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Bayern vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-92
18-24 18-21 17-19 18-28
Position#15
Record8-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#1
Record17-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20· BMW Park
European cup2023
Meetings · Bayern v Real Madrid
24 Mar 2027
BAY v MAD
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
BAY90
MAD84
03 Oct 2024
BAY97
MAD89
09 Jan 2024
BAY71
MAD92
13 Dec 2022
BAY64
MAD68
05 Nov 2021
BAY76
MAD80
15 Jan 2021
BAY76
MAD81
21 Dec 2018
BAY72
MAD82
11 Dec 2015
BAY67
MAD86
13 Mar 2014
BAY85
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 75
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 75
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 75
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
77avg 75
H22/12
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
96-74
96
74
+22
90avg 75
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 75
H28/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#16
W
83-57
83
57
+26
84avg 75
H30/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
80avg 75
A03/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
62-76
62
76
-14
52avg 75
A05/01
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 75
A07/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
14-23
20-21
16-25
25-17
18-28
23-18
29-17
20-17
30-24
21-18
15-12
14-17
17-29
29-21
20-24
28-13
18-19
28-22
22-20
16-16
22-23
22-23
25-22
24-7
17-19
17-11
25-20
24-22
22-20
23-23
14-20
12-19
15-15
20-16
15-26
27-16
24-23
16-18
24-28
162.5Avg total
83.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.881.4160.2-2.542%
Season at home (8)84.179.4163.5+4.875%
Season away (11)75.082.8157.8-7.818%
Last 10 (10)83.479.1162.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)80.877.4158.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.785.9158.6-13.10%
vs Similar (11)82.679.7162.4+2.964%
vs Weaker (11)88.776.0164.7+12.782%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
W
88-73
88
73
+15
80avg 75
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
85-74
85
74
+11
69avg 75
A16/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
72-58
72
58
+14
74avg 75
A19/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
88avg 75
H21/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
101-73
101
73
+28
106avg 75
A23/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
77-76
77
76
+1
71avg 75
A28/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
83-74
83
74
+9
81avg 75
H31/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 75
A03/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
117avg 75
H05/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
99-85
99
85
+14
100avg 75
A07/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
23-14
21-20
25-16
15-19
24-15
23-14
23-26
20-20
25-14
16-11
11-13
26-19
22-17
28-15
15-24
26-18
27-17
26-20
22-18
18-19
15-20
18-18
26-19
20-15
21-19
26-19
16-21
25-21
22-24
15-15
16-23
25-18
13-18
26-25
17-20
35-20
16-23
22-23
26-19
170.1Avg total
90.4Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.277.7166.9+11.589%
Season at home (9)93.978.9172.8+15.0100%
Season away (10)85.076.6161.6+8.480%
Last 10 (10)90.479.7170.1+10.790%
Last 5 (5)93.488.8182.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)86.782.7169.3+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)90.276.9167.1+13.393%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
BayernReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/12
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A03/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A05/01
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/01
BBL
79.6Avg total
41.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.180.2+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.239.282.3+4.058%-
Last 30 away (18)39.839.078.8+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.679.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.076.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.742.376.0-8.60%-
vs Similar (11)41.640.782.4+0.955%-
vs Weaker (11)44.235.779.9+8.582%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A16/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A19/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A23/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A03/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/01
ACB
81.0Avg total
43.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.736.881.5+7.987%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.535.480.9+10.188%-
Last 30 away (14)43.838.582.3+5.386%-
Last 10 (10)43.737.381.0+6.490%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.481.4+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.740.085.7+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.636.581.1+8.185%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.5
50.6%
53.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.0
39.3%
36.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.214.6
80.2%
77.4%14.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.6
57.9%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.1
36.6%
36.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.114.7
77.0%
77.4%14.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLWWWLWWL
Real Madrid
WWLWWWWWWW
#15
League position
#1
+6.1
Net rating
+13.2
114.3
Offensive rating
114.1
108.2
Defensive rating
100.9
54.3%
Effective FG%
56.5%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.3%
3-point %
36.6%
60.4%
Assist %
68.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 114.1Defence108.2 · 100.9Shooting54.3% · 56.5%3-point %39.3% · 36.6%Ball care16.3% · 16.2%Off. rebounds30.9% · 25.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Bayern   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayern wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
14/12/23Real Madrid v Bayern88-73
06/04/23Real Madrid v Bayern79-67
13/12/22Bayern v Real Madrid64-68
08/04/22Real Madrid v Bayern88-97
05/11/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-80
15/01/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-81 OT
29/10/20Real Madrid v Bayern100-82
22/02/19Real Madrid v Bayern91-78
21/12/18Bayern v Real Madrid72-82
11/12/15Bayern v Real Madrid67-86
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24ARostock91-85
05/01/24AOlimpia Milano62-76
03/01/24AVirtus Bologna83-85
30/12/23HHeidelberg83-57
28/12/23HValencia85-84
26/12/23ATubingen96-74
22/12/23HMonaco80-91
20/12/23HAnadolu Efes86-71
17/12/23HUlm95-80
14/12/23AReal Madrid73-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24ABaskonia99-85
05/01/24HAnadolu Efes130-126 OT
03/01/24ABarcelona78-83
31/12/23HValencia83-74
28/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne77-76
23/12/23AJoventut Badalona101-73
21/12/23HPartizan91-75
19/12/23ACrvena zvezda72-58
16/12/23AObradoiro CAB85-74
14/12/23HBayern88-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL42%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %42%75%18%
Points / game78.884.175.0
Allowed / game81.479.482.8
Point differential-2.5+4.8-7.8
Avg total160.2163.5157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %11%12%9%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game89.293.985.0
Allowed / game77.778.976.6
Point differential+11.5+15.0+8.4
Avg total166.9172.8161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%78%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %11%11%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1917289%89.277.7+11.5
2 Virtus Bologna1914574%82.679.8+2.7
3 Barcelona1913668%82.879.3+3.5
4 Fenerbahce2012860%83.680.8+2.8
5 Olympiacos1911858%77.473.9+3.5
6 Panathinaikos1911858%81.679.3+2.3
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv1911858%86.287.7-1.5
8 Monaco2011955%81.579.9+1.6
9 Valencia1910953%75.975.6+0.4
10 Partizan20101050%84.384.3-0.1
11 Baskonia20101050%82.083.0-1.1
12 Olimpia Milano1981142%78.676.5+2.2
13 Crvena zvezda1981142%81.479.9+1.5
14 Bayern1981142%78.881.4-2.5
15 Anadolu Efes1971237%83.989.6-5.7
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1961332%78.581.3-2.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1931616%79.187.4-8.3
18 Alba Berlin1931616%75.385.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1818171871
Real Madrid2421192892
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