Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2009

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 88-81

17-17 23-20 16-17 32-27

Position#9

Record9-13

FormLLWLW

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game77.9

Bilbao 🏆

Real Madrid

Position#4

Record16-5

FormWWWLW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game80.0

ACBRound 24

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Bilbao v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#12

99-65

+34

H18/01

ACB

Vive Menorca

#16

68-64

A22/01

ACB

Manresa

#10

97-93

H25/01

ACB

Artland

#34

71-62

H27/01

Eurocup

Unicaja

73-84

-11

A01/02

ACB

Rytas

71-73

-2

A03/02

Eurocup

CB Granada

#11

69-70

-1

H08/02

ACB

Spirou Charleroi

79-59

+20

A10/02

Eurocup

Gipuzkoa

#13

73-87

-14

A15/02

ACB

Spirou Charleroi

82-78 OT

H24/02

Eurocup

25-13

21-18

26-11

27-23

16-17

19-18

16-9

17-20

24-27

25-17

31-27

17-22

22-12

18-19

10-14

21-17

7-14

21-20

24-30

21-19

12-20

22-13

16-21

23-23

22-16

9-13

15-18

20-15

10-15

26-22

23-7

23-20

12-30

15-16

23-21

18-23

25-18

17-22

14-11

151.7Avg total

78.2Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	76.4	77.9	154.3	-1.5	41%
Season at home (11)	78.5	74.9	153.4	+3.5	55%
Season away (11)	74.3	80.9	155.2	-6.6	27%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	73.5	151.7	+4.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	73.4	148.2	+1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	74.3	86.5	160.8	-12.2	0%
vs Similar (13)	77.9	77.6	155.5	+0.3	38%
vs Weaker (11)	77.7	66.9	144.6	+10.8	100%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

90-78

+12

H18/01

ACB

CB Granada

#11

82-76

A22/01

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#13

110-100 OT

110

100

+10

H25/01

ACB

Barcelona

85-83

H28/01

Euroleague

Alba Berlin

#19

87-84

A05/02

Euroleague

Real Betis

#14

95-92 OT

A08/02

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

98-79

+19

H12/02

Euroleague

Baskonia

81-79

H14/02

ACB

Barcelona

75-83

-8

H19/02

Spanish Cup

Maccabi Tel Aviv

73-69

A26/02

Euroleague

20-22

19-24

33-16

18-16

22-22

18-22

17-14

25-18

21-26

30-35

28-12

11-17

19-26

21-19

19-19

26-19

20-24

17-28

28-19

22-13

14-22

18-13

17-14

22-22

18-20

24-16

28-25

28-18

12-25

20-22

21-22

28-10

19-23

19-21

21-20

16-19

26-17

20-18

10-16

17-18

169.9Avg total

87.6Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	85.2	80.0	165.2	+5.3	76%
Season at home (11)	90.1	79.9	170.0	+10.2	91%
Season away (10)	79.9	80.0	159.9	-0.1	60%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	82.3	169.9	+5.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	80.4	164.8	+4.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	77.1	79.1	156.3	-2.0	57%
vs Similar (4)	86.2	74.0	160.2	+12.2	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	81.9	74.9	156.8	+7.1	83%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.4	61%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	21.4	18.1	39.6	+3.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.7	17.1	35.8	+1.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	7.0	14.0	21.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.1	15.8	35.9	+4.4	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	35%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.7	18.7	38.3	+1.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.7	41.8	-3.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.6	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.3	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.3	17.4	36.8	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (9)	16.9	20.3	37.2	-3.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	19.8	36.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.5	17.6	35.1	-0.1	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	19.1	19.5	38.5	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.1	45%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	40%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.4	33%	-

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#12

46-31

+15

H18/01

ACB

Vive Menorca

#16

35-35

A22/01

ACB

Manresa

#10

49-44

H25/01

ACB

Artland

#34

40-31

H27/01

Eurocup

Unicaja

28-34

-6

A01/02

ACB

Rytas

33-39

-6

A03/02

Eurocup

CB Granada

#11

45-39

H08/02

ACB

Spirou Charleroi

30-30

A10/02

Eurocup

Gipuzkoa

#13

35-50

-15

A15/02

ACB

Spirou Charleroi

43-41

H24/02

Eurocup

75.8Avg total

38.4Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	38.2	36.5	74.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	40.8	35.6	76.3	+5.2	78%	-
Last 30 away (9)	35.6	37.4	73.0	-1.9	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	37.4	75.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.8	77.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	28.0	34.0	62.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.8	39.6	79.3	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	37.6	33.4	71.0	+4.2	62%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

39-46

-7

H18/01

ACB

CB Granada

#11

40-44

-4

A22/01

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#13

51-61

-10

H25/01

ACB

Barcelona

40-45

-5

H28/01

Euroleague

Alba Berlin

#19

37-52

-15

A05/02

Euroleague

Real Betis

#14

32-35

-3

A08/02

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

42-36

H12/02

Euroleague

Baskonia

32-47

-15

H14/02

ACB

Barcelona

38-44

-6

H19/02

Spanish Cup

Maccabi Tel Aviv

46-35

+11

A26/02

Euroleague

84.2Avg total

39.7Scored

44.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	38.0	38.7	76.8	-0.7	45%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.0	38.1	76.1	-0.1	45%	-
Last 30 away (9)	38.1	39.4	77.6	-1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	44.5	84.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	39.4	77.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.4	41.0	77.4	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar (2)	44.0	35.5	79.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	37.8	37.8	75.6	-0.1	50%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.9	17.1	37.0	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.8	17.6	37.3	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.0	16.7	36.7	+3.3	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	16.7	36.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.9	17.3	38.2	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.6	16.5	35.1	+2.1	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.8	18.6	40.5	+3.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.2	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	17.7	39.9	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	20%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.6	17.3	38.9	+4.2	92%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.7	18.8	38.4	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.2	19.3	40.6	+1.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.6	33.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	24.0	30.0	54.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	19.4	38.8	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.2	17.2	38.5	+4.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.6	45%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.7	16.7	36.3	+3.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.0	38.3	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.2	15.6	37.8	+6.6	80%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	42%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	40.3	36.2	76.5	+4.2	61%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	39.4	36.3	75.8	+3.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (9)	41.2	36.0	77.2	+5.2	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	35.7	74.7	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	32.8	68.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	45.0	50.0	95.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.2	36.8	77.0	+3.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.9	33.8	73.6	+6.1	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	40.9	35.9	76.7	+5.0	75%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	42.1	37.3	79.4	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (9)	39.3	34.1	73.4	+5.2	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	34.7	78.2	+8.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	36.8	78.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.0	34.2	76.2	+7.8	80%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.5	38.5	80.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	40.6	35.8	76.4	+4.8	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
16/11/08	Real Madrid v Bilbao	84-74

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/02/09	H	Spirou Charleroi	82-78 OT
15/02/09	A	Gipuzkoa	73-87
10/02/09	A	Spirou Charleroi	79-59
08/02/09	H	CB Granada	69-70
03/02/09	A	Rytas	71-73
01/02/09	A	Unicaja	73-84
27/01/09	H	Artland	71-62
25/01/09	H	Manresa	97-93
22/01/09	A	Vive Menorca	68-64
18/01/09	H	Estudiantes	99-65

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/02/09	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	73-69
19/02/09	H	Barcelona	75-83
14/02/09	H	Baskonia	81-79
12/02/09	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	98-79
08/02/09	A	Real Betis	95-92 OT
05/02/09	A	Alba Berlin	87-84
28/01/09	H	Barcelona	85-83
25/01/09	H	Gipuzkoa	110-100 OT
22/01/09	A	CB Granada	82-76
18/01/09	H	Unicaja	90-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

ACB 2008-09

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	41%
Home	LLWWL	55%
Away	LLWLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	41%	55%	27%
Points / game	76.4	78.5	74.3
Allowed / game	77.9	74.9	80.9
Point differential	-1.5	+3.5	-6.6
Avg total	154.3	153.4	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	27%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2008-09

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	76%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	WLWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	76%	91%	60%
Points / game	85.2	90.1	79.9
Allowed / game	80.0	79.9	80.0
Point differential	+5.3	+10.2	-0.1
Avg total	165.2	170.0	159.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	64%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	14%	18%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Baskonia	22	20	2	91%	88.9	75.2	+13.7
2	Barcelona	22	18	4	82%	78.7	69.3	+9.5
3	Real Madrid	21	16	5	76%	85.2	80.0	+5.3
4	Joventut Badalona	22	16	6	73%	82.7	78.5	+4.2
5	Unicaja	22	15	7	68%	82.0	73.0	+8.9
6	Gran Canaria	21	14	7	67%	81.2	78.5	+2.8
7	Valencia	22	12	10	55%	75.7	74.5	+1.1
8	Manresa	22	11	11	50%	72.6	74.8	-2.2
9	Fuenlabrada	21	10	11	48%	83.4	81.0	+2.4
10	Bilbao	22	9	13	41%	76.4	77.9	-1.5
11	CB Granada	22	9	13	41%	75.0	78.2	-3.2
12	Gipuzkoa	21	7	14	33%	77.0	82.1	-5.1
13	Estudiantes	22	7	15	32%	77.7	81.1	-3.4
14	Murcia	22	6	16	27%	72.4	83.5	-11.1
15	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	21	5	16	24%	77.0	84.6	-7.6
16	Vive Menorca	22	5	17	23%	70.8	76.7	-5.9
17	Real Betis	21	4	17	19%	73.7	82.0	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bilbao	17	23	16	32	88
Real Madrid	17	20	17	27	81

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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