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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 May 2024
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 102-78
32-15 29-21 23-21 18-21
Position#1
Record25-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#9
Record9-20
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game91.3
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis
16 May 2027
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
20 Dec 2026
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
17 May 2026
ZAL98
NEV80
25 Jan 2026
ZAL88
NEV73
29 Apr 2025
ZAL105
NEV88
12 Jan 2025
ZAL88
NEV86
02 May 2024
ZAL102
NEV78
10 Dec 2023
ZAL102
NEV98
13 May 2023
ZAL90
NEV71
30 Apr 2023
ZAL95
NEV89
23 Oct 2022
ZAL93
NEV75
23 Oct 2021
ZAL102
NEV77
30 Apr 2020
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
ZAL89
NEV84
20 Jan 2019
ZAL82
NEV79
03 Oct 2018
ZAL81
NEV68
25 May 2018
ZAL84
NEV69
12 May 2018
ZAL95
NEV70
29 Apr 2018
ZAL91
NEV72
07 Jan 2018
ZAL94
NEV68
22 Jan 2017
ZAL80
NEV59
02 Jan 2017
ZAL89
NEV62
13 Apr 2016
ZAL95
NEV73
30 Nov 2015
ZAL82
NEV88
21 Apr 2015
ZAL92
NEV53
13 Oct 2014
ZAL79
NEV52
09 Mar 2014
ZAL95
NEV56
15 Apr 2013
ZAL94
NEV51
10 Dec 2011
ZAL81
NEV60
14 Mar 2011
ZAL104
NEV70
07 Feb 2010
ZAL80
NEV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
87avg 79
H21/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
92-69
92
69
+23
95avg 79
A24/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 79
H28/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 79
A01/04
LKL
Monaco
#3
L
66-69
66
69
-3
58avg 79
A04/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
62-64
62
64
-2
48avg 79
H11/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
92-78
92
78
+14
82avg 79
H14/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
112-114 OT
112
114
-2
102avg 79
A17/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
101-57
101
57
+44
114avg 79
H21/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
95-68
95
68
+27
95avg 79
H29/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
23-17
23-23
23-19
28-19
19-15
19-23
26-12
14-17
21-20
24-17
28-19
22-16
28-24
18-18
15-19
11-20
18-19
15-12
22-18
9-16
16-15
17-13
20-20
27-22
22-19
19-16
24-21
19-19
21-19
11-23
36-26
30-15
21-10
26-13
24-19
31-7
25-23
23-15
16-23
162.9Avg total
88.4Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.173.1161.2+15.089%
Season at home (14)90.473.4163.7+17.093%
Season away (14)85.972.8158.6+13.186%
Last 10 (10)88.474.5162.9+13.970%
Last 5 (5)92.476.2168.6+16.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.066.0137.0+5.050%
vs Similar (14)83.980.1163.9+3.857%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.274.9169.1+19.486%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
64-113
64
113
-49
46avg 78
A10/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 78
A03/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
58avg 78
H07/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 78
H18/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 78
A23/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
71avg 78
H30/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
83-102
83
102
-19
69avg 78
A06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
86-94
86
94
-8
77avg 78
H15/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
116-83
116
83
+33
130avg 78
H18/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
92-79
92
79
+13
91avg 78
A22/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
15-35
15-23
16-25
23-28
28-19
22-23
28-21
15-23
22-26
16-17
19-17
22-22
23-28
21-21
22-22
28-14
16-20
20-19
12-21
19-21
11-28
27-24
22-15
27-23
24-30
16-27
16-22
18-24
26-21
15-25
27-24
37-19
29-22
33-17
17-25
24-26
21-20
20-12
27-21
175.7Avg total
85.7Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.091.3175.3-7.331%
Season at home (15)86.988.7175.6-1.940%
Season away (14)81.094.1175.1-13.121%
Last 10 (10)85.790.0175.7-4.340%
Last 5 (5)91.289.2180.4+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)82.194.2176.4-12.121%
vs Similar (11)87.785.9173.6+1.845%
vs Weaker (5)90.283.2173.4+7.080%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
Zalgiris KaunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H21/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A24/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A01/04
LKL
Monaco
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A04/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H11/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H14/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H21/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H29/04
LKL
77.9Avg total
43.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.538.282.7+6.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.537.283.7+9.367%-
Last 30 away (12)41.639.681.2+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.034.977.9+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.233.077.2+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.534.569.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (14)41.540.782.2+0.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)49.036.185.1+12.986%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
33-65
33
65
-32
A10/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A03/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H18/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A23/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H30/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H15/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H18/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A22/04
LKL
92.5Avg total
44.6Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.447.392.6-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.246.692.8-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)44.547.992.5-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)44.647.992.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)47.246.894.0+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.551.894.3-9.321%-
vs Similar (11)48.744.893.5+3.945%-
vs Weaker (5)46.040.086.0+6.080%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.0
53.4%
55.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.9
39.8%
34.7%35.7
🏀 Free throws17.313.9
80.3%
73.2%13.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.7
55.5%
55.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
34.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.515.6
76.1%
73.2%15.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLLWWWW
Nevezis
WWLLLWLLWL
#1
League position
#9
+19.5
Net rating
-5.5
119.2
Offensive rating
113.1
99.8
Defensive rating
118.6
56.3%
Effective FG%
54.4%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.8%
3-point %
35.2%
65.4%
Assist %
55.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.2 · 113.1Defence99.8 · 118.6Shooting56.3% · 54.4%3-point %39.8% · 35.2%Ball care14.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds29.3% · 36.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/24HMazeikiai95-68
21/04/24HJonava101-57
17/04/24ANeptunas112-114 OT
14/04/24HRytas92-78
11/04/24HReal Madrid62-64
04/04/24AMonaco66-69
01/04/24ALietkabelis83-77
28/03/24HOlimpia Milano87-73
24/03/24ASiauliai92-69
21/03/24HBaskonia94-76
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/24ANeptunas92-79
18/04/24HJonava116-83
15/04/24HSiauliai86-94
06/04/24ABC Wolves83-102
30/03/24HRytas79-88
23/03/24APieno Zvaigzdes76-74
18/03/24HJuventus88-93
07/03/24HMazeikiai72-83
03/03/24APieno Zvaigzdes101-91
10/02/24ARytas64-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %89%93%86%
Points / game88.190.485.9
Allowed / game73.173.472.8
Point differential+15.0+17.0+13.1
Avg total161.2163.7158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%71%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW31%
HomeLLLLW40%
AwayLWWLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %31%40%21%
Points / game84.086.981.0
Allowed / game91.388.794.1
Point differential-7.3-1.9-13.1
Avg total175.3175.6175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2825389%88.173.1+15.0
2 Rytas3125681%92.780.1+12.7
3 BC Wolves3022873%87.379.1+8.3
4 Juventus29181162%88.781.4+7.2
5 Lietkabelis29161355%84.283.7+0.6
6 Neptunas31161552%85.085.6-0.6
7 Mazeikiai31131842%78.283.4-5.2
8 Jonava31121939%82.485.8-3.5
9 Nevezis2992031%84.091.3-7.3
10 Siauliai3082227%81.587.4-5.9
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes3062420%82.894.0-11.2
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas32292318102
Nevezis1521212178
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