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Barcelona vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 76-79
19-19 21-19 18-22 18-19
Position#3
Record14-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#4
Record12-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.8
SpainACBRound 21· Palau Blaugrana
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Barcelona v Valencia
30 Oct 2026
BAR98
VAL94
11 Oct 2026
BAR89
VAL86
24 Jun 2026
BAR84
VAL108
22 Jun 2026
BAR80
VAL88
31 May 2026
BAR77
VAL102
10 Oct 2025
BAR108
VAL102
17 Nov 2024
BAR102
VAL99
04 Feb 2024
BAR76
VAL79
17 Nov 2023
BAR74
VAL70
29 May 2023
BAR84
VAL74
14 Apr 2023
BAR85
VAL71
05 Feb 2023
BAR81
VAL75
14 Nov 2021
BAR79
VAL87
11 Sep 2021
BAR87
VAL68
07 Jan 2021
BAR89
VAL72
01 Dec 2020
BAR90
VAL100
13 Feb 2020
BAR78
VAL82
10 May 2019
BAR72
VAL78
14 Feb 2019
BAR86
VAL79
19 Nov 2017
BAR79
VAL74
17 Nov 2017
BAR89
VAL71
25 May 2017
BAR91
VAL79
18 Feb 2017
BAR67
VAL76
27 Dec 2016
BAR94
VAL82
24 Jan 2016
BAR91
VAL94
19 Feb 2015
BAR85
VAL80
16 Nov 2014
BAR76
VAL57
12 Jun 2014
BAR63
VAL81
10 Jun 2014
BAR70
VAL74
08 Feb 2014
BAR89
VAL81
13 Oct 2013
BAR76
VAL75
01 Apr 2013
BAR94
VAL62
10 Feb 2013
BAR85
VAL69
22 Sep 2012
BAR77
VAL63
27 May 2012
BAR76
VAL81
24 May 2012
BAR84
VAL57
01 Apr 2012
BAR76
VAL72
06 Feb 2011
BAR85
VAL67
14 Oct 2009
BAR87
VAL62
17 May 2009
BAR68
VAL66
11 Oct 2008
BAR74
VAL58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
no box
H07/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
85avg 80
H10/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 80
H12/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
79avg 80
A14/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
74-98
74
98
-24
61avg 80
A18/01
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
94-61
94
61
+33
96avg 80
A21/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 80
A26/01
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
102-94
102
94
+8
103avg 80
H28/01
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
84-57
84
57
+27
82avg 80
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 80
A02/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
16-23
24-28
23-14
27-20
17-21
31-22
11-15
26-12
18-25
24-20
23-16
24-20
15-19
24-25
20-16
13-18
26-24
21-30
14-26
19-16
23-16
25-15
27-14
12-23
16-24
21-10
21-17
29-16
23-27
18-25
32-26
20-17
21-10
20-17
23-13
18-17
27-15
19-19
21-25
164.2Avg total
86.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.879.9166.8+6.970%
Season at home (10)92.480.7173.1+11.790%
Season away (10)81.379.1160.4+2.250%
Last 10 (10)86.178.1164.2+8.080%
Last 5 (5)87.072.4159.4+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.084.5161.5-7.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.082.8165.8+0.262%
vs Weaker (15)87.379.3166.7+8.067%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
77avg 71
H07/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 71
H09/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
86-96 OT
86
96
-10
77avg 71
A11/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
88-80
88
80
+8
80avg 71
H14/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
79avg 71
H19/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
85-75
85
75
+10
70avg 71
A21/01
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
77-62
77
62
+15
71avg 71
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
50avg 71
H28/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
64-82
64
82
-18
52avg 71
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
81-66
81
66
+15
80avg 71
A01/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
16-20
19-24
20-25
21-27
21-21
22-14
15-22
24-16
16-19
15-23
27-24
24-24
18-23
17-21
29-12
21-19
11-21
29-19
23-13
13-20
23-19
22-20
27-16
16-13
29-16
13-19
19-14
7-19
18-22
17-16
21-26
12-11
18-28
19-22
15-21
20-15
22-15
23-15
16-21
157.2Avg total
78.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.278.8159.0+1.360%
Season at home (11)79.280.1159.3-0.955%
Season away (9)81.377.3158.7+4.067%
Last 10 (10)78.678.6157.2+0.050%
Last 5 (5)74.073.6147.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.980.0152.9-7.112%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.978.5158.4+1.353%
vs Weaker (7)83.676.1159.7+7.471%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
BarcelonaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H07/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H12/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A18/01
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A21/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A26/01
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H28/01
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A02/02
Euroleague
78.7Avg total
40.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.082.4+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.939.581.4+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)40.742.783.4-2.043%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.978.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.277.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.047.588.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.442.984.3-1.546%-
vs Weaker (15)41.438.579.9+2.973%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A11/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H14/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H19/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/01
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H28/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A01/02
Euroleague
75.9Avg total
37.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.378.6+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.142.182.2-1.931%-
Last 30 away (14)38.436.174.5+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.575.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.671.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.239.977.1-2.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.738.277.9+1.560%-
vs Weaker (7)41.040.981.9+0.129%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.2
55.6%
53.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.9
40.6%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.813.7
77.0%
75.6%13.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.5
51.9%
53.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.0
31.9%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
75.6%15.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWLWLWWWW
Valencia
WLLWWWWLLL
#3
League position
#4
+11.2
Net rating
+0.5
118.6
Offensive rating
107.0
107.4
Defensive rating
106.4
57.5%
Effective FG%
50.2%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.6%
3-point %
31.9%
62.4%
Assist %
58.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 107.0Defence107.4 · 106.4Shooting57.5% · 50.2%3-point %40.6% · 31.9%Ball care16.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds34.4% · 30.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Barcelona   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Barcelona wins
4
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23Barcelona v Valencia74-70
29/10/23Valencia v Barcelona71-68
02/06/23Valencia v Barcelona64-87
29/05/23Barcelona v Valencia84-74
14/04/23Barcelona v Valencia85-71
05/02/23Barcelona v Valencia81-75
23/12/22Valencia v Barcelona84-83
30/10/22Valencia v Barcelona80-92
05/03/22Valencia v Barcelona86-76
14/11/21Barcelona v Valencia79-87
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24ACrvena zvezda85-76
31/01/24HVirtus Bologna84-57
28/01/24HPalencia102-94
26/01/24AOlimpia Milano70-74
21/01/24AGranada94-61
18/01/24AAnadolu Efes74-98
14/01/24ATenerife83-80
12/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas91-73
10/01/24HOlympiacos86-78
07/01/24HObradoiro CAB92-90 OT
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24AAlba Berlin81-66
30/01/24ACrvena zvezda64-82
28/01/24HUnicaja63-83
26/01/24ABaskonia77-62
21/01/24ABasket Zaragoza85-75
19/01/24HOlimpia Milano84-72
14/01/24HBreogan88-80
11/01/24AReal Madrid86-96 OT
09/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas79-84
07/01/24HGran Canaria79-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%90%50%
Points / game86.892.481.3
Allowed / game79.980.779.1
Point differential+7.0+11.7+2.2
Avg total166.8173.1160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeWLLWL55%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %60%55%67%
Points / game80.279.281.3
Allowed / game78.880.177.3
Point differential+1.3-0.9+4.0
Avg total159.0159.3158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2118386%89.678.5+11.1
2 Unicaja2117481%87.376.8+10.5
3 Barcelona2014670%86.879.9+7.0
4 Gran Canaria2114767%84.581.2+3.3
5 Valencia2012860%80.278.8+1.3
6 Murcia2112957%82.779.7+3.0
7 Tenerife2112957%83.380.5+2.8
8 Baskonia2112957%86.086.2-0.2
9 Joventut Badalona2112957%82.086.0-4.0
10 Manresa2011955%84.383.9+0.5
11 Basket Zaragoza2191243%80.881.8-1.0
12 Bilbao2181338%77.881.2-3.4
13 Basquet Girona2181338%81.785.8-4.1
14 MoraBanc Andorra2171433%83.385.4-2.1
15 Granada2061430%81.085.9-5.0
16 Obradoiro CAB2161529%80.784.3-3.6
17 Breogan2161529%74.279.8-5.6
18 Palencia2131814%77.587.6-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona1921181876
Valencia1919221979
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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