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Apop Paphou vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 68-90
13-27 18-16 13-26 24-21
Position#9
Record3-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game81.0
Apop Paphou
Cyprus
vs
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
Position#2
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game71.0
CyprusDivision ARound 10· Aphroditi Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca
09 Dec 2023
APOP68
ALA90
09 Oct 2022
APOP64
ALA88
07 Nov 2021
APOP67
ALA91
19 Dec 2020
APOP76
ALA87
29 Jan 2020
APOP67
ALA96
25 Mar 2018
APOP73
ALA118
13 Dec 2017
APOP62
ALA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apop Paphou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apop PaphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaphou
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
63-103
63
103
-40
no box
A01/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
48-91
48
91
-43
no box
H05/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
no box
H06/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
91-94
91
94
-3
82avg 65
A16/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
65avg 65
H22/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
69avg 65
A28/10
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 65
H11/11
Division A
AEL
#5
L
53-82
53
82
-29
45avg 65
A17/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
63-67
63
67
-4
55avg 65
H25/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 65
A02/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-29
19-23
6-26
27-25
7-19
10-25
16-24
15-23
14-17
17-27
24-12
23-22
23-15
24-23
13-31
31-25
29-22
16-14
9-23
20-8
24-23
8-26
20-25
24-20
22-15
21-22
17-25
20-14
13-17
10-19
11-25
19-21
16-19
9-13
21-17
17-18
14-26
22-19
17-22
22-13
155.6Avg total
71.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.481.0156.4-5.638%
Season at home (4)77.074.5151.5+2.575%
Season away (4)73.887.5161.2-13.80%
Last 10 (10)71.484.2155.6-12.830%
Last 5 (5)69.479.8149.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)64.079.1143.0-15.124%
vs Similar (7)72.474.4146.9-2.043%
vs Weaker (2)85.585.0170.5+0.550%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Jonava
#33
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 71
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
L
66-75
66
75
-9
56avg 71
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#3
W
76-58
76
58
+18
71avg 71
H04/11
Division A
Rostock
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 71
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
90-71
90
71
+19
90avg 71
A12/11
Division A
Jonava
#33
L
84-95
84
95
-11
74avg 71
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 71
H18/11
Division A
Karhu Basket
#42
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 71
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
PAEEK
#6
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 71
A27/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
80-71
80
71
+9
79avg 71
H03/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
22-22
18-22
26-23
16-16
17-15
20-21
13-23
26-14
18-17
17-20
15-7
25-25
13-22
19-27
16-12
23-22
25-16
21-10
21-23
19-24
20-24
19-19
26-28
14-12
20-20
15-17
28-18
12-18
21-17
22-14
30-31
25-25
22-16
17-17
19-16
16-19
19-17
11-19
34-16
155.8Avg total
80.1Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.971.0152.9+10.988%
Season at home (4)81.566.8148.2+14.8100%
Season away (4)82.275.2157.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)80.175.7155.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)81.877.4159.2+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.0153.0-13.033%
vs Similar (7)78.371.7150.0+6.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.668.7154.3+16.984%
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
Apop PaphouAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apop PaphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A01/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
17-44
17
44
-27
H05/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A16/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H22/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A28/10
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/11
Division A
AEL
#5
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A17/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H25/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A02/12
Division A
74.2Avg total
32.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.640.271.8-8.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.337.369.5-5.040%-
Last 30 away (15)31.043.174.1-12.17%-
Last 10 (10)32.941.374.2-8.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.839.871.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.141.671.7-11.514%-
vs Similar (7)32.436.769.1-4.329%-
vs Weaker (2)45.037.582.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#33
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H04/11
Division A
Rostock
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A12/11
Division A
Jonava
#33
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/11
Division A
Karhu Basket
#42
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
PAEEK
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A27/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/12
Division A
76.8Avg total
39.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.334.275.6+7.170%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.432.574.9+9.979%-
Last 30 away (16)40.435.876.1+4.662%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.476.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.476.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.346.384.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (7)37.735.373.0+2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.932.675.5+10.484%-
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apop Paphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apop Paphou: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.1 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.916.6
50.4%
51.0%33.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.7
30.2%
32.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.412.7
82.4%
71.2%12.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.822.1
51.6%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.4
31.2%
32.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws21.015.9
75.7%
71.2%15.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apop Paphou
LLLWLWLWLL
AEK Larnaca
WWWWLWLWLW
#9
League position
#2
-9.8
Net rating
+6.1
96.6
Offensive rating
104.4
106.4
Defensive rating
98.4
48.0%
Effective FG%
50.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
19.7%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.2%
3-point %
31.2%
59.3%
Assist %
57.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 104.4Defence106.4 · 98.4Shooting48.0% · 50.1%3-point %30.2% · 31.2%Ball care17.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds19.7% · 26.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Apop Paphou   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Apop Paphou wins
10
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
21/03/23AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou92-57
09/10/22Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca64-88
03/02/22AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou96-40
07/11/21Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca67-91
19/12/20Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca76-87
01/11/20AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou94-53
05/02/20AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou93-57
29/01/20Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca67-96
04/12/19AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou81-56
25/03/18Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca73-118
Apop Paphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AApoel BC75-80
25/11/23HAchilleas K.63-67
17/11/23AAEL53-82
11/11/23HParalimni80-76
28/10/23AKeravnos76-94
22/10/23HPAEEK74-67
16/10/23AApollon91-94
06/10/23HETHA Engomi91-88 OT
05/04/23HKeravnos48-91
01/04/23AKeravnos63-103
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HKeravnos80-71
27/11/23APAEEK83-74
22/11/23AKarhu Basket85-80
18/11/23HApollon77-67
15/11/23HJonava84-95
12/11/23AETHA Engomi90-71
08/11/23ARostock73-86
04/11/23HAnorthosis76-58
01/11/23HKarhu Basket66-75
25/10/23AJonava87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apop Paphou
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game75.477.073.8
Allowed / game81.074.587.5
Point differential-5.6+2.5-13.8
Avg total156.4151.5161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game81.981.582.2
Allowed / game71.066.875.2
Point differential+10.9+14.8+7.0
Avg total152.9148.2157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Apoel BC98189%77.370.4+6.9
2 AEK Larnaca87188%81.971.0+10.9
3 AEL97278%84.672.1+12.4
4 Keravnos86275%86.071.4+14.6
5 Anorthosis86275%84.671.1+13.5
6 Apop Paphou83538%75.481.0-5.6
7 Apollon93633%77.284.8-7.6
8 PAEEK82625%75.482.1-6.8
9 ETHA Engomi82625%76.984.2-7.4
10 Achilleas K.102820%70.080.6-10.6
11 Paralimni91811%68.885.9-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Apop Paphou1318132468
AEK Larnaca2716262190
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