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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 109-63
31-20 26-7 32-12 20-24
Position#1
Record25-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#10
Record3-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game96.3
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Mazeikiai
24 Apr 2025
ZAL109
MAZ63
17 Nov 2024
ZAL101
MAZ46
12 May 2024
ZAL97
MAZ61
29 Apr 2024
ZAL95
MAZ68
28 Jan 2024
ZAL103
MAZ75
26 Jan 2015
ZAL76
MAZ52
24 Nov 2014
ZAL98
MAZ79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
73avg 79
A23/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
L
86-96 OT
86
96
-10
74avg 79
A25/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-88
79
88
-9
77avg 79
A27/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
70avg 79
A30/03
LKL
Partizan
#12
W
70-66
70
66
+4
62avg 79
H03/04
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 79
H06/04
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
64avg 79
A11/04
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
105-80
105
80
+25
107avg 79
A13/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
98-56
98
56
+42
96avg 79
H16/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
81-69
81
69
+12
71avg 79
A19/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
20-18
26-26
17-20
23-15
25-29
17-14
15-22
18-23
16-17
27-23
18-25
20-14
14-22
28-15
18-16
24-21
11-19
14-9
21-17
21-16
18-26
18-20
26-17
14-22
23-27
27-22
13-16
31-24
24-15
20-23
30-18
21-11
21-17
31-17
25-11
18-18
19-22
22-20
22-9
161.1Avg total
84.3Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)91.073.8164.7+17.293%
Season at home (13)90.670.3160.9+20.3100%
Season away (14)91.377.0168.3+14.386%
Last 10 (10)84.376.8161.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)88.874.2163.0+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.090.4169.4-11.40%
vs Similar (8)78.679.4158.0-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.674.5163.1+14.1100%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
72-92
72
92
-20
63avg 69
A10/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
74-102
74
102
-28
59avg 69
H02/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-106
86
106
-20
75avg 69
H08/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
77-96
77
96
-19
66avg 69
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
69-102
69
102
-33
58avg 69
A22/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 69
A29/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
71-101
71
101
-30
64avg 69
H05/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-105
80
105
-25
70avg 69
H13/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
55-116
55
116
-61
42avg 69
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-90
69
90
-21
67avg 69
A19/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
19-23
15-29
18-26
21-21
17-24
16-30
20-27
21-28
24-23
14-29
27-26
25-24
14-21
20-22
18-29
13-26
22-27
19-27
15-22
16-22
26-20
13-21
22-17
21-22
18-26
13-27
19-26
24-31
15-24
23-20
18-30
10-37
18-28
14-35
13-16
13-19
17-28
16-28
23-15
172.0Avg total
73.0Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.796.3175.0-17.611%
Season at home (14)80.595.4175.9-14.914%
Season away (13)76.897.3174.1-20.58%
Last 10 (10)73.099.0172.0-26.00%
Last 5 (5)70.498.4168.8-28.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)80.195.0175.1-14.923%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -10.5-10.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -4.1-4.1
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -10.5-10.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -4.1-4.1
Zalgiris KaunasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A23/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A25/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A27/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A30/03
LKL
Partizan
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H03/04
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/04
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/04
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A13/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H16/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A19/04
LKL
79.4Avg total
40.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.780.2+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.280.9+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.539.179.6+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.279.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.681.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.839.482.2+3.460%-
vs Similar (8)36.041.977.9-5.925%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.836.980.8+6.971%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A10/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H08/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A22/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A29/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H13/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
28-65
28
65
-37
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A19/04
LKL
86.2Avg total
37.4Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.445.984.3-7.520%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.943.182.9-3.233%-
Last 30 away (15)37.048.785.7-11.77%-
Last 10 (10)37.448.886.2-11.410%-
Last 5 (5)35.651.487.0-15.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.445.984.3-7.520%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.1
55.4%
55.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.0
34.7%
35.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
75.0%16.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.1
51.3%
55.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.810.9
69.0%
75.0%10.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWWWLLW
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#10
+9.4
Net rating
-34.5
117.0
Offensive rating
95.7
107.6
Defensive rating
130.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
49.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
22.2%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.7%
3-point %
32.0%
58.8%
Assist %
58.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 95.7Defence107.6 · 130.2Shooting54.0% · 49.9%3-point %34.7% · 32.0%Ball care15.1% · 22.2%Off. rebounds33.0% · 27.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Mazeikiai wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25ABC Wolves81-69
16/04/25HSiauliai98-56
13/04/25AMazeikiai105-80
11/04/25AAnadolu Efes77-87
06/04/25HLietkabelis83-79
03/04/25HPartizan70-66
30/03/25ANeptunas80-67
27/03/25ALyon-Villeurbanne79-88
25/03/25AMonaco86-96 OT
23/03/25ANevezis84-80
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25ALietkabelis69-90
16/04/25AJonava55-116
13/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-105
05/04/25HNevezis71-101
29/03/25AJuventus77-80
22/03/25ARytas69-102
15/03/25HNeptunas77-96
08/03/25HBC Wolves86-106
02/03/25HSiauliai74-102
10/02/25AJuventus72-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game91.090.691.3
Allowed / game73.870.377.0
Point differential+17.2+20.3+14.3
Avg total164.7160.9168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%69%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %11%14%8%
Points / game78.780.576.8
Allowed / game96.395.497.3
Point differential-17.6-14.9-20.5
Avg total175.0175.9174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2725293%91.073.8+17.2
2 Rytas2822679%90.883.0+7.8
3 BC Wolves28161257%89.788.2+1.5
4 Jonava28161257%89.189.6-0.5
5 Lietkabelis28141450%82.780.9+1.8
6 Juventus28121643%83.686.5-2.9
7 Siauliai28111739%89.894.8-4.9
8 Nevezis28101836%89.788.1+1.6
9 Neptunas28101836%84.688.5-3.9
10 Mazeikiai2732411%78.796.3-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas31263220109
Mazeikiai207122463
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