PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 76-66
25-12 24-15 15-23 12-16
Position#7
Record13-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#16
Record7-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2020
Meetings · Real Madrid v Panathinaikos
04 Nov 2026
MAD v PAO
upcoming
13 Nov 2025
MAD77
PAO87
17 Oct 2024
MAD90
PAO86
26 May 2024
MAD80
PAO95
29 Feb 2024
MAD86
PAO97
01 Feb 2023
MAD83
PAO68
15 Oct 2021
MAD88
PAO65
27 Jan 2021
MAD76
PAO66
19 Apr 2019
MAD78
PAO63
17 Apr 2019
MAD75
PAO72
19 Dec 2018
MAD89
PAO68
27 Apr 2018
MAD89
PAO82
25 Apr 2018
MAD81
PAO74
08 Mar 2018
MAD92
PAO75
16 Nov 2016
MAD87
PAO84
22 Jan 2015
MAD83
PAO65
21 Mar 2013
MAD73
PAO74
12 Oct 2012
MAD85
PAO78
05 Nov 2009
MAD80
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
W
91-62
91
62
+29
100avg 80
H22/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
70avg 80
H27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 80
A29/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
92-85
92
85
+7
91avg 80
A02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
72avg 80
A04/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 80
H08/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
77-79
77
79
-2
70avg 80
H18/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 80
A21/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
H24/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
26-12
27-14
19-18
22-23
24-23
19-18
17-23
13-20
18-17
21-14
21-14
25-26
19-19
26-27
22-13
23-17
14-15
14-15
24-22
18-17
21-22
10-22
27-19
23-15
16-19
12-16
21-22
21-23
19-22
18-21
19-13
33-24
13-21
20-18
18-23
24-12
27-26
13-18
22-23
158.5Avg total
81.7Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.078.1160.1+4.062%
Season at home (10)85.877.4163.2+8.470%
Season away (11)78.678.7157.4-0.155%
Last 10 (10)81.776.8158.5+4.960%
Last 5 (5)80.880.0160.8+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.777.0152.7-1.333%
vs Similar (11)85.278.5163.7+6.673%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.975.6161.4+10.394%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Iraklis
#10
W
106-74
106
74
+32
110avg 78
H27/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
71-74
71
74
-3
66avg 78
A30/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
L
82-92
82
92
-10
84avg 78
A03/01
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
72avg 78
H07/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
80-75
80
75
+5
85avg 78
H10/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 78
H13/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
74-100
74
100
-26
65avg 78
A15/01
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 78
A17/01
Basket League
Khimki M.
#18
W
94-78
94
78
+16
89avg 78
H21/01
Euroleague
Larisa
#11
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 78
A24/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
21-27
31-15
23-10
15-22
22-26
9-9
25-17
19-9
23-22
17-33
23-28
16-26
19-21
19-29
23-13
24-18
19-19
24-25
13-13
25-21
20-21
25-18
18-11
12-31
22-17
21-26
19-26
23-20
24-16
25-25
21-14
23-20
23-13
24-18
24-27
23-25
33-24
18-17
24-23
168.0Avg total
86.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.583.7164.2-3.235%
Season at home (11)82.679.6162.3+3.045%
Season away (9)77.988.7166.6-10.822%
Last 10 (10)86.381.7168.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)89.482.6172.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.988.1170.0-6.222%
vs Similar (9)77.980.8158.7-2.933%
vs Weaker (12)86.371.1157.4+15.292%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
Real MadridPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H22/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A04/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H24/01
ACB
80.9Avg total
41.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.677.9+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.881.5+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.936.374.3+1.660%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.180.9+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.283.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.743.778.3-9.00%-
vs Similar (11)42.238.780.9+3.573%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.135.675.8+4.562%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraklis
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H27/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/01
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/01
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A17/01
Basket League
Khimki M.
#18
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H21/01
Euroleague
Larisa
#11
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/01
Basket League
85.7Avg total
43.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.477.8+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.137.177.2+3.071%-
Last 30 away (13)38.340.278.5-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.085.7+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.687.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.241.278.4-4.022%-
vs Similar (9)35.641.376.9-5.833%-
vs Weaker (12)43.834.277.9+9.6100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.8
56.0%
52.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.9
38.8%
38.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws13.811.6
84.1%
79.3%11.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.0
55.7%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.4
37.8%
38.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.417.3
80.8%
79.3%17.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLLWLWWWLW
Panathinaikos
WWWLWWLLLW
#7
League position
#16
+7.8
Net rating
+6.5
116.2
Offensive rating
120.2
108.4
Defensive rating
113.7
57.0%
Effective FG%
56.1%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
21.2%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
44.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.8%
3-point %
37.8%
57.9%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 120.2Defence108.4 · 113.7Shooting57.0% · 56.1%3-point %38.8% · 37.8%Ball care17.2% · 21.2%Off. rebounds30.8% · 44.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21HMoraBanc Andorra86-79
21/01/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv84-86
18/01/21HCrvena zvezda77-79
15/01/21ABayern81-76 OT
08/01/21HOlimpia Milano76-80
04/01/21AMoraBanc Andorra75-69
02/01/21ATenerife92-85
29/12/20AAnadolu Efes73-65
27/12/20HBarcelona82-87
22/12/20HAlba Berlin91-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21ALarisa98-89
21/01/21HKhimki M.94-78
17/01/21AAris93-75
15/01/21AFenerbahce74-100
13/01/21HLyon-Villeurbanne88-71
10/01/21HAEK Athens80-75
07/01/21HZenit Petersburg77-89
03/01/21ALavrio82-92
30/12/20ACrvena zvezda71-74
27/12/20HIraklis106-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayWWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%70%55%
Points / game82.085.878.6
Allowed / game78.177.478.7
Point differential+4.0+8.4-0.1
Avg total160.1163.2157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %14%0%27%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW35%
HomeLWLWW45%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %35%45%22%
Points / game80.582.677.9
Allowed / game83.779.688.7
Point differential-3.2+3.0-10.8
Avg total164.2162.3166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %10%9%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2216673%81.373.4+7.9
2 CSKA Moscow2216673%83.978.9+5.0
3 Olimpia Milano2114767%82.478.3+4.1
4 Zenit Petersburg2013765%77.573.8+3.6
5 Real Madrid2113862%82.078.1+4.0
6 Bayern2213959%79.077.4+1.5
7 Zalgiris Kaunas2112957%79.877.5+2.3
8 Anadolu Efes22121055%79.676.9+2.7
9 Fenerbahce22121055%76.778.1-1.4
10 Valencia21111052%81.581.7-0.1
11 Olympiacos22111150%80.581.1-0.6
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv22101245%79.778.9+0.9
13 Baskonia2291341%79.179.1-0.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne2281436%76.580.6-4.1
15 Alba Berlin2281436%76.982.7-5.8
16 Panathinaikos2071335%80.583.7-3.2
17 Crvena zvezda2271532%74.078.6-4.7
18 Khimki M.222209%79.290.7-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2524151276
Panathinaikos1215231666
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.