PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 89-75
21-20 29-16 23-16 16-23
Position#1
Record31-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#4
Record18-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game89.3
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves
14 May 2025
ZAL89
WOL75
02 Feb 2025
ZAL97
WOL84
21 Jan 2024
ZAL82
WOL82
17 Dec 2023
ZAL79
WOL55
22 Apr 2023
ZAL71
WOL65
22 Jan 2023
ZAL91
WOL72
28 Nov 2022
ZAL90
WOL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
64avg 80
A11/04
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
105-80
105
80
+25
107avg 80
A13/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
98-56
98
56
+42
96avg 80
H16/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
81-69
81
69
+12
71avg 80
A19/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-63
109
63
+46
111avg 80
H24/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 80
A26/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
105-88
105
88
+17
109avg 80
H29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
92avg 80
A03/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
84-49
84
49
+35
82avg 80
H07/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
97avg 80
A11/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
23-27
27-22
13-16
31-24
24-15
20-23
30-18
21-11
21-17
31-17
25-11
18-18
19-22
22-20
22-9
31-20
26-7
32-12
20-24
18-16
21-17
31-18
26-24
24-18
27-30
29-23
25-17
21-16
22-20
26-22
19-18
20-7
27-8
22-18
15-16
20-24
25-22
25-12
21-23
165.8Avg total
93.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)91.873.5165.2+18.394%
Season at home (16)92.269.6161.9+22.6100%
Season away (17)91.477.1168.4+14.388%
Last 10 (10)93.472.4165.8+21.090%
Last 5 (5)92.873.8166.6+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.788.3166.0-10.70%
vs Similar (7)78.981.0159.9-2.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.572.2162.8+18.3100%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
77avg 82
A06/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
94-99
94
99
-5
91avg 82
H12/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
97-85
97
85
+12
98avg 82
A15/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
65avg 82
H19/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
96avg 82
A22/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
88-92
88
92
-4
81avg 82
H27/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 82
A30/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
89-102
89
102
-13
84avg 82
H04/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
107-106
107
106
+1
100avg 82
A07/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
96-84
96
84
+12
100avg 82
H11/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-33
26-15
23-21
20-23
22-35
27-10
25-24
20-30
22-18
15-23
30-23
30-21
18-18
22-19
20-22
9-22
21-21
28-29
22-20
21-15
21-18
25-27
21-24
21-23
23-27
24-27
21-23
18-17
22-28
25-14
26-28
16-32
20-26
29-27
23-25
35-28
25-21
27-21
26-21
18-21
182.6Avg total
90.6Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)90.289.3179.6+0.955%
Season at home (16)91.489.3180.7+2.156%
Season away (17)89.289.4178.5-0.253%
Last 10 (10)90.692.0182.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)93.295.6188.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)82.892.0174.8-9.20%
vs Similar (16)87.888.7176.5-0.944%
vs Weaker (9)93.489.0182.4+4.467%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +7.8+7.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +7.8+7.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
Zalgiris KaunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/04
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A13/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H16/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A19/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H24/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A26/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A03/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
47-15
47
15
+32
H07/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A11/05
LKL
81.4Avg total
45.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.979.8+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.736.380.0+7.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.139.579.7+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)45.336.181.4+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.680.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.081.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (7)35.343.378.6-8.014%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.735.380.0+9.475%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A06/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A15/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H19/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A22/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A30/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A07/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H11/05
LKL
91.8Avg total
46.1Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.745.591.2+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.643.891.4+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)43.647.490.9-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.791.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)48.247.295.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.046.890.8-2.840%-
vs Similar (16)44.944.289.1+0.856%-
vs Weaker (9)48.047.095.0+1.044%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.822.4
62.6%
55.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.011.2
41.5%
35.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.513.8
74.6%
75.0%13.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.0
55.1%
55.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.2
40.3%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws27.021.0
77.8%
75.0%21.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWL
BC Wolves
WWLLLWLWLL
#1
League position
#4
+28.7
Net rating
-2.1
131.2
Offensive rating
120.0
102.5
Defensive rating
122.1
62.4%
Effective FG%
57.4%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
14.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.45
41.5%
3-point %
40.3%
64.9%
Assist %
69.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence131.2 · 120.0Defence102.5 · 122.1Shooting62.4% · 57.4%3-point %41.5% · 40.3%Ball care14.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds35.9% · 34.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
5
BC Wolves wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25AJonava91-81
07/05/25HNeptunas84-49
03/05/25ALietkabelis88-76
29/04/25HNevezis105-88
26/04/25AJuventus96-75
24/04/25HMazeikiai109-63
19/04/25ABC Wolves81-69
16/04/25HSiauliai98-56
13/04/25AMazeikiai105-80
11/04/25AAnadolu Efes77-87
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25HNeptunas96-84
07/05/25ANevezis107-106
04/05/25HRytas89-102
30/04/25AJuventus86-94
27/04/25HLietkabelis88-92
22/04/25ASiauliai92-85
19/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas69-81
15/04/25ANeptunas97-85
12/04/25HNevezis94-99
06/04/25ARytas88-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game91.892.291.4
Allowed / game73.569.677.1
Point differential+18.3+22.6+14.3
Avg total165.2161.9168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%75%65%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
BC Wolves
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeLLLLW56%
AwayLWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %55%56%53%
Points / game90.291.489.2
Allowed / game89.389.389.4
Point differential+0.9+2.1-0.2
Avg total179.6180.7178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)43% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3331294%91.873.5+18.3
2 Rytas3428682%93.183.4+9.7
3 Jonava34191556%89.489.7-0.3
4 BC Wolves33181555%90.289.3+0.9
5 Lietkabelis34181653%82.881.4+1.4
6 Juventus34161847%85.287.1-2.0
7 Siauliai34132138%91.195.7-4.6
8 Neptunas33112233%83.888.7-4.8
9 Nevezis34112332%90.489.9+0.5
10 Mazeikiai333309%79.398.6-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2129231689
BC Wolves2016162375
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.