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Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 94-51
21-20 27-16 22-7 24-8
Position#1
Record5-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game70.0
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Lusitania
Portugal
Position#12
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game86.9
PortugalLPBRound 9· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2023-24
Meetings · Benfica v Lusitania
02 Dec 2023
BEN94
LUSI51
06 May 2023
BEN107
LUSI74
01 Oct 2022
BEN111
LUSI85
26 Mar 2022
BEN131
LUSI72
05 Mar 2021
BEN93
LUSI89
29 Mar 2020
BEN v LUSI
upcoming
02 May 2019
BEN113
LUSI76
20 Oct 2018
BEN89
LUSI69
04 Feb 2018
BEN97
LUSI100
18 Feb 2017
BEN100
LUSI65
24 Apr 2016
BEN92
LUSI64
23 Apr 2016
BEN96
LUSI61
30 Jan 2016
BEN83
LUSI65
28 Feb 2015
BEN97
LUSI87
03 Nov 2013
BEN109
LUSI75
21 Apr 2013
BEN92
LUSI64
20 Apr 2013
BEN102
LUSI74
17 Nov 2012
BEN84
LUSI57
29 Apr 2012
BEN98
LUSI70
28 Apr 2012
BEN76
LUSI78
07 Apr 2012
BEN101
LUSI73
06 Nov 2010
BEN73
LUSI61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
L
71-78
71
78
-7
66avg 79
H13/10
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
50avg 79
A21/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
103-58
103
58
+45
101avg 79
H28/10
LPB
PAOK
#32
W
94-72
94
72
+22
93avg 79
H01/11
Champions League
Galomar
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 79
A04/11
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
66-84
66
84
-18
55avg 79
H08/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
78-98
78
98
-20
71avg 79
A14/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#5
W
84-52
84
52
+32
80avg 79
H18/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
no box
A25/11
LPB
PAOK
#32
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 79
A29/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
14-18
13-20
20-19
14-20
10-16
16-14
22-29
23-15
31-16
18-7
31-20
17-15
23-26
28-19
26-12
17-8
20-15
24-30
17-17
24-17
15-29
15-18
12-20
20-11
19-31
19-27
20-29
23-17
19-9
29-3
13-23
16-14
21-22
17-30
26-14
22-14
15-25
15-16
22-21
155.6Avg total
79.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.170.0158.1+18.162%
Season at home (5)95.464.0159.4+31.480%
Season away (3)76.080.0156.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)79.875.8155.6+4.040%
Last 5 (5)78.080.2158.2-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.080.0176.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (5)74.681.4156.0-6.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)92.769.4162.1+23.477%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
no box
H14/05
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
-2avg 58
H23/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
80-94
80
94
-14
71avg 58
A30/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 58
H07/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
62avg 58
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
83-107
83
107
-24
75avg 58
A21/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
70-75
70
75
-5
58avg 58
A28/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
73-100
73
100
-27
58avg 58
H04/11
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
70-101
70
101
-31
59avg 58
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
57avg 58
A18/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
27-15
21-28
7-23
17-20
16-14
15-27
18-19
17-28
14-23
24-23
25-20
22-18
21-18
12-28
27-21
20-22
22-21
15-28
25-19
23-23
20-27
24-25
16-32
18-17
24-20
12-15
16-23
27-22
20-29
14-23
12-26
21-29
17-30
15-28
17-14
19-19
16-16
15-9
14-23
163.5Avg total
74.3Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.086.9160.9-12.90%
Season at home (3)73.788.3162.0-14.70%
Season away (4)74.285.8160.0-11.50%
Last 10 (10)74.389.2163.5-14.90%
Last 5 (5)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.288.1163.3-13.017%
vs Similar (5)78.675.6154.2+3.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -4.3-4.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -4.3-4.3
BenficaLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/10
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A21/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H28/10
LPB
PAOK
#32
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/11
Champions League
Galomar
#10
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A04/11
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#5
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H18/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/11
LPB
PAOK
#32
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A29/11
Champions League
74.6Avg total
38.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.836.281.1+8.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.836.982.7+8.971%-
Last 30 away (13)43.535.478.9+8.269%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.974.6+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.876.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (5)38.841.480.2-2.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.335.080.3+10.377%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H14/05
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A30/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A21/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H04/11
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A18/11
LPB
83.7Avg total
39.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.880.6-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.141.882.8-0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)36.241.878.0-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.883.7-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.046.487.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.043.481.4-5.433%-
vs Similar (5)38.235.874.0+2.440%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.5
47.4%
51.0%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.2
33.8%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws25.117.2
68.5%
69.3%17.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.7
49.6%
51.0%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.9
29.7%
33.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.3
74.1%
69.3%13.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
LLWLLWWWLL
Lusitania
LLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#12
+6.2
Net rating
-19.5
104.8
Offensive rating
92.5
98.6
Defensive rating
112.0
48.9%
Effective FG%
47.7%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
17.6%
Turnover %
21.8%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.8%
3-point %
29.7%
65.8%
Assist %
54.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 92.5Defence98.6 · 112.0Shooting48.9% · 47.7%3-point %33.8% · 29.7%Ball care17.6% · 21.8%Off. rebounds30.9% · 23.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Benfica   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Benfica wins
0
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
06/05/23Benfica v Lusitania107-74
26/03/23Lusitania v Benfica75-91
17/12/22Lusitania v Benfica77-87
01/10/22Benfica v Lusitania111-85
26/03/22Benfica v Lusitania131-72
11/12/21Lusitania v Benfica58-76
05/03/21Benfica v Lusitania93-89
14/11/20Lusitania v Benfica69-82
14/12/19Lusitania v Benfica60-103
02/05/19Benfica v Lusitania113-76
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23APAOK74-76
25/11/23ASporting CP88-91 OT
18/11/23HOvarense84-52
14/11/23AGalatasaray78-98
08/11/23HHapoel Jerusalem66-84
04/11/23AGalomar78-70
01/11/23HPAOK94-72
28/10/23HImortal103-58
21/10/23AFC Porto62-79
13/10/23HOliveirense71-78
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23APortimonense64-67
11/11/23HFC Porto70-101
04/11/23HCD Povoa73-100
28/10/23AVitoria70-75
21/10/23ASporting CP83-107
14/10/23AVitoria82-90
07/10/23HOvarense82-85
30/09/23AGalomar80-94
23/09/23HImortal66-80
14/05/23HSporting CP73-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game88.195.476.0
Allowed / game70.064.080.0
Point differential+18.1+31.4-4.0
Avg total158.1159.4156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%33%
Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.073.774.2
Allowed / game86.988.385.8
Point differential-12.9-14.7-11.5
Avg total160.9162.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto770100%89.071.3+17.7
2 Sporting CP98189%95.281.3+13.9
3 Oliveirense76186%82.172.3+9.9
4 Benfica85362%88.170.0+18.1
5 Portimonense85362%72.974.6-1.8
6 CD Povoa94544%83.386.3-3.0
7 Vitoria94544%77.481.6-4.1
8 Ovarense94544%74.879.2-4.4
9 Galomar93633%76.978.9-2.0
10 Imortal93633%71.280.9-9.7
11 Esgueira91811%71.688.2-16.7
12 Lusitania7070%74.086.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica2127222494
Lusitania20167851
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