Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	89.3	77.3	166.7	+12.0	90%
Season at home (9)	93.9	78.9	172.8	+15.0	100%
Season away (11)	85.6	76.1	161.7	+9.5	82%
Last 10 (10)	90.8	79.5	170.3	+11.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	96.4	87.8	184.2	+8.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	86.7	82.7	169.3	+4.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	89.7	76.1	165.9	+13.6	93%

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

#11

86-82

87avg 72

H17/12

ACB

Partizan

#11

67-72

-5

62avg 72

H19/12

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

79-71

78avg 72

H21/12

Euroleague

Granada

#17

75-81

-6

69avg 72

H23/12

ACB

Bayern

#15

84-85

-1

80avg 72

A28/12

Euroleague

Real Madrid

74-83

-9

63avg 72

A31/12

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#10

93-88

90avg 72

H03/01

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

81-82

-1

79avg 72

H05/01

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

79-86

-7

77avg 72

H07/01

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#13

79-84

-5

73avg 72

H09/01

Euroleague

19-20

13-18

29-27

25-17

14-19

20-14

10-20

23-19

26-21

11-26

23-7

19-17

20-18

15-19

14-23

26-21

16-16

23-22

22-25

15-20

19-21

19-26

21-16

18-18

25-27

28-21

22-22

23-22

24-25

22-19

12-16

24-17

16-20

19-24

20-25

21-27

21-21

22-14

15-22

161.1Avg total

79.7Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	76.1	76.0	152.1	+0.1	50%
Season at home (12)	78.5	77.3	155.8	+1.2	58%
Season away (8)	72.5	74.0	146.5	-1.5	38%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	81.4	161.1	-1.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	84.6	165.8	-3.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	72.7	75.3	148.0	-2.6	29%
vs Similar (17)	78.8	78.9	157.7	-0.1	53%
vs Weaker (6)	81.0	77.2	158.2	+3.8	50%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	18.9	43.0	+5.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	19.2	42.7	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.7	18.5	43.3	+6.2	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	18.7	42.1	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	18.4	44.2	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	24.0	22.7	46.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.1	18.4	42.6	+5.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	19.5	40.1	+1.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.4	18.6	36.0	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.9	43%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.5	18.2	37.6	+1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.9	38.6	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	16.1	38.3	+6.2	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.4	17.4	36.9	+2.0	57%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.5	19.9	41.5	+1.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.3	21.7	44.0	+0.7	50%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#15

39-34

A16/12

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#16

45-34

+11

A19/12

Euroleague

Partizan

#11

48-36

+12

H21/12

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#10

53-35

+18

A23/12

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#17

33-39

-6

A28/12

Euroleague

Valencia

41-34

H31/12

ACB

Barcelona

47-45

A03/01

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

#10

38-36

H05/01

Euroleague

Baskonia

51-43

A07/01

ACB

Bayern

#15

45-36

A09/01

Euroleague

81.2Avg total

44.0Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.8	36.8	81.6	+8.0	87%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	35.3	81.0	+10.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	38.3	82.2	+5.5	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	37.2	81.2	+6.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	38.8	83.2	+5.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	45.7	40.0	85.7	+5.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	44.7	36.4	81.1	+8.3	85%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

#11

32-38

-6

H17/12

ACB

Partizan

#11

34-33

H19/12

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

37-47

-10

H21/12

Euroleague

Granada

#17

35-37

-2

H23/12

ACB

Bayern

#15

39-38

A28/12

Euroleague

Real Madrid

34-41

-7

A31/12

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#10

43-45

-2

H03/01

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

47-47

H05/01

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

40-37

H07/01

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#13

42-48

-6

H09/01

Euroleague

79.4Avg total

38.3Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	38.8	79.2	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.4	40.2	81.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.1	37.0	76.1	+2.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	41.1	79.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	43.6	84.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	38.0	38.9	76.9	-0.9	43%	-
vs Similar (17)	41.0	38.1	79.1	+2.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.3	40.8	82.2	+0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	17.7	39.6	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.9	18.2	40.1	+3.7	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	19.8	36.9	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.7	43%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	41%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.3	23.3	41.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.5	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.4	38.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.6	17.6	35.1	+0.0	43%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.2	24%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.7	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	38.1	80.6	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	38.8	82.1	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.8	37.3	79.1	+4.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	37.8	79.7	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	40.0	82.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	41.0	42.7	83.7	-1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	42.7	37.6	80.3	+5.2	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	38.6	75.6	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.8	38.5	76.3	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.9	38.8	74.7	-2.8	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	40.3	81.7	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	41.0	81.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	34.7	36.4	71.1	-1.7	14%	-
vs Similar (17)	36.9	40.4	77.3	-3.4	35%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.7	36.3	76.0	+3.3	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	20.0	59.0%	53.4%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	11.7	37.4%	36.6%	35.1
🏀 Free throws	18.3	14.3	78.1%	77.4%	14.3

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 79.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	22.1	54.7%	53.4%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.4	7.5	36.8%	36.6%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.9	70.1%	77.4%	12.9

They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.4	21.2	47.7%	53.4%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	9.1	34.9%	36.6%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	12.4	9.2	74.2%	77.4%	9.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	17.5	50.0%	53.4%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.4	38.1%	36.6%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.8	73.0%	77.4%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	20.3	58.7%	53.4%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	10.7	37.3%	36.6%	32.0
🏀 Free throws	19.6	16.1	82.1%	77.4%	16.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	20.4	51.3%	53.4%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.2	34.1%	36.6%	21.7
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.7	74.7%	77.4%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	20.7	48.5%	53.4%	41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.0	31.2%	36.6%	24.1
🏀 Free throws	14.3	10.6	74.1%	77.4%	10.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	17.1	51.9%	53.4%	34.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.0	33.6%	36.6%	27.1
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.8	74.1%	77.4%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WWWLWWWWWW

Valencia

LLLWLLLWLW

League position

#14

+13.5

Net rating

-0.5

114.5

Offensive rating

108.4

101.1

Defensive rating

108.9

57.6%

Effective FG%

54.9%

49.4%

Opp. effective FG%

53.1%

16.1%

Turnover %

20.2%

23.2%

Off. rebound %

31.6%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.30

37.4%

3-point %

36.8%

69.7%

Assist %

58.4%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
31/12/23	Real Madrid v Valencia	83-74
14/11/23	Valencia v Real Madrid	73-76
12/05/23	Valencia v Real Madrid	68-79
09/03/23	Real Madrid v Valencia	95-91
16/02/23	Real Madrid v Valencia	86-85
04/12/22	Real Madrid v Valencia	79-62
22/11/22	Valencia v Real Madrid	73-80
06/02/22	Real Madrid v Valencia	93-94
10/10/21	Valencia v Real Madrid	79-93
10/06/21	Real Madrid v Valencia	80-77

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/24	A	Bayern	92-71
07/01/24	A	Baskonia	99-85
05/01/24	H	Anadolu Efes	130-126 OT
03/01/24	A	Barcelona	78-83
31/12/23	H	Valencia	83-74
28/12/23	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	77-76
23/12/23	A	Joventut Badalona	101-73
21/12/23	H	Partizan	91-75
19/12/23	A	Crvena zvezda	72-58
16/12/23	A	Obradoiro CAB	85-74

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/24	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	79-84
07/01/24	H	Gran Canaria	79-86
05/01/24	H	Panathinaikos	81-82
03/01/24	H	Anadolu Efes	93-88
31/12/23	A	Real Madrid	74-83
28/12/23	A	Bayern	84-85
23/12/23	H	Granada	75-81
21/12/23	H	Virtus Bologna	79-71
19/12/23	H	Partizan	67-72
17/12/23	H	MoraBanc Andorra	86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

Euroleague 2023

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	90%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWLW	82%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	90%	100%	82%
Points / game	89.3	93.9	85.6
Allowed / game	77.3	78.9	76.1
Point differential	+12.0	+15.0	+9.5
Avg total	166.7	172.8	161.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	78%	45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (2)	60% (5)
Overtime %	10%	11%	9%

Valencia

Euroleague 2023

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	50%
Home	LWWLL	58%
Away	LLWWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	12	8
Win %	50%	58%	38%
Points / game	76.1	78.5	72.5
Allowed / game	76.0	77.3	74.0
Point differential	+0.1	+1.2	-1.5
Avg total	152.1	155.8	146.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	50% (8)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	20	18	2	90%	89.3	77.3	+12.0
2	Barcelona	20	14	6	70%	83.0	79.2	+3.8
3	Virtus Bologna	20	14	6	70%	82.3	80.6	+1.8
4	Panathinaikos	21	13	8	62%	82.0	78.4	+3.6
5	Fenerbahce	21	13	8	62%	84.3	81.3	+3.0
6	Maccabi Tel Aviv	20	12	8	60%	86.6	87.2	-0.6
7	Olympiacos	20	11	9	55%	77.4	74.5	+2.9
8	Monaco	21	11	10	52%	80.7	80.3	+0.4
9	Valencia	20	10	10	50%	76.1	76.0	+0.1
10	Partizan	20	10	10	50%	84.3	84.3	-0.1
11	Baskonia	20	10	10	50%	82.0	83.0	-1.1
12	Crvena zvezda	21	9	12	43%	81.6	80.0	+1.6
13	Olimpia Milano	21	9	12	43%	78.0	76.4	+1.6
14	Bayern	21	8	13	38%	79.0	82.7	-3.6
15	Zalgiris Kaunas	20	7	13	35%	78.8	81.2	-2.4
16	Anadolu Efes	20	7	13	35%	83.5	89.3	-5.8
17	Lyon-Villeurbanne	20	4	16	20%	80.2	87.6	-7.5
18	Alba Berlin	20	3	17	15%	75.3	85.4	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Real Madrid	16	19	23	24	14	96
Valencia	24	16	15	27	4	86

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Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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