6153.4+6.381%
vs Weaker (12)84.275.8160.0+8.367%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 76
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-104
85
104
-19
70avg 76
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
50avg 76
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 76
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#4
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 76
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 76
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 76
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 76
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 76
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
95-61
95
61
+34
92avg 76
A27/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
26-13
13-24
26-20
17-27
21-22
31-29
16-26
21-26
18-21
19-21
11-22
24-17
16-21
30-24
15-15
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
22-10
24-16
29-17
20-18
168.9Avg total
83.8Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.888.2175.0-1.460%
Season at home (3)88.092.3180.3-4.367%
Season away (2)85.082.0167.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)83.885.1168.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)91.484.0175.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.490.3173.6-6.936%
vs Similar (16)86.284.9171.1+1.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)88.375.0163.3+13.367%
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1251%1302%1353%1405%1457%1509%15511%16012%16512%17011%1759%1807%1855%1903%1952%2001%2051%2100%215
1%1303%1407%15011%16012%1709%1805%1902%2001%210
Pythia expects about 170 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%). The market's main line is 175.
Over/Under 170Actual: Over 170
Over 170
48.1%
@ 1.48-16.1pp
Under 170
51.9%
@ 2.60+16.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.48
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Over/Under 175 · main lineActual: Over 175
Over 175
36.3%
@ 1.89-13.7pp
Under 175
63.7%
@ 2.00+13.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.85
SBO
1.80
Bet365
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Under
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Be
1.93
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.84
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 180Actual: Over 180
Over 180
25.8%
@ 2.20-16.0pp
Under 180
74.2%
@ 1.60+16.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Marathon Be
2.14
Under
Bet365
1.60
Marathon Be
1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Verona total 85.5Actual: Verona over 85.5
Over 85.5
49.8%
@ 1.52-10.0pp
Under 85.5
50.2%
@ 2.25+10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.45
Under
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.17
Verona total 89.5 · main lineActual: Verona under 89.5
Over 89.5
35.2%
@ 2.02-11.7pp
Under 89.5
64.8%
@ 1.85+11.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
WilliamHill
2.00
Marathon Be
1.96
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.75
WilliamHill
1.73
Betano
1.67
Verona total 93.5Actual: Verona under 93.5
Over 93.5
22.6%
@ 2.77-11.7pp
Under 93.5
77.4%
@ 1.37+11.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.77
1xBet
2.43
Under
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.34
Varese total 83Actual: Varese over 83
Over 83
53.8%
Under 83
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varese total 87 · main lineActual: Varese over 87
Over 87
38.0%
@ 1.87-11.8pp
Under 87
62.0%
@ 1.87+11.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.73
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.71
Varese total 91Actual: Varese over 91
Over 91
24.2%
Under 91
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-330%-301%-271%-242%-213%-184%-156%-128%-99%-69%-36%+010%+39%+68%+96%+125%+154%+183%+212%+241%+271%+300%+33
0%-331%-272%-214%-158%-99%-310%+38%+95%+153%+211%+270%+33
Margin from Verona's side (positive = Verona win). Pythia's expected margin is +1.4; Verona win by 1+ in 48% of simulations.
Spread Verona -5Actual: Varese +5
VER -5
38.6%
@ 2.43-0.0pp
VAR +5
61.4%
@ 1.58+0.0pp
Best 5 market prices
VER
Pinnacle
2.43
Marathon Be
2.30
Bet365
2.27
VAR
Bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathon Be
1.52
Spread Verona -2 · main lineActual: Varese +2
VER -2
50.0%
@ 1.90+0.2pp
VAR +2
50.0%
@ 1.90-0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
VER
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Bet365
1.83
VAR
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.88
Spread Verona +1Actual: Varese -1
VER +1
56.5%
@ 1.71+1.5pp
VAR -1
43.5%
@ 2.25-1.5pp
Best 5 market prices
VER
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathon Be
1.64
Bet365
1.57
VAR
Bet365
2.25
Marathon Be
2.20
Pinnacle
2.09

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
VeronaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A25/10
Lega A
91.2Avg total
47.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86.5
Last 30 (30)43.539.282.7+4.267%33%
Last 30 at home (14)44.837.382.1+7.579%21%
Last 30 away (16)42.340.983.2+1.456%44%
Last 10 (10)47.943.391.2+4.680%60%
Last 5 (5)50.846.897.6+4.080%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)48.544.593.0+4.0100%50%
vs Similar (16)40.838.178.9+2.862%19%
vs Weaker (12)46.239.986.1+6.267%50%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#4
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A27/10
Champions League
81.1Avg total
41.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86.5
Last 30 (30)40.942.383.2-1.443%47%
Last 30 at home (15)42.842.084.8+0.853%47%
Last 30 away (15)38.942.681.5-3.733%47%
Last 10 (10)41.239.981.1+1.360%40%
Last 5 (5)45.639.084.6+6.680%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.545.386.7-3.827%64%
vs Similar (16)40.241.181.3-0.950%38%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.337.780.0+4.767%33%
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Varese win
VER win
54.2%
@ 1.78+1.0pp
VAR win
45.8%
@ 2.10-1.0pp
1st half Spread Verona -0.5 · main lineActual: Varese +0.5
VER -0.5
51.9%
@ 1.83+1.3pp
VAR +0.5
48.0%
@ 1.95-1.3pp
1st half Over/Under 86.5 · main lineActual: Over 86.5
Over
42.9%
@ 1.88-7.4pp
Under
57.1%
@ 2.00+7.4pp
Verona 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Verona under 44.5
Over
40.5%
@ 2.00-5.9pp
Under
59.5%
@ 1.83+5.9pp
Varese 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Varese over 43
Over
43.2%
@ 1.87-6.3pp
Under
56.8%
@ 1.87+6.3pp
1st half: VER + total 87.5
VER & over
20.5%
@ 3.30-5.8pp
VER & under
31.5%
@ 3.50+6.7pp
1st half: Draw + total 87.5
Draw & over
1.8%
@ 26.00-1.6pp
Draw & under
2.4%
@ 26.00-1.0pp
1st half: VAR + total 87.5
VAR & over
17.0%
@ 4.00-4.6pp
VAR & under
26.9%
@ 4.20+6.3pp
1st half Over/Under 87.75Actual: Over 87.75
Over
39.3%
@ 1.87-9.2pp
Under
60.7%
@ 1.76+9.2pp
1st half Spread Verona -1.5Actual: Varese +1.5
VER -1.5
47.7%
@ 2.02+0.9pp
VAR +1.5
52.3%
@ 1.85-0.9pp
1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Over 84.5
Over
50.4%
@ 1.62-7.1pp
Under
49.6%
@ 2.25+7.1pp
1st half Spread Verona +1Actual: Varese -1
VER +1
58.4%
@ 1.65+1.3pp
VAR -1
41.6%
@ 2.20-1.3pp
1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Over 89.5
Over
32.0%
@ 2.27-10.8pp
Under
68.0%
@ 1.66+10.8pp
1st half Spread Verona -2.5Actual: Varese +2.5
VER -2.5
43.4%
@ 2.12-0.8pp
VAR +2.5
56.6%
@ 1.66+0.8pp
1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Over 82.5
Over
58.0%
@ 1.40-8.3pp
Under
42.0%
@ 2.75+8.3pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Varese (regulation)
VER
51.9%
@ 1.83+1.6pp
Draw
4.1%
@ 19.00-1.6pp
VAR
43.9%
@ 2.15-0.3pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
VER win + total 175.5
🔒 Pro
VAR win + total 175.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: VER leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: VAR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (VER:VAR): VER wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 18176.0%1.52
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.48
---+16.3ppLost
Under 18074.2%1.56
Bet365
1.60
Marathon Bet
1.53
---+16.0ppLost
Under 17870.2%1.69
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.68
---+15.7ppLost
Under 17972.2%1.63
Bet365
1.66
Marathon Bet
1.60
---+15.7ppLost
Under 18481.1%1.40
Bet365
1.41
Marathon Bet
1.40
---+15.4ppLost
Under 18277.8%1.47
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.44
---+15.3ppLost
Under 18379.5%1.42
Bet365
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.40
---+15.3ppLost
Under 178.570.8%1.63
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Bet
1.65
WilliamHill
1.62
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.58
+15.0ppLost
Under 180.574.6%1.51
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.52
Marathon Bet
1.51
WilliamHill
1.50
Betano
1.47
+14.9ppLost
Under 179.572.7%1.59
Bet365
1.64
WilliamHill
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathon Bet
1.57
Betano
1.53
+14.7ppLost
Under 181.576.4%1.47
Bet365
1.52
Marathon Bet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.44
-+14.3ppLost
Under 182.578.2%1.43
Bet365
1.47
Marathon Bet
1.42
Betano
1.39
--+13.2ppLost
Under 186.584.3%1.31
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.30
---+13.2ppLost
Under 183.579.8%1.39
Bet365
1.43
Marathon Bet
1.38
Betano
1.35
--+13.1ppLost
Under 184.581.4%1.36
Marathon Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.31
--+12.7ppLost
Verona under 98.588.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+12.6ppWon
Q1: Under 48.580.3%1.36
Bet365
1.36
----+12.3ppWon
Verona under 96.584.8%1.27
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.23
---+12.2ppWon
1st half: Under 93.580.2%1.36
Bet365
1.36
----+12.1ppLost
1st half: Under 91.574.6%1.49
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.50
WilliamHill
1.40
--+12.1ppLost
Varese under 90.573.5%1.46
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42
--+12.1ppLost
2nd half: Varese under 46.574.8%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+11.9ppLost
Verona under 94.580.1%1.34
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.29
---+11.9ppWon
Q1: Under 46.571.6%1.56
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
---+11.8ppLost
1st half: Under 90.571.3%1.57
Betano
1.65
WilliamHill
1.50
---+11.8ppLost
Verona under 91.571.4%1.50
WilliamHill
1.57
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
--+11.7ppWon
Verona under 93.577.4%1.35
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.34
---+11.7ppWon
2nd half: Verona under 47.576.1%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+11.7ppWon
Verona under 92.574.5%1.45
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
--+11.6ppWon
Q3: Under 45.570.3%1.49
1xBet
1.49
----+11.6ppLost
Verona under 99.590.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+11.5ppWon
Varese under 94.584.2%1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.23
---+11.4ppLost
2nd half: Varese under 45.570.0%1.48
1xBet
1.48
----+11.4ppLost
Verona under 100.591.9%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+11.3ppWon
Varese under 92.579.3%1.34
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.31
---+11.3ppLost
Under 185.582.9%1.29
Betano
1.29
----+11.3ppLost
Varese under 91.576.5%1.37
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.36
---+11.2ppLost
1st half: Under 95.585.2%1.26
Bet365
1.26
----+11.1ppWon
Under 191.590.0%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+11.1ppWon
Varese under 89.570.3%1.53
WilliamHill
1.57
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.49
--+10.9ppLost
1st half: Varese under 46.574.9%1.37
1xBet
1.37
----+10.9ppLost
Q1: Under 50.587.0%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+10.8ppWon
Q1: Varese under 24.575.4%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+10.7ppLost
Q3: Verona under 24.575.2%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+10.6ppLost
Varese under 96.588.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+10.5ppLost
Varese under 97.590.0%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+10.5ppLost
1st half: Under 97.589.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+10.4ppWon
1st half: Verona under 47.574.9%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+10.3ppWon
Varese under 93.581.9%1.26
Betano
1.26
----+10.1ppLost
1st half: Verona under 48.579.1%1.35
Bet365
1.35
----+10.1ppWon
Varese under 98.591.5%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+10.1ppLost
Q1: Verona under 26.584.9%1.25
Bet365
1.25
----+10.1ppWon
1st half: Verona under 50.586.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+10.1ppWon
Verona under 102.594.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+9.9ppWon
Q4: Varese under 24.574.2%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+9.8ppLost
1st half: Varese under 47.579.1%1.34
Bet365
1.34
----+9.6ppLost
Q1: Verona under 24.572.9%1.41
Bet365
1.47
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.37
--+9.4ppWon
Q4: Verona under 24.572.9%1.38
1xBet
1.38
----+9.4ppWon
Verona under 95.582.5%1.24
Betano
1.24
----+9.3ppWon
1st half: Verona under 52.591.3%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+9.1ppWon
2nd half: Verona under 46.571.7%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+8.8ppWon
1st half: Varese under 49.586.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+8.6ppLost
Verona under 104.596.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+8.5ppWon
1st half: Varese under 51.591.6%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+8.5ppWon
Varese under 100.594.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+8.5ppWon
Under 196.593.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+8.4ppWon
Verona under 106.597.3%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+8.3ppWon
Q1: Varese under 25.581.5%1.27
Bet365
1.27
----+8.2ppWon
1st half: Varese under 45.570.0%1.47
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.41
--+8.1ppLost
Q3: Varese under 23.571.5%1.38
1xBet
1.38
----+8.0ppWon
Varese under 102.595.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+7.9ppWon
Varese under 104.597.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+7.9ppWon
1st half: Verona under 54.595.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+7.8ppWon
Q1: Verona under 28.592.1%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+7.7ppWon
Verona under 108.598.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.5ppWon
Verona under 109.598.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.5ppWon
Varese under 106.598.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.4ppWon
Under 201.596.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+7.4ppWon
Verona under 110.598.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.4ppWon
Q1: Varese under 27.590.4%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+7.3ppWon
1st half: Varese under 53.595.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+7.2ppWon
Q1: Verona under 30.596.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+7.0ppWon
Varese under 107.598.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.0ppWon
2nd half: Verona +4.570.4%1.40
1xBet
1.40
----+6.9ppLost
Q1: Varese under 31.598.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.9ppWon
Q1: Varese under 29.595.8%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+6.8ppWon
Varese under 108.598.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.6ppWon
Q1: Verona under 32.598.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.3ppWon
Q2: Varese under 23.570.2%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+5.8ppLost
Varese +22.595.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.3ppWon
Varese +27.598.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.4ppWon
Q1: Verona over 12.596.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.3ppWon
Varese +13.584.8%1.14
Betano
1.14
----+4.1ppWon
Overtime: no94.7%1.03
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
--+4.1ppWon
Varese +17.591.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+4.0ppWon
Verona +17.594.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+3.9ppWon
Varese +1077.5%1.25
Bet365
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.22
---+3.8ppWon
Verona +22.597.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.6ppWon
Q1: Verona or Varese94.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.5ppWon
Varese +974.7%1.29
Bet365
1.31
Marathon Bet
1.26
---+3.4ppWon
Varese +12.582.8%1.17
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.15
---+3.4ppWon
Q2: Verona or Varese94.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+3.4ppWon
Q1: Varese over 11.597.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.4ppWon
Varese over 66.595.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.4ppWon
Varese +871.7%1.33
Bet365
1.36
Marathon Bet
1.31
---+3.2ppWon
Varese over 67.594.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+3.1ppWon
Varese +10.578.1%1.23
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.22
Marathon Bet
1.21
--+3.0ppWon
Varese +9.575.4%1.27
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.26
Marathon Bet
1.25
--+2.9ppWon
Verona +9.582.2%1.16
Betano
1.16
----+2.9ppLost
Q1: Varese over 13.593.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+2.8ppWon
Varese +11.580.5%1.19
Betano
1.19
----+2.8ppWon
1st half: Varese +10.584.1%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+2.7ppWon
Varese over 68.593.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+2.7ppWon
Q1: Varese +6.580.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+2.6ppWon
Varese +8.572.6%1.32
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.31
Marathon Bet
1.30
--+2.6ppWon
Verona +8.579.9%1.19
Betano
1.19
----+2.6ppLost
1st half: Varese +8.578.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+2.5ppWon
Verona +6.574.5%1.26
Betano
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.24
---+2.5ppLost
Q1: Varese +4.571.9%1.34
Bet365
1.34
----+2.4ppWon
Q1: Verona over 14.592.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+2.4ppWon
Verona over 68.594.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+2.2ppWon
1st half: Verona +7.581.5%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+2.0ppWon
Q1: Verona +5.579.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+1.9ppWon
Verona +12.587.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+1.9ppWon
Verona over 69.593.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+1.8ppWon
1st half: Varese +6.572.1%1.32
Bet365
1.32
----+1.7ppWon
1st half: Verona +9.586.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+1.3ppWon
Verona over 70.592.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+1.2ppWon
Varese over 70.590.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+1.2ppWon
Verona +7.577.3%1.21
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Marathon Bet
1.19
--+1.0ppLost
Verona +5.571.5%1.30
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.29
Marathon Bet
1.28
--+0.9ppLost
1st half: Verona +5.575.4%1.25
Bet365
1.25
----+0.7ppLost
1st half: Varese over 33.587.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+0.3ppWon
Q1: Verona +3.570.8%1.32
Bet365
1.32
----+0.3ppWon
1st half: Verona over 34.587.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+0.3ppWon
Q1: Varese over 15.586.4%1.08
Bet365
1.08
-----0.2ppWon
Verona over 72.588.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----0.6ppWon
Varese over 72.586.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----0.7ppWon
Verona +570.6%1.30
Marathon Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
----0.9ppLost
Q1: Verona over 16.584.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----1.0ppWon
1st half: Varese over 35.581.0%1.13
Bet365
1.13
-----1.3ppWon
1st half: Verona over 36.580.7%1.13
Bet365
1.13
-----1.5ppWon
Q1: Varese over 17.575.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----1.9ppWon
Verona over 74.584.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----2.7ppWon
Varese over 74.582.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----2.9ppWon
1st half: Varese over 37.572.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----3.3ppWon
Over 151.585.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----3.7ppWon
1st half: Verona over 38.572.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----3.9ppWon
Varese over 76.576.6%1.15
Bet365
1.15
-----3.9ppWon
Q1: Verona over 18.572.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----4.0ppWon
1st half: Over 77.574.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16
-----4.7ppWon
Q1: Over 38.571.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----4.9ppWon
Verona over 76.580.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----5.1ppWon
Varese over 77.573.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----5.4ppWon
Varese over 78.570.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----6.0ppWon
Verona over 78.574.3%1.15
Bet365
1.15
-----6.2ppWon
Verona over 79.571.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----7.7ppWon
Over 156.577.7%1.09
Bet365
1.09
-----8.4ppWon
Verona +879.3%1.17
Marathon Bet
1.17
-----Lost
Verona +776.6%1.21
Marathon Bet
1.21
-----Lost
Verona +673.7%1.25
Marathon Bet
1.25
-----Lost
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.3
55.5%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.2
34.7%
34.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.114.6
66.1%
74.6%14.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.4
50.6%
54.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.6
35.1%
34.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.916.5
69.0%
74.6%16.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
LWWWLWLWWW
Varese
WWLLWLWLLW
#10
League position
#6
+5.6
Net rating
-1.4
103.2
Offensive rating
89.8
97.7
Defensive rating
91.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
11.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.7%
3-point %
35.1%
58.2%
Assist %
68.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 89.8Defence97.7 · 91.2Shooting53.8% · 51.5%3-point %34.7% · 35.1%Ball care11.6% · 18.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Verona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Verona wins
2
Varese wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Varese v Verona98-94
27/11/22Verona v Varese91-98
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ATrieste99-108
18/10/26HReggiana94-81
11/10/26AScafati89-82
05/10/26HOlimpia Milano75-72
27/09/26ATortona93-101
14/06/26ARimini83-75
12/06/26ARimini70-82
09/06/26HRimini84-76
07/06/26HRimini84-74
25/05/26HFortitudo Bologna86-73
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26ABamberg95-61
24/10/26HBC Roma110-103 OT
18/10/26ATrento85-87
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85
04/10/26AScafati85-77
27/09/26HVirtus Bologna69-90
10/05/26AVirtus Bologna85-104
26/04/26HCremona84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game90.084.593.7
Allowed / game88.876.597.0
Point differential+1.2+8.0-3.3
Avg total178.8161.0190.7
Over 17540%0%67%
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game86.888.085.0
Allowed / game88.292.382.0
Point differential-1.4-4.3+3.0
Avg total175.0180.3167.0
Over 17520%33%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
5 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Verona53260%90.088.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Reggiana52340%85.284.4+0.8
12 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona2321271788
Varese2525232699
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.