PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Avellino vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 86-78
24-22 23-18 20-18 19-20
Position#9
Record6-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#4
Record4-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game84.2
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Avellino v Sassari
23 Dec 2018
AVE86
SAS78
29 Apr 2018
AVE67
SAS80
18 Mar 2017
AVE77
SAS65
17 Feb 2017
AVE68
SAS69
09 Nov 2015
AVE88
SAS90
15 Mar 2015
AVE70
SAS83
08 Mar 2014
AVE68
SAS75
10 Mar 2013
AVE86
SAS78
06 Nov 2011
AVE96
SAS79
23 Apr 2011
AVE92
SAS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H07/11
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A11/11
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A14/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A18/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H21/11
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
49-79
49
79
-30
H25/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
71-92
71
92
-21
H12/12
Champions League
Trieste
#10
L
64-110
64
110
-46
A16/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H19/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-30
26-22
22-25
18-18
22-19
20-24
20-21
21-15
15-20
22-19
26-16
14-19
34-12
17-10
22-23
18-30
22-18
19-28
26-19
7-23
14-20
11-23
6-16
18-20
25-25
21-24
24-16
12-16
16-24
14-19
24-30
17-19
21-33
11-21
20-30
12-26
22-11
21-17
21-28
18-20
162.1Avg total
77.2Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.284.1167.3-0.960%
Season at home (5)85.881.8167.6+4.060%
Season away (5)80.686.4167.0-5.860%
Last 10 (10)77.284.9162.1-7.760%
Last 5 (5)69.687.6157.2-18.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.387.5166.8-8.233%
vs Similar (19)80.480.7161.2-0.353%
vs Weaker (5)85.676.4162.0+9.2100%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leicester Riders
#39
W
95-60
95
60
+35
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H10/11
Lega A
Szolnoki Olaj
#18
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#16
L
111-113
111
113
-2
H18/11
Lega A
Szombathely
#30
W
92-60
92
60
+32
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A25/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A09/12
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
H16/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
24-8
26-20
26-11
23-11
17-22
20-29
23-24
22-23
15-16
15-25
22-23
28-30
29-22
26-25
28-36
18-14
29-16
28-15
17-15
10-18
19-21
17-20
20-12
18-25
24-18
27-15
17-16
22-15
16-14
22-21
24-28
18-21
23-24
22-23
28-23
27-24
23-15
27-24
10-27
171.0Avg total
88.4Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.984.2170.1+1.740%
Season at home (5)93.489.6183.0+3.840%
Season away (5)78.478.8157.2-0.440%
Last 10 (10)88.482.6171.0+5.840%
Last 5 (5)85.884.0169.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.0100.0181.0-19.00%
vs Similar (10)83.183.4166.5-0.330%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.881.2174.1+11.668%
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
AvellinoSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#15
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H07/11
Champions League
Varese
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A11/11
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
A18/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H21/11
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H25/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/12
Champions League
Trieste
#10
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H19/12
Champions League
82.5Avg total
40.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.981.1+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.042.385.3+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.537.476.9+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.982.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.478.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.542.881.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (19)40.940.881.8+0.142%-
vs Weaker (5)45.632.678.2+13.080%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leicester Riders
#39
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Szolnoki Olaj
#18
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#16
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H18/11
Lega A
Szombathely
#30
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A25/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A09/12
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H16/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
80.2Avg total
42.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.382.3+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.639.184.7+6.464%-
Last 30 away (16)40.739.580.2+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.880.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.047.085.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (10)38.839.278.0-0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.439.084.4+6.468%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.9
52.4%
51.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.2
35.3%
35.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.211.9
73.5%
72.3%11.9
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.0
50.8%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.1
35.7%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.314.2
77.6%
72.3%14.2
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WLLWLLWWWW
Sassari
LLWWLWLLLW
#9
League position
#4
-1.7
Net rating
+6.2
104.8
Offensive rating
112.3
106.5
Defensive rating
106.2
52.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.3%
3-point %
35.7%
60.5%
Assist %
52.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 112.3Defence106.5 · 106.2Shooting52.6% · 51.8%3-point %35.3% · 35.7%Ball care16.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds23.1% · 36.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Avellino   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Avellino wins
6
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
29/04/18Avellino v Sassari67-80
02/01/18Sassari v Avellino88-95 OT
18/03/17Avellino v Sassari77-65
17/02/17Avellino v Sassari68-69
20/11/16Sassari v Avellino70-75
28/02/16Sassari v Avellino94-95
09/11/15Avellino v Sassari88-90
15/03/15Avellino v Sassari70-83
24/11/14Sassari v Avellino81-75
08/03/14Avellino v Sassari68-75
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18HLudwigsburg82-76
16/12/18ATrieste64-110
12/12/18HNizhny Novgorod71-92
09/12/18HPesaro82-81
25/11/18HVenezia49-79
21/11/18HVentspils74-88
18/11/18AReggiana91-75
14/11/18ALe Mans77-74
11/11/18AVarese83-79
07/11/18HBanvit99-95
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18HVarese87-90
16/12/18HOlimpia Milano106-107 OT
12/12/18ADonar Groningen84-78
09/12/18AVirtus Bologna86-74
25/11/18ATrento66-71
21/11/18ASzombathely92-60
18/11/18HPistoia111-113
14/11/18ASzolnoki Olaj74-87
10/11/18HVenezia83-86
07/11/18HLeicester Riders95-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game83.285.880.6
Allowed / game84.181.886.4
Point differential-0.9+4.0-5.8
Avg total167.3167.6167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game85.993.478.4
Allowed / game84.289.678.8
Point differential+1.7+3.8-0.4
Avg total170.1183.0157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano10100100%95.681.8+13.8
2 Venezia108280%82.868.6+14.2
3 Varese107370%76.972.6+4.3
4 Cremona117464%89.384.4+4.9
5 Avellino106460%83.284.1-0.9
6 Brindisi116555%77.876.5+1.4
7 Trieste105550%86.683.1+3.5
8 Brescia115645%79.377.8+1.5
9 Virtus Bologna115645%82.085.4-3.4
10 Sassari104640%85.984.2+1.7
11 Pesaro104640%85.089.7-4.7
12 Torino103730%77.982.2-4.3
13 Reggiana103730%78.583.7-5.2
14 Cantu103730%80.888.4-7.6
15 Trento103730%76.585.0-8.5
16 Pistoia103730%79.690.7-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2423201986
Sassari2218182078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.