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Virtus Bologna vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-70
22-11 23-26 16-10 17-23
Position#11
Record11-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#15
Record6-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game93.0
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Pesaro
30 Dec 2023
VIR83
PES66
26 Mar 2023
VIR88
PES76
17 May 2022
VIR70
PES51
15 May 2022
VIR82
PES76
06 Nov 2021
VIR88
PES75
30 Dec 2020
VIR100
PES80
01 Feb 2020
VIR106
PES89
23 Mar 2019
VIR78
PES70
03 Feb 2018
VIR85
PES67
09 Feb 2016
VIR79
PES75
19 Apr 2015
VIR89
PES85
29 Dec 2013
VIR75
PES65
02 Dec 2012
VIR76
PES58
29 Apr 2012
VIR73
PES64
20 Feb 2011
VIR71
PES70
10 Jan 2010
VIR82
PES80
14 Feb 2009
VIR95
PES88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
W
88-66
88
66
+22
123avg 108
H03/02
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
98-91 OT
98
91
+7
no box
H06/02
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
91avg 108
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#1
L
91-102
91
102
-11
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
100avg 108
H02/03
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
L
74-74
74
74
+0
no box
A05/03
Champions League
Cantu
#8
L
94-96
94
96
-2
96avg 108
A10/03
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H13/03
Champions League
Torino
#13
W
80-64
80
64
+16
112avg 108
A17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
26-10
17-18
18-10
25-23
27-23
21-18
11-20
18-22
20-24
20-15
12-26
17-22
24-14
22-18
23-30
20-21
24-38
24-16
23-27
22-16
19-14
22-24
13-23
24-21
16-17
19-17
15-19
22-20
20-22
20-26
32-28
25-10
18-15
20-10
18-23
27-11
11-15
16-19
26-19
163.7Avg total
83.8Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.281.6162.9-0.450%
Season at home (10)80.678.4159.0+2.260%
Season away (12)81.884.3166.1-2.642%
Last 10 (10)83.879.9163.7+3.950%
Last 5 (5)81.073.8154.8+7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.787.5166.2-8.817%
vs Similar (10)83.176.9160.0+6.270%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.179.6163.7+4.554%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
L
78-98
78
98
-20
127avg 117
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
66-108
66
108
-42
89avg 117
A06/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
no box
H13/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-77
81
77
+4
104avg 117
A20/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
80-101
80
101
-21
176avg 117
H26/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
86-89
86
89
-3
111avg 117
H03/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-111
74
111
-37
97avg 117
A10/02
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
86-92
86
92
-6
109avg 117
H03/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
68-105
68
105
-37
86avg 117
A09/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
20-24
15-28
21-21
15-25
14-32
15-24
22-27
26-26
15-23
26-18
19-19
30-17
16-29
14-16
21-15
19-31
22-29
23-12
16-29
25-18
28-20
14-21
19-30
18-29
10-30
21-21
25-31
26-17
25-26
17-26
18-23
21-16
8-30
20-29
19-30
22-20
14-20
23-15
13-25
175.2Avg total
79.3Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.093.0174.0-12.127%
Season at home (12)86.091.2177.2-5.233%
Season away (10)74.995.3170.2-20.420%
Last 10 (10)79.395.9175.2-16.620%
Last 5 (5)77.295.4172.6-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)79.492.9172.3-13.522%
vs Similar (3)81.375.3156.7+6.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -9.1-9.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -5.7-5.7
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -9.1-9.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -5.7-5.7
Virtus BolognaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/02
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H06/02
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#1
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H16/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H02/03
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A05/03
Champions League
Cantu
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/03
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H13/03
Champions League
Torino
#13
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A17/03
Lega A
81.8Avg total
43.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.180.7+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.939.481.3+2.471%-
Last 30 away (16)41.238.980.1+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)43.238.681.8+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.273.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.543.083.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (10)40.837.578.3+3.370%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.638.881.5+3.869%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A06/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A20/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H26/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-59
28
59
-31
A10/02
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A09/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H17/03
Lega A
88.3Avg total
39.6Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.847.386.0-8.523%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.145.686.7-4.431%-
Last 30 away (14)36.149.285.3-13.114%-
Last 10 (10)39.648.788.3-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.284.6-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.348.086.3-9.722%-
vs Similar (3)42.740.783.3+2.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.8
51.7%
51.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.7
37.7%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.314.0
65.7%
72.3%14.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.420.9
47.1%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.15.7
28.4%
35.1%17.1
🏀 Free throws22.616.5
73.0%
72.3%16.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWLLLLWLWW
Pesaro
LLLLLLWWLL
#11
League position
#15
+2.3
Net rating
-27.4
107.9
Offensive rating
97.8
105.6
Defensive rating
125.1
53.5%
Effective FG%
45.7%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
62.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.0%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.7%
3-point %
28.4%
50.5%
Assist %
32.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 97.8Defence105.6 · 125.1Shooting53.5% · 45.7%3-point %37.7% · 28.4%Ball care17.3% · 19.0%Off. rebounds28.4% · 31.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Virtus Bologna wins
4
Pesaro wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19ATorino80-64
13/03/19HLe Mans81-58
10/03/19ACantu94-96
05/03/19ALe Mans74-74
02/03/19HVenezia76-77
16/02/19HCremona91-102
14/02/19AOlimpia Milano86-84
09/02/19ACremona70-87
06/02/19HPromitheas98-91 OT
03/02/19HAvellino88-66
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19HCantu72-80
09/03/19ATrieste68-105
03/03/19HBrescia86-92
10/02/19AOlimpia Milano74-111
03/02/19HVenezia86-89
26/01/19HBrindisi80-101
20/01/19APistoia81-77
13/01/19HTorino102-98 OT
06/01/19AReggiana66-108
30/12/18HVarese78-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayWLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %50%60%42%
Points / game81.280.681.8
Allowed / game81.678.484.3
Point differential-0.4+2.2-2.6
Avg total162.9159.0166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game81.086.074.9
Allowed / game93.091.295.3
Point differential-12.1-5.2-20.4
Avg total174.0177.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2218482%87.477.8+9.6
2 Venezia2216673%82.573.5+8.9
3 Cremona2214864%82.578.2+4.3
4 Avellino2214864%80.880.0+0.8
5 Varese2213959%79.374.8+4.5
6 Brindisi2213959%82.579.6+2.9
7 Trento22121055%79.380.8-1.5
8 Cantu22121055%84.686.5-1.9
9 Trieste22111150%87.084.0+3.0
10 Virtus Bologna22111150%81.281.6-0.4
11 Sassari22101245%84.682.6+2.0
12 Brescia22101245%79.280.1-0.9
13 Torino2261627%82.987.3-4.4
14 Pesaro2261627%81.093.0-12.1
15 Reggiana2251723%77.283.4-6.1
16 Pistoia2251723%75.183.8-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2223161778
Pesaro1126102370
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