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Basket Napoli vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 93-75
22-22 25-11 22-16 24-26
Position#7
Record9-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#16
Record5-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game85.7
ItalyLega ARound 16· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Pesaro
14 Jan 2024
NAP93
PES75
29 Apr 2023
NAP98
PES87
08 May 2022
NAP84
PES85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
97-77
97
77
+20
92avg 76
A04/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
97-96
97
96
+1
86avg 76
H11/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
79-76
79
76
+3
70avg 76
A19/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
77avg 76
H26/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
68avg 76
A02/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
89avg 76
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 76
A17/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
94-101
94
101
-7
82avg 76
A23/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 76
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
89-81
89
81
+8
80avg 76
A07/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
28-12
24-18
26-22
22-18
19-27
22-21
34-30
24-14
18-19
14-28
23-15
12-18
23-16
14-15
31-21
21-19
19-20
18-14
18-28
18-31
26-19
25-25
18-14
16-25
25-21
19-21
25-24
18-20
21-35
24-25
31-21
16-15
16-20
31-18
18-23
29-21
17-26
22-20
21-14
170.3Avg total
86.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.982.3168.3+3.660%
Season at home (7)83.979.7163.6+4.171%
Season away (8)87.884.6172.4+3.150%
Last 10 (10)86.583.8170.3+2.760%
Last 5 (5)87.287.6174.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.583.5165.0-2.136%
vs Similar (17)84.483.4167.8+1.059%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)93.574.0167.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
73avg 70
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 70
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
69-96
69
96
-27
60avg 70
A19/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
100avg 70
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
68-101
68
101
-33
63avg 70
A02/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
65avg 70
H10/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 70
A17/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 70
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
51avg 70
A30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
69-79
69
79
-10
54avg 70
H07/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
12-28
18-24
22-26
20-29
28-16
16-27
32-20
17-26
16-27
23-20
13-23
26-21
22-18
28-13
19-24
18-29
20-22
14-19
16-31
12-19
22-17
13-25
27-26
17-23
30-15
17-14
10-21
21-18
24-19
21-24
15-27
19-15
13-26
16-17
18-25
20-13
8-28
14-27
27-11
164.1Avg total
76.9Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.185.7164.8-6.733%
Season at home (8)82.487.8170.1-5.425%
Season away (7)75.383.4158.7-8.143%
Last 10 (10)76.987.2164.1-10.330%
Last 5 (5)72.882.0154.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.889.5166.3-12.625%
vs Similar (10)83.985.8169.7-1.940%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
Basket NapoliPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H11/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H26/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A17/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A23/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A07/01
Lega A
82.8Avg total
40.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.682.5-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.683.1-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.241.781.9-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.182.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.687.0-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.542.584.1-1.045%-
vs Similar (17)39.642.181.7-2.435%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A19/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A02/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H10/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A17/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H07/01
Lega A
81.8Avg total
39.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.882.5-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.541.178.6-3.638%-
Last 30 away (14)40.146.886.9-6.721%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.881.8-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.675.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.545.683.1-8.215%-
vs Similar (10)41.240.081.2+1.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.0
53.8%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.8
36.0%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.015.9
79.5%
76.3%15.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.2
46.5%
53.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.9
35.2%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.313.0
75.1%
76.3%13.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
WWLLLLWWWW
Pesaro
LLLWLLWLWL
#7
League position
#16
+3.9
Net rating
-13.0
109.4
Offensive rating
99.9
105.5
Defensive rating
112.9
53.9%
Effective FG%
49.0%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.0%
3-point %
35.2%
58.4%
Assist %
62.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 99.9Defence105.5 · 112.9Shooting53.9% · 49.0%3-point %36.0% · 35.2%Ball care17.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds23.8% · 23.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Basket Napoli wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Pesaro v Basket Napoli77-97
29/04/23Basket Napoli v Pesaro98-87
23/10/22Pesaro v Basket Napoli97-99 OT
08/05/22Basket Napoli v Pesaro84-85 OT
13/11/21Pesaro v Basket Napoli83-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24AVenezia89-81
30/12/23HTortona81-76
23/12/23ATrento94-101
17/12/23AScafati85-91
10/12/23HReggiana87-89
02/12/23APistoia76-81
26/11/23HCremona80-70
19/11/23ATreviso79-76
11/11/23HVarese97-96
04/11/23APesaro97-77
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HSassari69-79
30/12/23AVirtus Bologna66-83
23/12/23HVarese81-88
17/12/23APistoia74-73
10/12/23HTrento74-87
02/12/23AReggiana68-101
26/11/23HTreviso95-76
19/11/23ACremona69-96
12/11/23HTortona96-92
04/11/23HBasket Napoli77-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game85.983.987.8
Allowed / game82.379.784.6
Point differential+3.6+4.1+3.1
Avg total168.3163.6172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWLLL25%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%25%43%
Points / game79.182.475.3
Allowed / game85.787.883.4
Point differential-6.7-5.4-8.1
Avg total164.8170.1158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1612475%85.975.1+10.9
2 Venezia1612475%82.778.1+4.6
3 Virtus Bologna1510567%86.376.6+9.7
4 Olimpia Milano1610662%79.075.0+4.0
5 Basket Napoli159660%85.982.3+3.6
6 Reggiana159660%83.881.7+2.1
7 Trento169756%83.782.6+1.1
8 Cremona168850%81.678.4+3.2
9 Pistoia168850%78.181.8-3.8
10 Scafati157847%84.186.8-2.7
11 Sassari167944%76.982.2-5.4
12 Tortona1661038%78.280.9-2.8
13 Varese1661038%86.691.1-4.4
14 Pesaro1551033%79.185.7-6.7
15 Treviso1641225%80.184.6-4.4
16 Brindisi1531220%73.082.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli2225222493
Pesaro2211162675
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