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Virtus Bologna vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-76
32-24 13-18 23-12 20-22
Position#2
Record18-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#10
Record12-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game86.3
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Pesaro
30 Dec 2023
VIR83
PES66
26 Mar 2023
VIR88
PES76
17 May 2022
VIR70
PES51
15 May 2022
VIR82
PES76
06 Nov 2021
VIR88
PES75
30 Dec 2020
VIR100
PES80
01 Feb 2020
VIR106
PES89
23 Mar 2019
VIR78
PES70
03 Feb 2018
VIR85
PES67
09 Feb 2016
VIR79
PES75
19 Apr 2015
VIR89
PES85
29 Dec 2013
VIR75
PES65
02 Dec 2012
VIR76
PES58
29 Apr 2012
VIR73
PES64
20 Feb 2011
VIR71
PES70
10 Jan 2010
VIR82
PES80
14 Feb 2009
VIR95
PES88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brescia
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
85avg 78
H24/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
72-104
72
104
-32
67avg 78
A03/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
W
91-90
91
90
+1
88avg 78
H05/03
Lega A
Partizan
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
82avg 78
H07/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
96-74
96
74
+22
100avg 78
A09/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
83-68
83
68
+15
79avg 78
A12/03
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
66avg 78
A16/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 78
A19/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
70avg 78
H24/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
14-23
21-21
25-23
16-19
28-22
24-21
20-21
14-31
15-27
23-27
20-19
18-25
26-18
23-18
24-29
26-28
21-17
16-20
16-23
22-14
27-19
28-26
19-15
24-12
14-14
26-17
19-25
22-21
15-20
16-22
15-18
26-15
23-21
8-19
18-14
12-26
21-24
25-18
21-28
164.4Avg total
80.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.876.7160.5+7.182%
Season at home (10)85.179.2164.3+5.980%
Season away (12)82.874.7157.4+8.183%
Last 10 (10)80.783.7164.4-3.050%
Last 5 (5)80.277.6157.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.286.7166.9-6.536%
vs Similar (8)79.178.6157.8+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.377.3160.6+6.080%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 74
A15/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
64avg 74
H21/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-110
74
110
-36
60avg 74
A29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 74
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 74
A12/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
57-74
57
74
-17
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
70-100
70
100
-30
50avg 74
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
99-110
99
110
-11
92avg 74
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
88avg 74
H18/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
26-18
11-24
29-14
18-20
23-19
10-20
25-14
21-29
15-32
19-28
19-21
24-15
15-21
18-19
28-19
7-28
30-20
23-29
17-16
29-12
15-23
23-29
17-16
16-14
6-22
14-15
21-23
15-15
10-26
24-27
21-32
23-34
36-28
21-26
19-22
18-22
17-15
24-22
29-20
165.3Avg total
79.1Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.086.3172.2-0.355%
Season at home (11)85.684.2169.8+1.564%
Season away (11)86.388.4174.6-2.145%
Last 10 (10)79.186.2165.3-7.150%
Last 5 (5)79.688.6168.2-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.986.6165.5-7.733%
vs Similar (11)86.681.0167.6+5.673%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
Virtus BolognaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/02
Italian Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
29-58
29
58
-29
A03/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H05/03
Lega A
Partizan
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A09/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A12/03
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A19/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H24/03
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
40.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.979.4-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.240.280.5+0.047%-
Last 30 away (13)38.539.578.0-0.954%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.381.3-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.278.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.444.582.8-6.136%-
vs Similar (8)39.537.476.9+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.337.378.6+4.070%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
36-61
36
61
-25
A29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A12/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/03
Lega A
80.5Avg total
37.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.081.6-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.239.280.4+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)40.042.682.6-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)37.942.680.5-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.279.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.442.682.1-3.233%-
vs Similar (11)42.139.081.1+3.182%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.015.8
49.4%
51.3%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.7
39.8%
36.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.614.2
80.7%
76.1%14.2
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.6
49.7%
51.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.7
37.4%
36.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.714.3
72.6%
76.1%14.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWLWWLWLWL
Pesaro
WLLLWLWLWW
#2
League position
#10
-2.0
Net rating
-6.2
109.0
Offensive rating
110.6
111.0
Defensive rating
116.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.8%
3-point %
37.4%
72.8%
Assist %
59.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 110.6Defence111.0 · 116.9Shooting54.1% · 52.6%3-point %39.8% · 37.4%Ball care19.3% · 15.6%Off. rebounds27.9% · 25.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Pesaro wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/23HReal Madrid79-96
19/03/23AOlimpia Milano75-69
16/03/23AMonaco68-81
12/03/23AVenezia83-68
09/03/23AAlba Berlin96-74
07/03/23HPartizan79-88
05/03/23HTortona91-90
03/03/23AFenerbahce72-104
24/02/23HBaskonia88-83
19/02/23HBrescia76-84
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23HBrescia88-79
11/03/23AVarese99-110
05/03/23HBrindisi70-100
18/02/23ABrescia57-74
15/02/23HVarese84-80
12/02/23AVenezia77-93
05/02/23HReggiana85-74
29/01/23ASassari74-110
21/01/23HVerona76-73
15/01/23AScafati81-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %82%80%83%
Points / game83.885.182.8
Allowed / game76.779.274.7
Point differential+7.1+5.9+8.1
Avg total160.5164.3157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%30%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW55%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%64%45%
Points / game86.085.686.3
Allowed / game86.384.288.4
Point differential-0.3+1.5-2.1
Avg total172.2169.8174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%18%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2218482%83.876.7+7.1
2 Olimpia Milano2217577%82.473.0+9.5
3 Tortona2216673%81.976.7+5.1
4 Sassari2213959%86.680.5+6.0
5 Brindisi23131057%83.582.5+1.0
6 Varese22121055%91.691.4+0.2
7 Pesaro22121055%86.086.3-0.3
8 Venezia23111248%82.280.2+2.0
9 Trento23111248%75.177.4-2.3
10 Treviso23101343%80.785.8-5.1
11 Trieste2391439%78.282.9-4.7
12 Brescia2281436%83.282.6+0.5
13 Scafati2381535%78.179.5-1.4
14 Basket Napoli2381535%77.784.5-6.8
15 Verona2271532%78.486.3-7.9
16 Reggiana2371630%75.177.3-2.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna3213232088
Pesaro2418122276
← all games of the day
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