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Virginia vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-50
43-19 37-31
Position#66
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Virginia 🏆
USA
vs
Tarleton
USA
Position#42
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#367
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A23/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A25/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H11/03
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H12/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H16/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-26
32-32
29-25
28-30
21-28
27-35
26-42
37-29
28-23
36-34
36-20
39-40
25-24
43-35
37-25
39-31
17-24
32-35
32-27
35-41
123.4Avg total
62.8Scored
60.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)62.860.6123.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)67.060.4127.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.059.5117.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)66.961.9128.8+5.162%
vs Weaker (12)66.858.8125.6+8.192%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#259
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H24/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
110-45
110
45
+65
H01/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H04/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#4
L
70-72 OT
70
72
-2
H19/03
CBI
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
45-32
0-0
30-39
0-0
32-32
0-0
28-33
0-0
27-34
0-0
32-30
0-0
35-20
0-0
42-38
0-0
40-38
0-0
43-45
0-0
46-20
0-0
64-25
–
–
–
–
0-0
31-28
0-0
43-42
0-0
27-34
0-0
31-38
0-0
37-33
0-0
27-31
131.4Avg total
69.8Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.861.6131.4+8.250%
Last 5 (5)66.451.8118.2+14.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.567.2132.8-1.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)66.372.4138.7-6.138%
vs Weaker (8)74.854.6129.4+20.188%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +2.1+2.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +2.1+2.1
VirginiaTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#367
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A23/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A25/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H11/03
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
17-24
17
24
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H16/03
NCAA
54.4Avg total
28.0Scored
26.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.727.558.3+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (19)30.325.155.4+5.268%-
Last 30 away (11)31.531.763.2-0.355%-
Last 10 (10)28.026.454.4+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)29.424.053.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.525.051.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.228.859.0+1.450%-
vs Weaker (12)32.226.258.4+5.983%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#259
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H24/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H01/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H19/03
CBI
65.7Avg total
35.6Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.929.963.8+4.059%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.526.564.0+11.187%-
Last 30 away (14)29.933.663.5-3.629%-
Last 10 (9)35.630.165.7+5.467%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.666.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.233.061.2-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.531.363.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker (7)37.625.463.0+12.186%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia wins
0
Tarleton wins
No previous meetings.
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/23HFurman67-68
12/03/23HDuke49-59
11/03/23HClemson76-56
10/03/23HNorth Carolina68-59
04/03/23HLouisville75-60
01/03/23HClemson64-57
25/02/23ANorth Carolina63-71
23/02/23ABoston College48-63
18/02/23HNotre Dame57-55
16/02/23ALouisville61-58
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23HRadford70-72 OT
10/03/23AUtah Valley State58-72
08/03/23HUTRGV74-70
04/03/23HNew Mexico State20-0
01/03/23HDallas Christian110-45
26/02/23AUTRGV95-99 OT
24/02/23HUtah Valley State77-58
19/02/23HSam Houston St.59-64
16/02/23AStephen F. Austin60-65
12/02/23AUtah Tech75-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hofstra110100%101.048.0+53.0
2 Purdue110100%98.045.0+53.0
3 Penn110100%102.057.0+45.0
4 Troy110100%92.047.0+45.0
5 UMass Lowell110100%96.051.0+45.0
6 Uconn110100%95.052.0+43.0
7 Tennessee110100%80.042.0+38.0
8 Oregon State110100%82.046.0+36.0
9 Stephen F. Austin110100%96.068.0+28.0
10 Prairie View A&M110100%89.066.0+23.0
11 Oregon110100%82.071.0+11.0
12 IUPUI110100%70.063.0+7.0
13 Spalding1010%63.070.0-7.0
14 Georgia1010%71.082.0-11.0
15 Kansas Christian1010%66.089.0-23.0
16 North American Stallions1010%68.096.0-28.0
17 Linfield1010%46.082.0-36.0
18 Tennessee Tech1010%42.080.0-38.0
19 Northern Arizona1010%52.095.0-43.0
20 Fort Lauderdale1010%47.092.0-45.0
21 John Jay1010%57.0102.0-45.0
22 Rivier1010%51.096.0-45.0
23 Samford1010%45.098.0-53.0
24 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%48.0101.0-53.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia433780
Tarleton193150
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