PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEK Athens vs Aris Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game71.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 24· SUNEL Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · AEK Athens v Aris
03 Apr 2027
AAT v ARI
upcoming
25 May 2026
AAT102
ARI99
14 May 2026
AAT87
ARI81
27 Dec 2025
AAT82
ARI76
28 Dec 2024
AAT102
ARI89
20 Jan 2024
AAT91
ARI93
29 Oct 2022
AAT63
ARI76
23 Oct 2021
AAT64
ARI63
20 Dec 2020
AAT84
ARI67
13 Dec 2019
AAT92
ARI79
30 Mar 2019
AAT81
ARI73
03 Feb 2018
AAT73
ARI64
03 Jun 2017
AAT71
ARI60
28 May 2017
AAT90
ARI74
07 Jan 2017
AAT81
ARI61
16 May 2015
AAT92
ARI54
29 Mar 2015
AAT93
ARI77
08 Jan 2011
AAT65
ARI74
19 Dec 2009
AAT77
ARI76
08 Mar 2009
AAT65
ARI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Aris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
54avg 74
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 74
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#14
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 74
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
47avg 74
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 74
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#11
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 74
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
L
62-65
62
65
-3
59avg 74
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
69avg 74
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#34
W
72-66
72
66
+6
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H08/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
20-24
16-22
22-29
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
16-20
27-26
17-25
24-24
18-17
20-10
16-21
18-18
19-14
21-23
15-21
19-25
160.1Avg total
76.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.580.0155.5-4.533%
Season at home (3)83.077.3160.3+5.767%
Season away (3)68.082.7150.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)76.483.7160.1-7.340%
Last 5 (5)73.682.4156.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.786.3161.0-11.527%
vs Similar (12)82.982.2165.1+0.858%
vs Weaker (7)89.679.0168.6+10.686%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
93-80
93
80
+13
86avg 80
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 80
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
85avg 80
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
65avg 80
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
110-79
110
79
+31
109avg 80
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
88-72
88
72
+16
87avg 80
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 80
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-91
101
91
+10
96avg 80
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
25-16
16-25
24-25
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
31-21
14-23
17-11
26-13
15-13
22-15
23-15
14-14
29-20
29-17
25-14
27-28
28-21
21-15
15-20
24-16
21-19
17-20
19-18
21-16
18-15
28-29
33-24
22-23
19-18
21-17
16-22
17-27
32-23
19-12
17-19
20-23
162.0Avg total
88.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.571.5156.0+13.083%
Season at home (3)87.768.7156.3+19.0100%
Season away (3)81.374.3155.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)88.173.9162.0+14.290%
Last 5 (5)85.679.4165.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.594.8183.2-6.225%
vs Similar (9)84.683.7168.2+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.975.2164.1+13.894%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
AEK AthensAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#11
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#34
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/11
Basket League
77.8Avg total
39.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.682.2+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.341.885.1+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.839.279.0+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.577.8+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.676.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.539.578.1-1.055%-
vs Similar (12)40.841.482.2-0.650%-
vs Weaker (7)48.040.788.7+7.357%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#15
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A07/11
Basket League
80.8Avg total
45.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.684.9+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.436.479.8+7.077%-
Last 30 away (17)45.043.888.8+1.235%-
Last 10 (10)45.934.980.8+11.090%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.882.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.844.085.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (9)43.443.787.1-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.438.283.5+7.259%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
34.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
71.8%16.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
50.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.2
36.6%
34.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.719.5
78.9%
71.8%19.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWLLLWLWWL
Aris
WLWWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#4
-9.2
Net rating
+16.5
93.6
Offensive rating
96.8
102.8
Defensive rating
80.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.2%
3-point %
36.6%
67.5%
Assist %
71.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 96.8Defence102.8 · 80.3Shooting51.9% · 52.7%3-point %33.2% · 36.6%Ball care14.8% · 15.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
AEK Athens wins
5
Aris wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Aris v AEK Athens88-58
25/05/26AEK Athens v Aris102-99
17/05/26Aris v AEK Athens90-81
14/05/26AEK Athens v Aris87-81
04/04/26Aris v AEK Athens82-78
27/12/25AEK Athens v Aris82-76
28/12/24AEK Athens v Aris102-89
05/10/24Aris v AEK Athens59-70
20/01/24AEK Athens v Aris91-93
29/10/23Aris v AEK Athens75-64
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HPanathinaikos74-83
04/11/26ASzombathely72-66
31/10/26AVikos84-95
24/10/26APAOK62-65
21/10/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/10/26HMykonos84-79
10/10/26AAris58-88
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70
30/05/26HOlympiacos68-95
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALefkadas88-77
04/11/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-84
01/11/26HPanathinaikos101-91
28/10/26HCedevita Olimpija78-73
24/10/26AMykonos88-72
20/10/26ARostock110-79
17/10/26HMaroussi74-57
14/10/26HTortona88-68
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58
07/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos93-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game75.583.068.0
Allowed / game80.077.382.7
Point differential-4.5+5.7-14.7
Avg total155.5160.3150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game84.587.781.3
Allowed / game71.568.774.3
Point differential+13.0+19.0+7.0
Avg total156.0156.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK660100%80.570.7+9.8
3 Panathinaikos65183%89.074.5+14.5
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas64267%74.571.5+3.0
6 Kolossos Rhodes63350%80.781.8-1.2
7 Peristeri63350%80.587.5-7.0
8 Iraklis62433%77.073.8+3.2
9 Lefkadas62433%78.581.7-3.2
10 AEK Athens62433%75.580.0-4.5
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Mykonos61517%73.584.5-11.0
13 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
14 Promitheas61517%70.286.5-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.