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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 73-76
26-24 23-19 13-20 11-13
Position#14
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game74.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2023
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
W
61-59
61
59
+2
56avg 73
A15/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
75avg 73
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
69avg 73
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 73
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
82avg 73
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
71-68
71
68
+3
58avg 73
H29/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 73
H02/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 73
A05/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
52-83
52
83
-31
44avg 73
A09/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 73
H12/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
13-6
16-20
21-18
18-17
15-12
17-15
25-22
15-18
25-20
13-19
20-20
22-15
19-23
22-20
21-21
20-12
32-18
20-23
15-19
18-19
27-14
13-16
13-19
15-14
26-25
15-15
23-17
15-21
25-15
15-24
21-20
12-23
19-21
8-20
13-19
22-23
15-20
25-15
14-11
145.8Avg total
73.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.372.6145.9+0.771%
Season at home (4)75.269.0144.2+6.2100%
Season away (3)70.777.3148.0-6.733%
Last 10 (10)73.472.4145.8+1.070%
Last 5 (5)70.874.2145.0-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.677.9151.4-4.344%
vs Similar (12)79.279.5158.8-0.258%
vs Weaker (9)80.476.7157.1+3.867%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
103-80
103
80
+23
105avg 74
A12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
106-92
106
92
+14
104avg 74
H15/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
93-79
93
79
+14
97avg 74
H17/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
86avg 74
H19/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
82-76
82
76
+6
83avg 74
A22/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
58avg 74
H26/10
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
91-68
91
68
+23
82avg 74
H29/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
83-76
83
76
+7
80avg 74
A05/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
100-74
100
74
+26
104avg 74
H09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 74
A12/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
29-17
25-19
23-20
15-22
27-15
39-25
25-30
25-19
28-24
19-19
21-17
19-25
23-17
25-19
21-10
27-14
20-20
18-27
17-15
12-19
16-11
23-11
14-23
30-11
22-14
15-18
24-25
25-13
15-21
22-31
21-11
26-27
27-10
15-14
32-23
20-11
16-22
27-23
24-28
166.2Avg total
89.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.074.2162.2+13.8100%
Season at home (4)86.572.0158.5+14.5100%
Season away (2)91.078.5169.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.876.4166.2+13.4100%
Last 5 (5)85.273.2158.4+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)82.484.0166.4-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.576.6166.0+12.996%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A15/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H02/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A05/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A09/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/11
ACB
73.5Avg total
38.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.477.6+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.738.677.3+0.153%-
Last 30 away (13)39.738.277.9+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)38.435.173.5+3.380%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.077.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.338.775.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (12)42.239.281.5+3.067%-
vs Weaker (9)37.837.174.9+0.744%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H17/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A22/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H26/10
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H29/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/11
ACB
80.4Avg total
44.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.281.1+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.835.579.2+8.362%-
Last 30 away (17)43.938.682.5+5.376%-
Last 10 (10)44.835.680.4+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.831.873.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)42.643.486.0-0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.235.880.0+8.375%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.3
47.4%
53.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.4
35.6%
36.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.713.6
76.8%
77.4%13.6
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.521.1
61.2%
53.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.5
35.3%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.818.5
81.1%
77.4%18.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWWWWLWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
#14
League position
#1
+1.1
Net rating
+18.4
101.2
Offensive rating
119.1
100.1
Defensive rating
100.7
49.5%
Effective FG%
57.6%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
20.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.6%
3-point %
35.3%
58.8%
Assist %
68.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 119.1Defence100.1 · 100.7Shooting49.5% · 57.6%3-point %35.6% · 35.3%Ball care20.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds30.6% · 31.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
8
Real Madrid wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HBasket Zaragoza76-69
09/11/23AOlimpia Milano52-83
05/11/23AJoventut Badalona76-80
02/11/23HAlba Berlin79-71
29/10/23HBarcelona71-68
27/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas87-72
22/10/23HManresa84-79
20/10/23AAnadolu Efes73-77
18/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv75-66
15/10/23ABreogan61-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23ABilbao87-84
09/11/23HVirtus Bologna100-74
05/11/23AGranada83-76
29/10/23HPalencia91-68
26/10/23HBarcelona65-64
22/10/23ATenerife82-76
19/10/23HOlimpia Milano88-71
17/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas93-79
15/10/23HMurcia106-92
12/10/23AAnadolu Efes103-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game73.375.270.7
Allowed / game72.669.077.3
Point differential+0.7+6.2-6.7
Avg total145.9144.2148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.086.591.0
Allowed / game74.272.078.5
Point differential+13.8+14.5+12.5
Avg total162.2158.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%88.074.2+13.8
2 Barcelona76186%84.071.7+12.3
3 Fenerbahce75271%83.177.6+5.6
4 Virtus Bologna75271%84.080.1+3.9
5 Valencia75271%73.372.6+0.7
6 Monaco85362%79.176.0+3.1
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv74357%84.686.1-1.6
8 Olympiacos84450%76.574.9+1.6
9 Anadolu Efes84450%79.185.4-6.2
10 Partizan73443%86.086.0+0.0
11 Panathinaikos73443%81.782.0-0.3
12 Zalgiris Kaunas73443%83.084.6-1.6
13 Baskonia73443%79.784.6-4.9
14 Olimpia Milano72529%77.076.1+0.9
15 Crvena zvezda72529%80.680.1+0.4
16 Bayern72529%73.079.3-6.3
17 Alba Berlin71614%78.086.3-8.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne71614%78.689.6-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2623131173
Real Madrid2419201376
← all games of the day
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