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Virtus Bologna vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 83-66
15-19 26-13 17-16 25-18
Position#2
Record9-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#16
Record5-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game86.5
ItalyLega ARound 14· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Pesaro
30 Dec 2023
VIR83
PES66
26 Mar 2023
VIR88
PES76
17 May 2022
VIR70
PES51
15 May 2022
VIR82
PES76
06 Nov 2021
VIR88
PES75
30 Dec 2020
VIR100
PES80
01 Feb 2020
VIR106
PES89
23 Mar 2019
VIR78
PES70
03 Feb 2018
VIR85
PES67
09 Feb 2016
VIR79
PES75
19 Apr 2015
VIR89
PES85
29 Dec 2013
VIR75
PES65
02 Dec 2012
VIR76
PES58
29 Apr 2012
VIR73
PES64
20 Feb 2011
VIR71
PES70
10 Jan 2010
VIR82
PES80
14 Feb 2009
VIR95
PES88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
99-70
99
70
+29
101avg 81
H03/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 81
H06/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 81
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 81
A10/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
93avg 81
A14/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
no box
H16/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
69-67
69
67
+2
61avg 81
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
71-79
71
79
-8
68avg 81
A21/12
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
91-70
91
70
+21
86avg 81
A23/12
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
76avg 81
A28/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
18-19
25-18
27-16
18-24
15-21
23-16
24-14
28-29
21-20
29-23
22-18
23-21
21-27
21-19
15-15
24-15
18-28
21-17
28-21
15-23
20-17
24-21
21-19
17-19
11-21
19-15
22-12
21-26
26-11
7-23
17-19
28-16
23-12
16-20
24-22
23-18
18-18
19-19
17-20
161.6Avg total
84.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.177.8165.8+10.369%
Season at home (6)92.876.3169.2+16.583%
Season away (7)84.079.0163.0+5.057%
Last 10 (10)84.277.4161.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)78.475.2153.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.278.3156.5-0.267%
vs Similar (12)84.481.5165.9+2.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.777.4166.1+11.275%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
no box
H22/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
90-82
90
82
+8
89avg 71
A29/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
73avg 71
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 71
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
69-96
69
96
-27
60avg 71
A19/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
100avg 71
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
68-101
68
101
-33
63avg 71
A02/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
65avg 71
H10/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 71
A17/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 71
H23/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-34
16-13
31-20
25-19
27-17
15-28
23-19
25-18
25-19
12-28
18-24
22-26
20-29
28-16
16-27
32-20
17-26
16-27
23-20
13-23
26-21
22-18
28-13
19-24
18-29
20-22
14-19
16-31
12-19
22-17
13-25
27-26
17-23
30-15
17-14
10-21
21-18
24-19
21-24
15-27
172.6Avg total
82.7Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.886.5167.3-5.638%
Season at home (7)84.389.0173.3-4.729%
Season away (6)76.883.5160.3-6.750%
Last 10 (10)82.789.9172.6-7.240%
Last 5 (5)78.485.0163.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.889.5166.3-12.726%
vs Similar (10)83.985.8169.7-1.940%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
Virtus BolognaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H03/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H06/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A10/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A21/12
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A23/12
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/12
Euroleague
81.9Avg total
41.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.682.9+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.439.282.6+4.267%-
Last 30 away (15)43.239.983.1+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.740.281.9+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.276.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.043.382.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (12)44.141.585.6+2.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.735.880.4+8.975%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H22/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A19/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A02/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H10/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A17/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/12
Lega A
84.0Avg total
40.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.943.482.3-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.540.879.2-2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)39.446.485.8-7.121%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.884.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.282.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.445.683.1-8.216%-
vs Similar (10)41.240.081.2+1.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.3
53.4%
53.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.7
40.1%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.612.7
76.5%
76.3%12.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.1
49.4%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.0
37.0%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.414.3
77.7%
76.3%14.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWLWLWLWWW
Pesaro
LWLLWLWLWL
#2
League position
#16
+7.1
Net rating
-7.3
115.0
Offensive rating
105.3
107.8
Defensive rating
112.5
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.1%
3-point %
37.0%
67.3%
Assist %
64.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 105.3Defence107.8 · 112.5Shooting56.0% · 51.7%3-point %40.1% · 37.0%Ball care16.4% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 24.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Pesaro wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23APartizan77-75
23/12/23APistoia91-70
21/12/23AValencia71-79
19/12/23HOlympiacos69-67
16/12/23HVenezia84-85 OT
14/12/23ABaskonia91-81
10/12/23AOlimpia Milano80-82
08/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-90
06/12/23HBarcelona80-75
03/12/23HTortona99-70
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HVarese81-88
17/12/23APistoia74-73
10/12/23HTrento74-87
02/12/23AReggiana68-101
26/11/23HTreviso95-76
19/11/23ACremona69-96
12/11/23HTortona96-92
04/11/23HBasket Napoli77-97
29/10/23AOlimpia Milano90-82
22/10/23HScafati103-107 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW69%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game88.192.884.0
Allowed / game77.876.379.0
Point differential+10.3+16.5+5.0
Avg total165.8169.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%83%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWWLL29%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%29%50%
Points / game80.884.376.8
Allowed / game86.589.083.5
Point differential-5.6-4.7-6.7
Avg total167.3173.3160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1411379%86.374.7+11.6
2 Venezia1411379%81.476.3+5.1
3 Virtus Bologna139469%88.177.8+10.3
4 Trento149564%84.681.6+3.0
5 Olimpia Milano148657%78.774.6+4.1
6 Basket Napoli148657%85.782.4+3.3
7 Reggiana148657%84.682.9+1.8
8 Cremona147750%81.979.3+2.6
9 Scafati147750%86.486.6-0.2
10 Pistoia147750%79.781.6-1.9
11 Pesaro135838%80.886.5-5.6
12 Varese145936%85.289.9-4.6
13 Tortona145936%77.182.9-5.7
14 Sassari145936%74.684.1-9.6
15 Treviso1441029%79.983.1-3.2
16 Brindisi1421214%71.982.6-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1526172583
Pesaro1913161866
← all games of the day
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