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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Nevezis Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 16 May 2027
Tip-off: 16:10
Scheduled
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game76.1
Zalgiris Kaunas
Lithuania
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Nevezis
Lithuania
Position#10
Record1-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game82.5
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis
16 May 2027
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
20 Dec 2026
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
17 May 2026
ZAL98
NEV80
25 Jan 2026
ZAL88
NEV73
29 Apr 2025
ZAL105
NEV88
12 Jan 2025
ZAL88
NEV86
02 May 2024
ZAL102
NEV78
10 Dec 2023
ZAL102
NEV98
13 May 2023
ZAL90
NEV71
30 Apr 2023
ZAL95
NEV89
23 Oct 2022
ZAL93
NEV75
23 Oct 2021
ZAL102
NEV77
30 Apr 2020
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
ZAL89
NEV84
20 Jan 2019
ZAL82
NEV79
03 Oct 2018
ZAL81
NEV68
25 May 2018
ZAL84
NEV69
12 May 2018
ZAL95
NEV70
29 Apr 2018
ZAL91
NEV72
07 Jan 2018
ZAL94
NEV68
22 Jan 2017
ZAL80
NEV59
02 Jan 2017
ZAL89
NEV62
13 Apr 2016
ZAL95
NEV73
30 Nov 2015
ZAL82
NEV88
21 Apr 2015
ZAL92
NEV53
13 Oct 2014
ZAL79
NEV52
09 Mar 2014
ZAL95
NEV56
15 Apr 2013
ZAL94
NEV51
10 Dec 2011
ZAL81
NEV60
14 Mar 2011
ZAL104
NEV70
07 Feb 2010
ZAL80
NEV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
73avg 92
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 92
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 92
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 92
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 92
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 92
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 92
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#14
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
29-23
13-28
24-21
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
168.9Avg total
88.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.276.1169.3+17.1100%
Season at home (4)95.072.2167.2+22.8100%
Season away (5)91.879.2171.0+12.6100%
Last 10 (10)88.680.3168.9+8.380%
Last 5 (5)89.879.0168.8+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (4)86.588.2174.8-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.778.5172.2+15.292%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
62-89
62
89
-27
52avg 67
A03/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
60avg 67
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
72avg 67
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
86-101
86
101
-15
85avg 67
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
70avg 67
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
93-69
93
69
+24
85avg 67
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 67
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
H08/11
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-34
12-21
19-14
21-20
18-26
18-23
23-13
17-19
22-16
18-18
19-25
17-21
18-18
20-27
25-30
23-26
19-20
9-22
21-20
23-11
27-20
21-25
24-13
21-11
22-19
18-24
15-18
21-19
22-25
27-17
18-19
20-15
26-23
23-18
15-20
12-22
23-20
22-17
28-22
17-20
160.5Avg total
79.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.982.5156.4-8.612%
Season at home (4)77.878.0155.8-0.225%
Season away (4)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)79.481.1160.5-1.730%
Last 5 (5)84.477.4161.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.990.8170.6-10.918%
vs Similar (5)81.288.6169.8-7.420%
vs Weaker (3)86.376.3162.7+10.067%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
Zalgiris KaunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#14
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
82.0Avg total
42.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.339.584.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.739.586.3+7.280%-
Last 30 away (15)43.939.583.5+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.182.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.045.088.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.543.886.2-1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.938.684.5+7.280%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
22-55
22
55
-33
A03/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/11
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
82.8Avg total
39.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.345.584.8-6.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.144.984.1-5.836%-
Last 30 away (16)39.446.185.4-6.725%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.382.8-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.687.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.546.184.6-7.732%-
vs Similar (5)40.644.084.6-3.40%-
vs Weaker (3)43.043.786.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
70.8%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.1
50.5%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.0
29.3%
35.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.615.6
66.1%
70.8%15.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWLL
Nevezis
WLWLWLLLLL
#1
League position
#10
+11.2
Net rating
-10.2
106.4
Offensive rating
88.9
95.2
Defensive rating
99.1
59.8%
Effective FG%
48.3%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.38
43.4%
3-point %
29.3%
69.0%
Assist %
59.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 88.9Defence95.2 · 99.1Shooting59.8% · 48.3%3-point %43.4% · 29.3%Ball care16.4% · 14.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas76-80
17/05/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis98-80
18/02/26Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas67-91
25/01/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis88-73
09/11/25Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas68-94
29/04/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis105-88
23/03/25Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas80-84
12/01/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis88-86
29/09/24Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas76-89
02/05/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis102-78
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
13/10/26AFenerbahce80-99
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HTaurage90-79
08/11/26HSiauliai76-83
02/11/26HGargzdai87-76
24/10/26ATaurage76-80
20/10/26AJurbarkas93-69
17/10/26HLietkabelis72-73
14/10/26HGargzdai86-101
11/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
07/10/26ATaurage76-81
03/10/26ANeptunas62-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.295.091.8
Allowed / game76.172.279.2
Point differential+17.1+22.8+12.6
Avg total169.3167.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game73.977.870.0
Allowed / game82.578.087.0
Point differential-8.6-0.2-17.0
Avg total156.4155.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Gargzdai96367%89.086.2+2.8
3 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
4 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
5 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1.6
6 Siauliai94544%83.286.0-2.8
7 Juventus93633%85.288.0-2.8
8 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
9 Taurage93633%81.287.1-5.9
10 Nevezis81712%73.982.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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