PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olimpia Milano vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-62
19-12 15-15 16-20 26-15
Position#12
Record7-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.3
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#15
Record8-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game81.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19· Unipol Forum
European cup2023
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Bayern
10 Dec 2026
MIL v BAY
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
MIL84
BAY94
20 Dec 2024
MIL78
BAY79
05 Jan 2024
MIL76
BAY62
24 Mar 2023
MIL99
BAY74
29 Mar 2022
MIL84
BAY77
04 May 2021
MIL92
BAY89
22 Apr 2021
MIL80
BAY69
20 Apr 2021
MIL79
BAY78
21 Jan 2021
MIL75
BAY51
19 Dec 2018
MIL78
BAY80
03 Dec 2014
MIL83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
L
69-82
69
82
-13
63avg 77
A07/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 77
H10/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 77
A15/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 77
A17/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
84-61
84
61
+23
85avg 77
H20/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 77
H22/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
74-51
74
51
+23
75avg 77
H24/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
73avg 77
H28/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
L
64-72
64
72
-8
49avg 77
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 77
A02/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
19-19
18-22
7-21
21-23
27-21
19-21
15-15
29-19
22-21
17-19
22-27
17-18
22-21
17-18
18-13
22-21
24-15
21-12
17-13
24-22
17-19
15-18
12-17
16-11
16-11
22-25
20-4
20-12
26-19
14-17
16-19
18-15
14-18
16-19
16-20
19-18
16-22
15-23
24-16
147.9Avg total
75.5Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.877.3156.1+1.539%
Season at home (9)77.170.9148.0+6.256%
Season away (9)80.483.7164.1-3.222%
Last 10 (10)75.572.4147.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)71.269.0140.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.582.0151.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.576.2155.8+3.250%
vs Weaker (12)78.473.8152.2+4.650%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
65avg 76
A08/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 76
A10/12
German Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 76
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 76
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 76
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
77avg 76
H22/12
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
96-74
96
74
+22
90avg 76
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 76
H28/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#16
W
83-57
83
57
+26
84avg 76
H30/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
80avg 76
A03/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-24
21-17
15-13
25-23
22-19
25-24
25-15
14-20
23-19
14-23
20-21
16-25
25-17
18-28
23-18
29-17
20-17
30-24
21-18
15-12
14-17
17-29
29-21
20-24
28-13
18-19
28-22
22-20
16-16
22-23
22-23
25-22
24-7
17-19
17-11
25-20
24-22
22-20
23-23
14-20
162.1Avg total
83.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.881.7161.4-1.944%
Season at home (8)84.179.4163.5+4.875%
Season away (10)76.383.5159.8-7.220%
Last 10 (10)83.678.5162.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)85.478.2163.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.785.9158.6-13.10%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.780.1164.8+4.670%
vs Weaker (12)87.974.8162.8+13.183%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
Olimpia MilanoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H10/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A15/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A17/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H24/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A02/01
Euroleague
77.9Avg total
41.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.077.1+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.835.977.7+5.980%-
Last 30 away (15)38.338.176.5+0.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.577.9+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.470.6+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.541.583.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.938.279.1+2.856%-
vs Weaker (12)38.734.773.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A08/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A10/12
German Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/12
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A03/01
Euroleague
80.5Avg total
40.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.581.0+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.683.1+3.857%-
Last 30 away (16)39.939.379.2+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.780.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.077.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.742.376.0-8.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.141.484.5+1.760%-
vs Weaker (12)43.836.680.3+7.275%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.7
53.6%
53.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
36.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.411.3
78.5%
77.4%11.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.4
52.1%
53.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
36.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.012.7
79.4%
77.4%12.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWWLWWWWL
Bayern
LWWWLWWLWL
#12
League position
#15
+4.4
Net rating
+7.2
106.1
Offensive rating
114.9
101.7
Defensive rating
107.7
52.2%
Effective FG%
55.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.6%
3-point %
39.5%
62.6%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 114.9Defence101.7 · 107.7Shooting52.2% · 55.3%3-point %33.6% · 39.5%Ball care17.2% · 16.4%Off. rebounds25.3% · 31.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
05/12/23Bayern v Olimpia Milano91-84 OT
24/03/23Olimpia Milano v Bayern99-74
20/10/22Bayern v Olimpia Milano81-83
29/03/22Olimpia Milano v Bayern84-77
26/10/21Bayern v Olimpia Milano83-77
04/05/21Olimpia Milano v Bayern92-89
30/04/21Bayern v Olimpia Milano85-82
28/04/21Bayern v Olimpia Milano85-79
22/04/21Olimpia Milano v Bayern80-69
20/04/21Olimpia Milano v Bayern79-78
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/24AOlympiacos74-79
30/12/23ABrescia64-72
28/12/23HBaskonia76-67
24/12/23HCremona74-51
22/12/23HPanathinaikos68-76
20/12/23HLyon-Villeurbanne84-61
17/12/23AVarese74-70
15/12/23ABarcelona90-86
10/12/23HVirtus Bologna82-80
07/12/23APartizan69-82
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24AVirtus Bologna83-85
30/12/23HHeidelberg83-57
28/12/23HValencia85-84
26/12/23ATubingen96-74
22/12/23HMonaco80-91
20/12/23HAnadolu Efes86-71
17/12/23HUlm95-80
14/12/23AReal Madrid73-88
10/12/23ABonn86-78
08/12/23AOlympiacos69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL39%
HomeWLWLW56%
AwayWLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%56%22%
Points / game78.877.180.4
Allowed / game77.370.983.7
Point differential+1.5+6.2-3.2
Avg total156.1148.0164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %11%0%22%
Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game79.884.176.3
Allowed / game81.779.483.5
Point differential-1.9+4.8-7.2
Avg total161.4163.5159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %11%12%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1816289%86.975.0+11.9
2 Virtus Bologna1914574%82.679.8+2.7
3 Barcelona1812667%82.579.0+3.5
4 Olympiacos1911858%77.473.9+3.5
5 Fenerbahce1911858%83.281.1+2.2
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv1911858%86.287.7-1.5
7 Panathinaikos1810856%81.679.2+2.4
8 Valencia1810856%75.775.2+0.4
9 Baskonia1810856%81.782.1-0.4
10 Monaco1910953%80.979.7+1.2
11 Partizan1910953%84.784.0+0.7
12 Bayern1881044%79.881.7-1.9
13 Crvena zvezda1981142%81.479.9+1.5
14 Olimpia Milano1871139%78.877.3+1.5
15 Anadolu Efes1871139%81.687.4-5.8
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1961332%78.581.3-2.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1931616%79.187.4-8.3
18 Alba Berlin1931616%75.385.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1915162676
Bayern1215201562
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.