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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-87
12-20 18-32 23-20 19-15
Position#13
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game82.0
Zalgiris Kaunas
vs
Valencia 🏆
Position#14
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game70.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia
23 Dec 2026
ZAL v VAL
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
ZAL86
VAL77
27 Oct 2023
ZAL72
VAL87
31 Mar 2023
ZAL95
VAL74
22 Oct 2020
ZAL82
VAL94
18 Jan 2018
ZAL86
VAL82
24 Feb 2011
ZAL74
VAL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
W
107-55
107
55
+52
108avg 78
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 78
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
80avg 78
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 78
A05/10
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
W
73-69
73
69
+4
58avg 78
A09/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 78
H13/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
89avg 78
H15/10
LKL
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
66avg 78
A17/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
99-82
99
82
+17
102avg 78
A19/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
76-70
76
70
+6
66avg 78
A22/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-16
21-7
25-14
27-18
15-17
26-19
25-14
13-19
23-23
15-22
15-16
25-7
15-23
22-19
21-23
24-14
15-16
20-27
10-14
28-12
19-21
16-17
15-18
29-18
27-10
20-15
22-20
17-24
19-25
24-28
19-19
17-21
22-14
24-25
28-22
25-21
31-24
23-22
10-11
12-13
156.6Avg total
83.8Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.882.0166.8+2.875%
Season at home (1)79.074.0153.0+5.0100%
Season away (3)86.784.7171.3+2.067%
Last 10 (10)83.872.8156.6+11.090%
Last 5 (5)83.877.6161.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.887.5161.2-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (3)86.778.3165.0+8.3100%
vs Weaker (23)85.074.6159.7+10.483%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
L
85-89
85
89
-4
66avg 74
H23/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 74
A27/09
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
79avg 74
A30/09
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
70-65
70
65
+5
67avg 74
H06/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 74
H08/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 74
H13/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
61-59
61
59
+2
56avg 74
A15/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
75avg 74
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
69avg 74
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 74
H22/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
20-15
17-17
27-30
19-25
28-13
24-21
23-27
21-26
16-12
21-17
24-21
17-20
22-18
14-13
17-14
21-20
14-16
23-18
27-25
22-9
17-24
19-20
19-21
11-15
13-6
16-20
21-18
18-17
15-12
17-15
25-22
15-18
25-20
13-19
20-20
22-15
19-23
22-20
21-21
153.6Avg total
78.6Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.870.5144.2+3.275%
Season at home (3)74.068.3142.3+5.7100%
Season away (1)73.077.0150.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)78.675.0153.6+3.680%
Last 5 (5)74.071.0145.0+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.879.2154.0-4.445%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.283.7163.9-3.442%
vs Weaker (7)81.977.4159.3+4.471%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
Zalgiris KaunasValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
W
55-23
55
23
+32
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/10
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H13/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H15/10
LKL
Real Madrid
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A17/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A19/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A22/10
LKL
82.1Avg total
43.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.881.7+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.138.280.2+3.962%-
Last 30 away (17)43.439.482.8+4.159%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.082.1+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.285.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.043.879.8-7.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.339.779.0-0.333%-
vs Weaker (23)44.537.982.3+6.674%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A27/09
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A30/09
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H13/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A15/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/10
ACB
72.7Avg total
37.6Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.678.5-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.538.677.1-0.156%-
Last 30 away (14)39.440.880.1-1.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.635.172.7+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)35.431.867.2+3.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.439.877.2-2.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.341.783.0-0.350%-
vs Weaker (7)37.135.772.9+1.443%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.6
53.0%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.2
40.3%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.8
74.4%
77.4%12.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.6
52.3%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.97.6
38.2%
36.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.8
76.0%
77.4%15.8
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWWWWWW
Valencia
WLWWWWWWWL
#13
League position
#14
+14.2
Net rating
+5.3
112.9
Offensive rating
107.9
98.7
Defensive rating
102.6
56.0%
Effective FG%
54.0%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
20.8%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
40.3%
3-point %
38.2%
58.1%
Assist %
61.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 107.9Defence98.7 · 102.6Shooting56.0% · 54.0%3-point %40.3% · 38.2%Ball care17.5% · 20.8%Off. rebounds30.1% · 31.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
3
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
31/03/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia95-74
25/11/22Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas76-80
27/01/21Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas78-79
22/10/20Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia82-94
18/01/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia86-82
21/12/17Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas63-71
24/02/11Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia74-80
19/01/11Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas73-59
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23ANevezis76-70
19/10/23ABaskonia99-82
17/10/23AReal Madrid79-93
15/10/23HJonava86-69
13/10/23HCrvena zvezda79-74
09/10/23AMazeikiai73-69
05/10/23AVirtus Bologna82-79
01/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes78-68
28/09/23AJuventus79-69
17/09/23AGargzdai107-55
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HManresa84-79
20/10/23AAnadolu Efes73-77
18/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv75-66
15/10/23ABreogan61-59
13/10/23HFenerbahce77-74
08/10/23HObradoiro CAB85-79
06/10/23HMonaco70-65
30/09/23AUnicaja82-76
27/09/23ATenerife94-86
23/09/23HBasquet Girona85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game84.879.086.7
Allowed / game82.074.084.7
Point differential+2.8+5.0+2.0
Avg total166.8153.0171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game73.874.073.0
Allowed / game70.568.377.0
Point differential+3.2+5.7-4.0
Avg total144.2142.3150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%85.674.2+11.4
2 Barcelona54180%84.469.8+14.6
3 Virtus Bologna43175%83.574.0+9.5
4 Fenerbahce43175%85.878.5+7.2
5 Valencia43175%73.870.5+3.2
6 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%84.882.0+2.8
7 Monaco53260%79.876.6+3.2
8 Olympiacos53260%76.474.2+2.2
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv42250%81.886.0-4.2
10 Bayern42250%71.578.0-6.5
11 Partizan52340%86.886.8+0.0
12 Anadolu Efes52340%75.485.2-9.8
13 Olimpia Milano41325%75.077.8-2.8
14 Baskonia41325%79.585.0-5.5
15 Panathinaikos41325%76.582.0-5.5
16 Crvena zvezda51420%81.881.4+0.4
17 Alba Berlin51420%78.085.2-7.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne4040%76.293.0-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1218231972
Valencia2032201587
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