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Olimpia Milano vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 81-83
18-24 23-21 22-24 18-14
Position#2
Record19-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record9-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game86.4
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Varese
03 Jan 2027
MIL v VAR
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
MIL74
VAR84
02 Feb 2025
MIL119
VAR92
03 Mar 2024
MIL94
VAR63
26 Dec 2022
MIL96
VAR84
26 Mar 2022
MIL95
VAR77
05 Apr 2021
MIL81
VAR83
10 Sep 2020
MIL91
VAR77
03 Nov 2019
MIL93
VAR69
23 Dec 2018
MIL72
VAR67
08 Oct 2017
MIL74
VAR73
16 Oct 2016
MIL79
VAR71
11 Oct 2015
MIL90
VAR62
15 Mar 2015
MIL79
VAR69
20 Oct 2013
MIL84
VAR72
23 Dec 2012
MIL77
VAR83
09 Oct 2011
MIL89
VAR75
29 Dec 2010
MIL84
VAR80
31 Jan 2010
MIL74
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A05/03
Euroleague
Trento
#8
L
60-61
60
61
-1
48avg 78
A07/03
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
84-76
84
76
+8
81avg 78
A11/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
94avg 78
A14/03
Lega A
Barcelona
#2
L
56-72
56
72
-16
44avg 78
H19/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
70-57
70
57
+13
64avg 78
H21/03
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
69-86
69
86
-17
55avg 78
A26/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
63-69
63
69
-6
57avg 78
A28/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
93-72
93
72
+21
95avg 78
A30/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A01/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
15-19
16-13
19-19
14-14
14-16
18-19
14-12
30-10
17-24
23-21
14-21
24-13
23-27
28-25
24-27
12-15
17-23
15-17
12-17
26-14
12-14
15-12
17-17
16-10
16-23
13-27
24-26
16-13
18-24
16-17
13-15
22-12
25-24
28-15
18-21
26-15
20-14
13-20
11-21
148.1Avg total
74.6Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.374.0160.3+12.383%
Season at home (12)90.375.6165.9+14.883%
Season away (11)81.972.4154.3+9.582%
Last 10 (10)74.673.5148.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)75.674.0149.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)75.673.3148.9+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.076.3161.3+8.770%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
72avg 71
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
82-97
82
97
-15
73avg 71
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
65avg 71
H04/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
no box
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 71
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 71
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 71
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 71
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
80avg 71
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H28/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
27-26
17-17
19-37
24-27
18-21
24-23
16-26
24-24
11-19
24-20
17-11
21-18
27-31
19-15
20-23
16-24
20-24
22-24
25-26
26-19
12-20
8-22
21-18
21-19
8-20
19-29
28-17
18-22
23-17
21-17
27-18
26-18
14-10
21-21
20-19
21-13
20-23
21-14
26-20
169.3Avg total
83.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.586.4167.9-4.939%
Season at home (13)83.283.6166.8-0.554%
Season away (10)79.390.0169.3-10.720%
Last 10 (10)83.585.8169.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)80.275.2155.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.890.7172.5-8.831%
vs Similar (13)81.285.4166.6-4.238%
vs Weaker (4)82.581.2163.8+1.250%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
Olimpia MilanoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/03
Euroleague
Trento
#8
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A07/03
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A11/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A14/03
Lega A
Barcelona
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H21/03
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A28/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A30/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A01/04
Euroleague
71.9Avg total
38.2Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.835.578.3+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.135.480.5+9.875%-
Last 30 away (14)40.235.675.8+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)38.233.771.9+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.672.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)38.935.174.0+3.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.736.381.0+8.480%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H28/03
Lega A
82.0Avg total
39.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.884.0-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.542.282.7-1.738%-
Last 30 away (14)39.945.685.4-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.382.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.274.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.049.289.2-9.223%-
vs Similar (13)39.839.879.6-0.138%-
vs Weaker (4)42.239.081.2+3.250%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.3
47.0%
51.2%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.8
38.3%
35.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.213.5
83.3%
75.8%13.5
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.4
51.7%
51.2%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.3
36.1%
35.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
75.8%12.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLLWLWWLW
Varese
WWWLLLWWLL
#2
League position
#12
+0.3
Net rating
-4.0
104.7
Offensive rating
109.7
104.5
Defensive rating
113.7
51.0%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.3%
3-point %
36.1%
56.7%
Assist %
56.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 109.7Defence104.5 · 113.7Shooting51.0% · 52.9%3-point %38.3% · 36.1%Ball care17.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds24.4% · 27.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/21APanathinaikos83-86 OT
30/03/21ACrvena zvezda93-72
28/03/21AVenezia63-69
26/03/21ABaskonia69-86
21/03/21HCantu70-57
19/03/21HBarcelona56-72
14/03/21ABrescia99-92
11/03/21ACSKA Moscow84-76
07/03/21ATrento60-61
05/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas69-64
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/21HTrento88-70
14/03/21HPesaro81-68
06/03/21HSassari89-74
27/02/21AVirtus Bologna76-85
14/02/21HFortitudo Bologna67-79
10/02/21ABrescia83-98
07/02/21HCremona110-105 OT
04/02/21HBrindisi76-74
31/01/21ACantu82-97
27/01/21ATrieste83-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL83%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWLWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %83%83%82%
Points / game86.390.381.9
Allowed / game74.075.672.4
Point differential+12.3+14.8+9.5
Avg total160.3165.9154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW39%
HomeWLWWW54%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %39%54%20%
Points / game81.583.279.3
Allowed / game86.483.690.0
Point differential-4.9-0.5-10.7
Avg total167.9166.8169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %9%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2319483%86.374.0+12.3
2 Brindisi2318578%86.278.4+7.8
3 Virtus Bologna2417771%85.577.0+8.5
4 Sassari2215768%90.386.3+4.0
5 Venezia2415962%80.477.0+3.4
6 Treviso24131154%85.087.5-2.5
7 Trieste23111248%80.480.2+0.2
8 Pesaro24101442%81.783.1-1.4
9 Trento2391439%77.679.7-2.2
10 Varese2391439%81.586.4-4.9
11 Cremona2491538%85.686.9-1.3
12 Brescia2491538%81.084.3-3.3
13 Fortitudo Bologna2491538%78.081.8-3.8
14 Cantu2481633%78.683.5-5.0
15 Reggiana2481633%75.381.4-6.0
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1823221881
Varese2421241483
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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