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Real Madrid vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 76-80
18-17 21-22 10-22 27-19
Position#7
Record12-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game77.6
Real Madrid
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Position#4
Record9-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18
European cup2020
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano
06 Apr 2027
MAD v MIL
upcoming
20 Jan 2026
MAD106
MIL77
25 Mar 2025
MAD96
MIL89
19 Oct 2023
MAD88
MIL71
16 Mar 2023
MAD91
MIL87
10 Mar 2022
MAD92
MIL88
08 Jan 2021
MAD76
MIL80
20 Mar 2019
MAD92
MIL89
24 Oct 2017
MAD100
MIL90
27 Jan 2017
MAD94
MIL89
01 Nov 2013
MAD93
MIL74
27 Oct 2011
MAD85
MIL78
26 Nov 2009
MAD82
MIL69
13 Nov 2008
MAD70
MIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A06/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H13/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
A15/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
A18/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H22/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A29/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A04/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
17-13
22-12
18-19
24-21
12-10
23-11
20-30
20-16
17-17
30-25
24-26
14-15
19-14
23-19
12-20
12-12
19-18
18-21
20-18
19-18
26-12
27-14
19-18
22-23
24-23
19-18
17-23
13-20
18-17
21-14
21-14
25-26
19-19
26-27
22-13
23-17
14-15
14-15
24-22
159.9Avg total
84.0Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.677.6160.2+5.171%
Season at home (8)88.176.9165.0+11.288%
Season away (9)77.878.2156.0-0.456%
Last 10 (10)84.075.9159.9+8.190%
Last 5 (5)82.673.6156.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.777.0152.7-1.333%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.379.3163.6+5.070%
vs Weaker (17)87.075.2162.2+11.8100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-93
102
93
+9
A08/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A11/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A17/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
102-86
102
86
+16
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H23/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A27/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
H30/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H03/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
26-27
18-21
30-25
15-23
28-16
18-21
10-27
18-21
22-15
17-27
25-25
26-25
18-10
24-13
11-23
20-20
26-11
6-21
20-17
26-25
22-22
24-28
30-11
19-23
22-22
16-18
22-21
23-24
23-14
12-20
15-10
17-17
16-22
25-20
22-21
21-18
18-31
25-23
33-21
167.4Avg total
84.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.780.5162.2+1.256%
Season at home (8)82.579.0161.5+3.550%
Season away (8)80.982.0162.9-1.162%
Last 10 (10)84.483.0167.4+1.460%
Last 5 (5)87.684.4172.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.182.8163.9-1.744%
vs Weaker (20)87.674.8162.3+12.885%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
Real MadridOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A06/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H13/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A15/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A18/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H22/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A04/01
ACB
71.6Avg total
37.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.377.6+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.639.381.9+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.035.473.4+2.660%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.271.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.078.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.743.778.3-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.138.380.4+3.870%-
vs Weaker (17)40.235.675.9+4.665%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A08/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A11/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A17/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H23/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H30/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H03/01
Lega A
84.0Avg total
43.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.737.981.6+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.038.181.1+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)44.437.782.1+6.786%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.684.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.685.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.031.077.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.239.179.3+1.167%-
vs Weaker (20)45.137.782.8+7.475%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.318.7
57.9%
52.7%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.7
38.6%
38.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.913.7
81.1%
79.3%13.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.2
49.6%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.311.0
45.3%
38.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.213.3
82.1%
79.3%13.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWWWLLW
#7
League position
#4
+13.0
Net rating
+6.0
116.1
Offensive rating
115.2
103.1
Defensive rating
109.2
57.9%
Effective FG%
56.7%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.6%
3-point %
45.3%
55.4%
Assist %
59.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 115.2Defence103.1 · 109.2Shooting57.9% · 56.7%3-point %38.6% · 45.3%Ball care17.0% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.4% · 25.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
16/10/20Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid78-70
20/03/19Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano92-89
17/10/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid85-91
13/03/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid77-88
24/10/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano100-90
27/01/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano94-89
27/10/16Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid90-101
05/12/13Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid71-78
01/11/13Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano93-74
01/12/11Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid65-72
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/21AMoraBanc Andorra75-69
02/01/21ATenerife92-85
29/12/20AAnadolu Efes73-65
27/12/20HBarcelona82-87
22/12/20HAlba Berlin91-62
18/12/20AOlympiacos86-82 OT
15/12/20APanathinaikos97-93 OT
13/12/20HUnicaja91-84
10/12/20HZenit Petersburg79-72
06/12/20ASan Pablo Burgos74-60
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/21HPesaro97-93
30/12/20HCSKA Moscow87-91 OT
27/12/20AVirtus Bologna73-68
23/12/20HBaskonia79-84
20/12/20HSassari102-86
17/12/20AAnadolu Efes72-69
15/12/20AFenerbahce79-71
13/12/20HBrindisi82-88
11/12/20ABarcelona71-87
08/12/20AKhimki M.102-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%88%56%
Points / game82.688.177.8
Allowed / game77.676.978.2
Point differential+5.1+11.2-0.4
Avg total160.2165.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %12%0%22%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%50%62%
Points / game81.782.580.9
Allowed / game80.579.082.0
Point differential+1.2+3.5-1.1
Avg total162.2161.5162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %19%12%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1814478%85.278.8+6.4
2 Real Madrid1712571%82.677.6+5.1
3 Zenit Petersburg1611569%76.672.9+3.8
4 Barcelona1812667%80.973.6+7.3
5 Zalgiris Kaunas1811761%80.977.2+3.8
6 Bayern1811761%79.676.3+3.3
7 Olimpia Milano169756%81.780.5+1.2
8 Valencia1810856%81.381.1+0.3
9 Olympiacos179853%80.080.2-0.2
10 Baskonia189950%79.377.1+2.3
11 Anadolu Efes189950%78.077.7+0.3
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv1881044%78.677.7+0.9
13 Fenerbahce1881044%73.478.4-5.0
14 Alba Berlin1871139%77.483.6-6.1
15 Crvena zvezda1861233%74.778.0-3.3
16 Panathinaikos1751229%79.683.8-4.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1751229%75.180.4-5.4
18 Khimki M.1821611%79.890.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1821102776
Olimpia Milano1722221980
← all games of the day
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