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Bayern vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 97-88
24-28 26-27 27-16 20-17
Position#14
Record0-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game87.0
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record0-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game92.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2· BMW Park
European cup2025
Meetings · Bayern v Crvena zvezda
03 Feb 2027
BAY v CZV
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
BAY97
CZV88
15 Apr 2025
BAY97
CZV93
06 Mar 2025
BAY100
CZV82
01 Mar 2024
BAY74
CZV66
02 Mar 2023
BAY87
CZV80
01 Apr 2022
BAY82
CZV57
06 Nov 2020
BAY74
CZV59
12 Nov 2015
BAY79
CZV90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
W
90-61
90
61
+29
87avg 81
A04/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
98-68
98
68
+30
99avg 81
H07/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
94-82 OT
94
82
+12
88avg 81
A10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 81
H15/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
53avg 81
A18/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 81
H21/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
67-53
67
53
+14
62avg 81
A24/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 81
H26/06
BBL
Jena
#16
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 81
H26/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 81
A30/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
20-17
28-12
25-16
24-15
21-25
24-16
29-12
14-28
22-13
22-21
21-17
19-19
18-17
17-16
28-14
22-21
15-14
7-21
20-23
20-17
22-20
20-22
17-22
19-13
13-19
17-12
18-9
28-21
20-20
17-20
16-16
21-23
27-24
22-15
23-15
22-23
19-24
20-21
18-19
155.8Avg total
82.7Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)82.773.1155.8+9.670%
Last 5 (5)79.875.0154.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.383.5166.8-0.355%
vs Weaker (17)87.175.2162.3+11.888%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
84avg 81
H10/05
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
95-90
95
90
+5
85avg 81
A15/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
70-104
70
104
-34
61avg 81
A26/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
100-81
100
81
+19
98avg 81
H29/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
72avg 81
A01/06
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
81-93
81
93
-12
61avg 81
H14/06
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
77-93
77
93
-16
51avg 81
A16/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
82-92
82
92
-10
75avg 81
H30/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
18-22
27-24
21-18
11-20
25-25
28-24
31-21
18-27
22-29
13-25
17-23
25-17
25-23
21-14
29-27
25-22
19-21
16-20
18-18
20-20
21-31
17-23
23-19
12-24
23-22
22-26
20-21
19-30
20-17
16-17
12-25
22-19
22-22
15-20
23-19
20-22
21-23
22-24
19-23
169.9Avg total
81.9Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.092.0174.0-10.00%
Season at home (1)82.092.0174.0-10.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.988.0169.9-6.140%
Last 5 (5)77.889.4167.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.888.0164.8-11.220%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.890.2175.0-5.317%
vs Weaker (13)89.176.5165.5+12.685%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
BayernCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A04/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H07/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H15/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H21/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A24/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/06
BBL
Jena
#16
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H26/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A30/09
Euroleague
79.2Avg total
40.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.183.5+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.940.883.6+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)42.041.483.4+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.979.2+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.883.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.046.582.5-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.943.985.8-2.045%-
vs Weaker (17)43.638.682.2+5.076%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/05
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A26/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A01/06
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H14/06
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H30/09
Euroleague
85.8Avg total
40.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.684.6+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.940.183.0+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)43.043.486.4-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)40.944.985.8-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.086.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.244.883.0-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.043.986.9-0.950%-
vs Weaker (13)44.738.383.0+6.477%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.816.1
55.9%
60.4%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.1
33.3%
35.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.616.2
78.6%
78.2%16.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.2
54.6%
60.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.0
37.6%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.315.5
72.8%
78.2%15.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLLWWWW
Crvena zvezda
LWLLLLWLWW
#14
League position
#9
+13.1
Net rating
-1.6
111.1
Offensive rating
112.9
98.1
Defensive rating
114.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
55.3%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
19.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
37.6%
68.0%
Assist %
69.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 112.9Defence98.1 · 114.5Shooting52.7% · 55.3%3-point %33.3% · 37.6%Ball care19.4% · 14.8%Off. rebounds33.7% · 27.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Bayern   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bayern wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
15/04/25Bayern v Crvena zvezda97-93 OT
06/03/25Bayern v Crvena zvezda100-82
29/11/24Crvena zvezda v Bayern101-77
01/03/24Bayern v Crvena zvezda74-66
02/11/23Crvena zvezda v Bayern74-68
02/03/23Bayern v Crvena zvezda87-80
28/10/22Crvena zvezda v Bayern78-72
01/04/22Bayern v Crvena zvezda82-57
17/12/21Crvena zvezda v Bayern81-78
02/03/21Crvena zvezda v Bayern76-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/25APanathinaikos79-87
26/09/25HJena93-77
26/06/25HUlm81-77
24/06/25AUlm67-53
21/06/25HUlm79-81
18/06/25AUlm64-79
15/06/25HUlm82-66
10/06/25AHeidelberg94-82 OT
07/06/25HHeidelberg98-68
04/06/25AHeidelberg90-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/25HOlimpia Milano82-92
25/09/25ADubai82-80
24/09/25HCSKA Moscow67-89
16/06/25ASpartak Subotica77-93
14/06/25HSpartak Subotica81-93
01/06/25ABuducnost78-81
29/05/25HBuducnost100-81
26/05/25ABuducnost70-104
15/05/25AIgokea95-90
10/05/25HIgokea87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game79.0-79.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game92.092.0-
Point differential-10.0-10.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce110100%96.077.0+19.0
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv110100%103.087.0+16.0
3 Dubai110100%89.076.0+13.0
4 Olimpia Milano110100%92.082.0+10.0
5 Panathinaikos110100%87.079.0+8.0
6 Anadolu Efes110100%85.078.0+7.0
7 Olympiacos110100%102.096.0+6.0
8 Virtus Bologna110100%74.068.0+6.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%89.084.0+5.0
10 Valencia110100%80.077.0+3.0
11 Lyon-Villeurbanne1010%77.080.0-3.0
12 Monaco1010%84.089.0-5.0
13 Baskonia1010%96.0102.0-6.0
14 Real Madrid1010%68.074.0-6.0
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv1010%78.085.0-7.0
16 Bayern1010%79.087.0-8.0
17 Crvena zvezda1010%82.092.0-10.0
18 Partizan1010%76.089.0-13.0
19 Barcelona1010%87.0103.0-16.0
20 Paris1010%77.096.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2426272097
Crvena zvezda2827161788
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