PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 73-83
16-26 21-17 16-21 20-19
Position#5
Record9-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#3
Record16-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game73.2
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Lietkabelis
17 Feb 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
23 Jan 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
11 Jun 2026
NEP66
LIE63
06 Jun 2026
NEP86
LIE73
28 Mar 2026
NEP96
LIE87
22 Feb 2026
NEP73
LIE94
24 Jan 2026
NEP97
LIE87
02 Mar 2025
NEP72
LIE91
11 Jan 2025
NEP56
LIE63
13 Apr 2024
NEP88
LIE84
03 Jan 2024
NEP91
LIE89
16 Sep 2023
NEP91
LIE81
03 Apr 2023
NEP73
LIE86
05 Mar 2022
NEP73
LIE83
05 Jan 2022
NEP69
LIE73
06 Oct 2021
NEP53
LIE81
16 May 2021
NEP78
LIE94
01 May 2021
NEP83
LIE73
05 Dec 2020
NEP80
LIE90
29 Feb 2020
NEP78
LIE84
09 Nov 2019
NEP78
LIE74
17 Mar 2019
NEP72
LIE74
30 Sep 2018
NEP76
LIE89
15 Jun 2018
NEP79
LIE71
10 Jun 2018
NEP69
LIE83
27 Jan 2018
NEP83
LIE78
02 Dec 2017
NEP86
LIE76
15 Jan 2017
NEP86
LIE61
19 Nov 2016
NEP67
LIE77
16 Jan 2016
NEP70
LIE74
22 Nov 2015
NEP73
LIE65
01 Feb 2015
NEP102
LIE76
16 Nov 2014
NEP98
LIE86
09 Oct 2013
NEP84
LIE79
03 Oct 2012
NEP84
LIE78
01 Oct 2011
NEP80
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
79-67
79
67
+12
70avg 76
A28/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
H05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-80
80
80
+0
no box
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
70-85
70
85
-15
60avg 76
H19/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
75-87
75
87
-12
70avg 76
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
56avg 76
H30/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
H03/02
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 76
A07/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
78avg 76
A15/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
23-21
19-12
13-15
17-15
22-15
21-22
9-21
23-24
16-24
19-14
22-18
20-23
19-18
13-23
18-21
7-21
24-22
20-25
24-19
13-21
17-18
15-20
19-17
16-25
21-16
13-18
10-18
26-18
20-18
20-25
22-21
23-15
22-12
8-20
20-16
15-19
28-17
16-11
18-28
150.0Avg total
73.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.880.5157.2-3.745%
Season at home (10)76.184.1160.2-8.030%
Season away (10)77.476.8154.2+0.660%
Last 10 (10)73.576.5150.0-3.040%
Last 5 (5)72.474.6147.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.889.1161.9-16.40%
vs Similar (9)77.178.6155.7-1.444%
vs Weaker (13)84.877.4162.2+7.477%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#19
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 80
H18/01
Eurocup
Prienai
#11
W
87-69
87
69
+18
89avg 80
H22/01
LKL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
62-90
62
90
-28
no box
A26/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#1
W
83-80
83
80
+3
80avg 80
H29/01
LKL
Trento
#20
W
74-57
74
57
+17
no box
H02/02
Eurocup
Siauliai
#7
W
87-76
87
76
+11
78avg 80
H05/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
94-63
94
63
+31
96avg 80
H14/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
no box
A20/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
W
103-71
103
71
+32
no box
H03/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
21-19
17-9
21-18
24-17
20-16
23-14
20-22
12-16
19-22
17-27
14-25
21-18
13-18
20-20
29-24
21-11
16-21
23-11
14-14
15-25
21-17
28-22
23-12
27-22
22-14
25-14
20-13
15-20
24-23
24-17
19-20
12-22
15-24
16-22
23-23
29-11
20-20
27-24
27-16
156.8Avg total
82.6Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.073.2157.2+10.876%
Season at home (11)84.971.7156.6+13.282%
Season away (10)83.074.9157.9+8.170%
Last 10 (10)82.674.2156.8+8.480%
Last 5 (5)86.476.2162.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.380.1158.4-1.957%
vs Similar (5)77.685.8163.4-8.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.872.8158.6+13.083%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
NeptunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A28/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H30/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/02
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A07/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A15/02
LKL
77.7Avg total
39.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.138.678.7+1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)40.939.480.3+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.177.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.876.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.843.181.9-4.425%-
vs Similar (9)39.139.378.4-0.244%-
vs Weaker (13)42.636.278.8+6.469%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#19
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H18/01
Eurocup
Prienai
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H22/01
LKL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A26/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H29/01
LKL
Trento
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H02/02
Eurocup
Siauliai
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H05/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H14/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A20/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H03/03
LKL
77.1Avg total
39.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.879.5+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.637.180.8+6.581%-
Last 30 away (14)37.240.878.0-3.614%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.577.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.679.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.739.976.6-3.129%-
vs Similar (5)38.842.881.6-4.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.737.380.0+5.361%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.1
58.8%
53.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.86.5
34.6%
33.8%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.211.7
68.0%
73.1%11.7
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.9
55.7%
53.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.8
41.9%
33.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws15.812.2
77.2%
73.1%12.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWWLLLLLLW
Lietkabelis
WLWWWWWLWW
#5
League position
#3
-0.3
Net rating
+19.1
106.1
Offensive rating
117.1
106.4
Defensive rating
98.0
56.5%
Effective FG%
58.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
24.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.6%
3-point %
41.9%
62.2%
Assist %
65.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 117.1Defence106.4 · 98.0Shooting56.5% · 58.6%3-point %34.6% · 41.9%Ball care24.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds36.3% · 28.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Neptunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Neptunas wins
8
Lietkabelis wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/22ASiauliai77-75
07/02/22APrienai73-63
03/02/22HPrienai88-82
30/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas60-77
27/01/22AJuventus64-76
24/01/22HJonava75-87
19/01/22HAlytaus Dzukija70-85
15/01/22ALietkabelis80-80
05/01/22HLietkabelis69-73
28/12/21AAlytaus Dzukija79-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/22HJonava103-71
20/02/22AZalgiris Kaunas66-91
19/02/22ARytas82-80
14/02/22HAlytaus Dzukija94-63
05/02/22HSiauliai87-76
02/02/22HTrento74-57
29/01/22HRytas83-80
26/01/22ALokomotiv Kuban62-90
22/01/22HPrienai87-69
18/01/22HSlask Wroclaw88-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW45%
HomeWLLLW30%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%30%60%
Points / game76.876.177.4
Allowed / game80.584.176.8
Point differential-3.7-8.0+0.6
Avg total157.2160.2154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %76%82%70%
Points / game84.084.983.0
Allowed / game73.271.774.9
Point differential+10.8+13.2+8.1
Avg total157.2156.6157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%64%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2120195%88.174.8+13.3
2 Rytas2118386%89.875.3+14.4
3 Lietkabelis2116576%84.073.2+10.8
4 Juventus1910953%84.282.8+1.4
5 Siauliai1910953%81.982.6-0.6
6 Jonava20101050%78.180.5-2.5
7 Neptunas2091145%76.880.5-3.7
8 Alytaus Dzukija2081240%76.581.1-4.7
9 Nevezis2051525%79.388.1-8.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2031715%78.386.6-8.3
11 Prienai2121910%75.388.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1621162073
Lietkabelis2617211983
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.