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Alba Berlin vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 64-108
15-27 18-35 11-25 20-21
Position#18
Record5-26
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game91.1
vs
Position#17
Record7-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Virtus Bologna
28 Mar 2025
ABE64
VIR108
05 Jan 2024
ABE68
VIR83
09 Mar 2023
ABE74
VIR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
69avg 77
A12/02
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
73-98
73
98
-25
63avg 77
A28/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 77
H03/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
85-99
85
99
-14
77avg 77
H07/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
L
90-101 OT
90
101
-11
83avg 77
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
W
97-90
97
90
+7
91avg 77
H13/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
108-73
108
73
+35
107avg 77
A16/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 77
A21/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
80avg 77
H23/03
BBL
Partizan
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
70avg 77
A25/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
19-25
23-11
19-15
21-24
14-24
20-20
18-30
18-16
21-18
23-25
24-18
20-18
19-23
25-25
21-33
16-17
33-20
13-21
24-28
26-24
24-22
25-23
22-21
28-23
30-18
23-15
27-17
19-23
16-23
29-20
17-25
19-27
23-17
15-18
23-22
14-13
20-27
22-21
15-24
171.8Avg total
84.9Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.291.1170.3-11.916%
Season at home (15)81.890.2172.0-8.420%
Season away (16)76.891.9168.8-15.112%
Last 10 (10)84.986.9171.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)87.484.6172.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.090.4168.4-12.412%
vs Similar (4)93.088.5181.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (10)86.580.5167.0+6.060%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
71avg 78
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
57avg 78
H28/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 78
H02/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 78
A07/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 78
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 78
H13/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
L
88-93
88
93
-5
92avg 78
A16/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
67-77
67
77
-10
54avg 78
A20/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 78
A22/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
52-88
52
88
-36
44avg 78
A26/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
15-27
20-24
24-20
14-34
15-20
25-14
16-24
20-25
18-9
25-25
23-21
24-24
18-15
10-22
16-28
26-20
23-21
15-15
16-19
17-30
16-20
21-18
13-12
20-20
24-24
22-25
22-24
17-15
16-27
12-23
22-12
22-17
19-20
17-20
20-28
11-28
16-23
10-18
15-19
158.3Avg total
73.3Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.784.5162.2-6.923%
Season at home (16)77.981.8159.8-3.925%
Season away (15)77.487.5164.9-10.120%
Last 10 (10)73.385.0158.3-11.720%
Last 5 (5)70.484.6155.0-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.588.5162.9-14.09%
vs Similar (8)77.676.4154.0+1.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.073.8155.8+8.260%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
Alba BerlinVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A12/02
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A28/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H07/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H13/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A16/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H23/03
BBL
Partizan
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/03
Euroleague
83.9Avg total
41.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.483.5-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.243.184.3-1.838%-
Last 30 away (17)41.041.982.9-0.935%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.283.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.487.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.745.182.8-7.46%-
vs Similar (4)46.240.887.0+5.575%-
vs Weaker (10)44.538.883.3+5.770%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H28/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A07/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H13/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A16/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A20/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A22/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A26/03
Euroleague
80.8Avg total
36.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.079.5-0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.239.078.2+0.262%-
Last 30 away (14)39.741.280.9-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)36.943.980.8-7.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.644.880.4-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.444.683.0-6.345%-
vs Similar (8)40.237.277.5+3.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.736.577.2+4.270%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.8
55.0%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.7
35.5%
36.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.616.4
69.5%
78.0%16.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.0
54.6%
54.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.1
25.1%
36.2%18.3
🏀 Free throws18.914.0
74.1%
78.0%14.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLLWWLLWLW
Virtus Bologna
LLLLLWLWLL
#18
League position
#17
-2.6
Net rating
-16.4
108.0
Offensive rating
99.9
110.6
Defensive rating
116.3
54.3%
Effective FG%
47.9%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
20.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.5%
3-point %
25.1%
70.5%
Assist %
61.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 99.9Defence110.6 · 116.3Shooting54.3% · 47.9%3-point %35.5% · 25.1%Ball care20.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds31.0% · 25.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
4
Virtus Bologna wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/25APartizan71-85
23/03/25HWurzburg80-84
21/03/25APanathinaikos81-91
16/03/25ABasketball Braunschweig108-73
13/03/25HBaskonia97-90
09/03/25AUlm90-101 OT
07/03/25HBarcelona85-99
03/03/25HBamberg86-77
28/02/25AAnadolu Efes73-98
12/02/25ARostock78-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25ACrvena zvezda52-88
22/03/25ATrieste78-85
20/03/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv67-77
16/03/25ABasket Napoli88-93
13/03/25HReal Madrid67-80
10/03/25HTrento80-75
07/03/25AAnadolu Efes68-89
02/03/25HOlimpia Milano86-80
28/02/25HOlympiacos70-92
12/02/25HOlimpia Milano77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL16%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %16%20%12%
Points / game79.281.876.8
Allowed / game91.190.291.9
Point differential-11.9-8.4-15.1
Avg total170.3172.0168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%7%12%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %23%25%20%
Points / game77.777.977.4
Allowed / game84.581.887.5
Point differential-6.9-3.9-10.1
Avg total162.2159.8164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)29% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos32221069%86.181.2+4.9
2 Fenerbahce32221069%83.381.2+2.0
3 Panathinaikos31201165%87.482.9+4.5
4 Monaco32201262%86.882.9+3.8
5 Bayern32191359%87.487.6-0.1
6 Crvena zvezda31181358%82.079.7+2.3
7 Anadolu Efes32181456%86.482.0+4.5
8 Barcelona32181456%88.284.6+3.6
9 Real Madrid31171455%84.582.2+2.3
10 Paris31171455%85.985.3+0.6
11 Partizan32161650%82.080.1+1.9
12 Olimpia Milano32161650%85.186.5-1.4
13 Zalgiris Kaunas32141844%77.779.1-1.5
14 Baskonia32131941%81.583.0-1.6
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne32131941%81.284.6-3.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv32102231%85.589.5-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna3172423%77.784.5-6.9
18 Alba Berlin3152616%79.291.1-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1518112064
Virtus Bologna27352521108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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