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Bauru vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-64
21-14 20-11 18-20 15-19
Position#4
Record13-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game79.4
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#8
Record13-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game78.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bauru v Corinthians Paulista
10 Dec 2025
BAUR94
CORI84
16 Feb 2025
BAUR74
CORI64
09 Nov 2023
BAUR80
CORI74
09 Mar 2023
BAUR75
CORI63
28 Dec 2021
BAUR77
CORI71
05 Dec 2020
BAUR82
CORI67
04 Feb 2020
BAUR75
CORI74
07 Mar 2019
BAUR92
CORI81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
W
97-91
97
91
+6
89avg 73
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
78avg 73
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 73
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 73
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 73
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
63avg 73
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 73
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
59avg 73
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#14
W
94-91
94
91
+3
83avg 73
A05/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 73
A08/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
26-29
26-20
29-24
18-14
19-24
15-22
27-19
20-16
15-39
27-21
17-18
9-13
16-22
20-29
18-17
27-28
16-22
10-18
20-15
18-26
18-18
20-18
11-15
18-21
23-12
18-20
16-20
18-21
12-29
26-22
17-13
18-15
23-26
27-19
26-31
22-11
22-15
18-20
18-16
162.3Avg total
79.3Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.679.4158.0-0.957%
Season at home (10)78.675.7154.3+2.980%
Season away (13)78.582.3160.8-3.838%
Last 10 (10)79.383.0162.3-3.740%
Last 5 (5)77.877.6155.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.488.4160.9-16.014%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.478.6155.9-1.257%
vs Weaker (9)80.676.8157.3+3.878%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
64-79
64
79
-15
46avg 76
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
79-80
79
80
-1
84avg 76
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
85-76
85
76
+9
85avg 76
A29/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 76
H09/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
84-79
84
79
+5
63avg 76
H11/01
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
95-87
95
87
+8
91avg 76
H17/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 76
A22/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
90-66
90
66
+24
96avg 76
A04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
74-65
74
65
+9
72avg 76
H11/02
NBB
Minas
#1
W
72-63
72
63
+9
70avg 76
A13/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
20-11
9-28
17-20
29-19
22-25
16-25
12-11
22-19
18-22
23-25
22-10
22-21
29-18
27-20
21-20
24-23
18-16
22-20
20-20
32-28
24-23
15-22
24-14
15-9
14-18
13-21
28-26
22-18
31-14
18-18
19-16
17-22
13-12
19-12
25-19
15-13
30-19
13-15
14-16
156.0Avg total
81.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.778.9159.6+1.852%
Season at home (13)84.184.2168.2-0.146%
Season away (12)77.173.2150.2+3.958%
Last 10 (10)81.274.8156.0+6.470%
Last 5 (5)80.271.0151.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.879.5153.3-5.750%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.881.9160.7-3.129%
vs Weaker (10)85.775.5161.2+10.270%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
BauruCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A08/02
NBB
79.3Avg total
37.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.877.6-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.439.376.6-1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)38.240.278.5-2.044%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.979.3-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.877.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.647.683.1-12.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.937.975.7+0.064%-
vs Weaker (9)39.636.876.3+2.844%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H09/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/01
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H17/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A22/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NBB
Minas
#1
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A13/02
NBB
80.5Avg total
43.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.182.5+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.144.486.5-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)40.838.178.9+2.762%-
Last 10 (10)43.537.080.5+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.277.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.742.081.7-2.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.341.982.2-1.650%-
vs Weaker (10)44.039.383.3+4.760%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.6
50.4%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.7
29.3%
33.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.512.6
64.6%
72.7%12.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.6
53.0%
50.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.1
35.8%
33.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.914.7
77.8%
72.7%14.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WWLWLLLLLW
Corinthians Paulista
WWWLWWWWLL
#4
League position
#8
-5.9
Net rating
+8.4
101.4
Offensive rating
108.9
107.2
Defensive rating
100.5
47.6%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.4%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.3%
3-point %
35.8%
58.7%
Assist %
68.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 108.9Defence107.2 · 100.5Shooting47.6% · 53.3%3-point %29.3% · 35.8%Ball care16.7% · 18.4%Off. rebounds31.1% · 27.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Bauru   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bauru wins
4
Corinthians Paulista wins
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AMogi80-62
05/02/25APato94-91
20/01/25HPaulistano73-85
11/01/25HSao Paulo75-73
29/12/24ABrasilia67-77
27/12/24AMinas73-83
23/12/24AVasco63-81
20/12/24AFlamengo79-94
18/12/24ABotafogo92-93 OT
13/12/24HPato97-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25AMinas72-63
11/02/25HPaulistano74-65
04/02/25ASao Paulo90-66
22/01/25ABrasilia70-74
17/01/25HFlamengo95-87
11/01/25HBotafogo84-79
09/01/25HVasco99-79
29/12/24APato85-76
23/12/24ACaxias do Sul79-80
21/12/24AUniao Corinthians64-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %57%80%38%
Points / game78.678.678.5
Allowed / game79.475.782.3
Point differential-0.9+2.9-3.8
Avg total158.0154.3160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeLWWWW46%
AwayLWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%46%58%
Points / game80.784.177.1
Allowed / game78.984.273.2
Point differential+1.8-0.1+3.9
Avg total159.6168.2150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%15%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2319483%81.970.7+11.1
2 Flamengo2318578%84.273.0+11.2
3 Brasilia2617965%82.580.0+2.5
4 Franca2213959%81.478.1+3.2
5 Uniao Corinthians24141058%78.578.9-0.4
6 Bauru23131057%78.679.4-0.9
7 Paulistano24131154%78.174.8+3.3
8 Pinheiros24131154%75.074.4+0.7
9 Corinthians Paulista25131252%80.778.9+1.8
10 Vasco25131252%75.575.7-0.2
11 Sao Jose24121250%78.877.7+1.0
12 Unifacisa25121348%75.375.2+0.1
13 Sao Paulo25111444%76.478.6-2.3
14 Pato2691735%81.784.7-3.0
15 Mogi2691735%73.779.7-6.1
16 Caxias do Sul2471729%73.278.8-5.6
17 Botafogo2571828%73.581.0-7.5
18 Cearense2461825%70.577.6-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru2120181574
Corinthians Paulista1411201964
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