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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 84-49
20-7 27-8 22-18 15-16
Position#1
Record29-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#7
Record11-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game88.6
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas
25 Apr 2027
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ZAL119
NEP81
08 Feb 2026
ZAL87
NEP76
04 Jan 2026
ZAL112
NEP77
24 May 2025
ZAL88
NEP75
07 May 2025
ZAL84
NEP49
15 Dec 2024
ZAL91
NEP75
27 Nov 2023
ZAL76
NEP88
08 Jan 2023
ZAL77
NEP46
11 May 2022
ZAL89
NEP60
07 May 2022
ZAL87
NEP71
02 May 2022
ZAL92
NEP88
10 Oct 2021
ZAL98
NEP79
28 Feb 2021
ZAL85
NEP72
13 Feb 2021
ZAL84
NEP72
22 Nov 2020
ZAL81
NEP59
01 Dec 2019
ZAL100
NEP82
09 May 2019
ZAL90
NEP80
14 Oct 2018
ZAL60
NEP75
10 Apr 2018
ZAL94
NEP47
05 Nov 2017
ZAL88
NEP62
19 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP60
13 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP54
05 Mar 2017
ZAL69
NEP78
23 Oct 2016
ZAL77
NEP67
06 Jun 2016
ZAL97
NEP70
31 May 2016
ZAL78
NEP54
25 May 2016
ZAL83
NEP72
31 Jan 2016
ZAL89
NEP57
11 Oct 2015
ZAL81
NEP71
01 Mar 2015
ZAL86
NEP90
02 Nov 2014
ZAL86
NEP48
06 Jun 2014
ZAL90
NEP70
31 May 2014
ZAL88
NEP72
26 May 2014
ZAL92
NEP83
07 Apr 2014
ZAL79
NEP88
23 Apr 2013
ZAL99
NEP83
20 Jan 2013
ZAL111
NEP87
26 Feb 2012
ZAL85
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
W
70-66
70
66
+4
62avg 80
H03/04
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 80
H06/04
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
64avg 80
A11/04
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
105-80
105
80
+25
107avg 80
A13/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
98-56
98
56
+42
96avg 80
H16/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
81-69
81
69
+12
71avg 80
A19/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-63
109
63
+46
111avg 80
H24/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 80
A26/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
105-88
105
88
+17
109avg 80
H29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
92avg 80
A03/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
11-19
14-9
21-17
21-16
18-26
18-20
26-17
14-22
23-27
27-22
13-16
31-24
24-15
20-23
30-18
21-11
21-17
31-17
25-11
18-18
19-22
22-20
22-9
31-20
26-7
32-12
20-24
18-16
21-17
31-18
26-24
24-18
27-30
29-23
25-17
21-16
22-20
26-22
19-18
165.1Avg total
91.2Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)92.174.0166.1+18.194%
Season at home (15)92.871.0163.8+21.8100%
Season away (16)91.476.8168.2+14.688%
Last 10 (10)91.273.9165.1+17.390%
Last 5 (5)95.874.2170.0+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.288.5165.8-11.20%
vs Similar (7)78.981.0159.9-2.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.773.5164.3+17.2100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
72avg 81
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
66avg 81
H30/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
97-98
97
98
-1
97avg 81
H05/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 81
H12/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-97
85
97
-12
85avg 81
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
94-100
94
100
-6
92avg 81
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
79avg 81
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
89avg 81
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 81
A30/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
96-90
96
90
+6
97avg 81
H04/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
16-26
18-24
22-23
14-20
22-14
15-28
16-18
16-27
24-34
22-21
35-16
14-26
20-24
34-21
24-14
18-22
23-15
23-30
21-30
24-36
18-17
20-25
32-22
16-30
24-21
22-26
23-26
28-26
19-19
14-27
29-23
24-27
23-19
16-18
16-20
27-20
20-18
21-26
28-26
178.6Avg total
86.3Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.088.6173.5-3.635%
Season at home (16)82.286.6168.8-4.331%
Season away (15)87.990.7178.6-2.940%
Last 10 (10)86.392.3178.6-6.020%
Last 5 (5)88.894.4183.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.288.9170.1-7.727%
vs Similar (8)83.989.6173.5-5.812%
vs Weaker (7)92.983.1176.0+9.771%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
Zalgiris KaunasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H03/04
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/04
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/04
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A13/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H16/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A19/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H24/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A26/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A03/05
LKL
81.7Avg total
43.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.480.1+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.437.981.3+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.138.979.0+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.281.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.436.882.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.840.882.5+1.050%-
vs Similar (7)35.343.378.6-8.014%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.036.180.1+7.974%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H30/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H05/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H12/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A30/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H04/05
LKL
87.1Avg total
41.2Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.585.3-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.943.184.1-2.241%-
Last 30 away (13)40.546.486.9-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)41.245.987.1-4.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.691.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.644.384.9-3.747%-
vs Similar (8)39.846.886.5-7.012%-
vs Weaker (7)42.342.684.9-0.329%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.622.0
61.8%
55.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.1
37.5%
35.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.315.9
74.6%
75.0%15.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.919.5
59.3%
55.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.6
36.6%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.017.7
77.0%
75.0%17.7
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWLWW
Neptunas
WLLLLLWLLL
#1
League position
#7
+23.8
Net rating
-7.3
128.3
Offensive rating
111.7
104.6
Defensive rating
119.1
59.4%
Effective FG%
57.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
22.9%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.5%
3-point %
36.6%
63.9%
Assist %
71.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence128.3 · 111.7Defence104.6 · 119.1Shooting59.4% · 57.4%3-point %37.5% · 36.6%Ball care14.2% · 22.9%Off. rebounds35.6% · 32.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ALietkabelis88-76
29/04/25HNevezis105-88
26/04/25AJuventus96-75
24/04/25HMazeikiai109-63
19/04/25ABC Wolves81-69
16/04/25HSiauliai98-56
13/04/25AMazeikiai105-80
11/04/25AAnadolu Efes77-87
06/04/25HLietkabelis83-79
03/04/25HPartizan70-66
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HNevezis96-90
30/04/25ALietkabelis79-84
27/04/25HSiauliai90-95
24/04/25ARytas85-103
21/04/25AJuventus94-100
15/04/25HBC Wolves85-97
12/04/25HRytas92-85
05/04/25HJonava97-98
30/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas67-80
22/03/25ASiauliai78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game92.192.891.4
Allowed / game74.071.076.8
Point differential+18.1+21.8+14.6
Avg total166.1163.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%73%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeLWLLW31%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %35%31%40%
Points / game85.082.287.9
Allowed / game88.686.690.7
Point differential-3.6-4.3-2.9
Avg total173.5168.8178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%12%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3129294%92.174.0+18.1
2 Rytas3226681%92.983.3+9.6
3 Jonava32191359%90.490.2+0.1
4 Lietkabelis32171553%83.581.5+2.0
5 BC Wolves31161552%89.589.0+0.5
6 Juventus32141844%84.287.3-3.1
7 Siauliai32131941%91.395.3-4.0
8 Neptunas31112035%85.088.6-3.6
9 Nevezis31102132%89.389.4-0.0
10 Mazeikiai323299%79.298.3-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2027221584
Neptunas78181649
← all games of the day
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