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Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 20:15
Final 83-85
12-23 17-21 31-14 23-27
Position#17
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Position#1
Record8-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game72.4
SpainACBRound 6
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Bilbao v Real Madrid
02 May 2027
BIL v MAD
upcoming
14 May 2026
BIL88
MAD82
13 Oct 2024
BIL83
MAD79
12 Nov 2023
BIL84
MAD87
27 Dec 2022
BIL80
MAD85
13 Apr 2022
BIL79
MAD67
04 Nov 2020
BIL83
MAD85
05 Oct 2017
BIL80
MAD87
11 Dec 2016
BIL77
MAD85
29 Nov 2015
BIL92
MAD99
14 Dec 2014
BIL89
MAD79
23 Mar 2014
BIL73
MAD87
03 Feb 2013
BIL74
MAD94
08 Feb 2012
BIL93
MAD69
13 Oct 2011
BIL86
MAD82
02 Jun 2011
BIL80
MAD72
31 May 2011
BIL68
MAD51
16 Oct 2010
BIL73
MAD75
31 Oct 2009
BIL70
MAD96
28 Feb 2009
BIL88
MAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Palencia
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
A17/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
no box
A19/05
Primera FEB
Real Madrid
#1
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
A13/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
no box
A19/09
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
70-81
70
81
-11
61avg 69
H23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
64-82
64
82
-18
52avg 69
A27/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 69
H03/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
74avg 69
A11/10
ACB
Karsiyaka
#10
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 69
H27/10
Champions League
Manresa
#11
L
78-94
78
94
-16
68avg 69
A31/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
24-20
13-16
28-24
19-18
13-22
12-10
13-11
21-23
26-27
16-23
20-20
19-25
24-28
34-30
21-15
17-22
8-16
16-18
29-25
17-18
16-21
17-26
14-17
19-22
28-12
22-26
30-21
18-33
23-19
23-16
17-20
19-21
27-21
17-20
9-19
15-27
18-18
24-25
21-24
164.2Avg total
79.3Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.388.8171.2-6.517%
Season at home (2)84.581.0165.5+3.550%
Season away (4)81.292.8174.0-11.50%
Last 10 (10)79.384.9164.2-5.620%
Last 5 (5)78.885.2164.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)71.883.0154.8-11.20%
vs Similar (7)79.782.4162.1-2.729%
vs Weaker (18)79.169.4148.5+9.772%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
L
77-93
77
93
-16
72avg 81
H08/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
90-65
90
65
+25
89avg 81
A11/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 81
H14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
68avg 81
A16/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H20/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
60avg 81
A23/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
93-77
93
77
+16
90avg 81
H25/10
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
84-65
84
65
+19
78avg 81
A27/10
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
100-82
100
82
+18
95avg 81
H29/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 81
A01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
20-27
14-24
24-25
18-12
26-22
20-11
26-20
25-25
24-16
21-16
24-28
19-10
23-21
13-23
15-24
23-25
17-19
21-10
23-23
14-18
13-30
25-16
20-15
18-23
26-11
25-10
24-33
19-17
12-14
26-18
27-16
27-17
22-28
21-16
30-21
28-6
22-19
20-30
16-23
162.9Avg total
85.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.072.4161.4+16.6100%
Season at home (3)93.079.0172.0+14.0100%
Season away (5)86.668.4155.0+18.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.077.9162.9+7.170%
Last 5 (5)87.076.2163.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Similar (6)82.383.2165.5-0.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.174.7163.9+14.4100%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
BilbaoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A17/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/05
Primera FEB
Real Madrid
#1
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A13/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A19/09
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A27/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H03/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A11/10
ACB
Karsiyaka
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H27/10
Champions League
Manresa
#11
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A31/10
ACB
82.7Avg total
39.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.078.6+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.238.179.4+3.171%-
Last 30 away (16)38.339.778.0-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.482.7-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.482.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.242.879.0-6.525%-
vs Similar (7)37.143.480.6-6.329%-
vs Weaker (18)41.035.876.8+5.272%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A16/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H20/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A23/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H25/10
ACB
Real Betis
#16
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/10
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H29/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A01/11
ACB
79.2Avg total
41.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.978.4+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.938.381.1+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)40.435.676.1+4.862%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.779.2+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.676.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.048.075.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (6)40.339.379.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.934.976.8+7.071%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.5
51.1%
53.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.3
33.7%
36.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.7
74.5%
76.6%13.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.1
54.4%
53.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.9
40.1%
36.5%35.7
🏀 Free throws15.512.5
80.6%
76.6%12.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LLLWLLLLLW
Real Madrid
WWWWLWLWWL
#17
League position
#1
-8.7
Net rating
+10.3
105.0
Offensive rating
115.3
113.7
Defensive rating
105.1
50.9%
Effective FG%
57.1%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.7%
3-point %
40.1%
53.0%
Assist %
61.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 115.3Defence113.7 · 105.1Shooting50.9% · 57.1%3-point %33.7% · 40.1%Ball care18.2% · 16.4%Off. rebounds31.0% · 27.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Bilbao   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bilbao wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
13/02/20Real Madrid v Bilbao93-83
28/01/18Real Madrid v Bilbao95-65
05/10/17Bilbao v Real Madrid80-87
26/03/17Real Madrid v Bilbao104-76
11/12/16Bilbao v Real Madrid77-85
10/04/16Real Madrid v Bilbao102-80
29/11/15Bilbao v Real Madrid92-99
26/04/15Real Madrid v Bilbao78-52
14/12/14Bilbao v Real Madrid89-79
23/03/14Bilbao v Real Madrid73-87
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/20AManresa78-94
27/10/20HKarsiyaka72-81
11/10/20AJoventut Badalona81-88
03/10/20HObradoiro CAB99-81
27/09/20ABarcelona64-82
23/09/20HTenerife70-81
19/09/20AGran Canaria102-107 OT
13/02/20AReal Madrid83-93
19/05/19APalencia57-61
17/05/19APalencia87-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/20AValencia86-78
29/10/20HBayern100-82
27/10/20AReal Betis84-65
25/10/20HEstudiantes93-77
23/10/20ABarcelona72-79
20/10/20HObradoiro CAB84-77
16/10/20AOlimpia Milano70-78
14/10/20HKhimki M.94-85
11/10/20AGran Canaria90-65
08/10/20HValencia77-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game82.384.581.2
Allowed / game88.881.092.8
Point differential-6.5+3.5-11.5
Avg total171.2165.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
Real Madrid
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.093.086.6
Allowed / game72.479.068.4
Point differential+16.6+14.0+18.2
Avg total161.4172.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%89.072.4+16.6
2 Tenerife76186%84.781.0+3.7
3 Barcelona86275%80.573.0+7.5
4 Baskonia96367%82.377.4+4.9
5 Joventut Badalona96367%82.979.6+3.3
6 San Pablo Burgos74357%88.483.9+4.6
7 Murcia74357%80.180.9-0.7
8 Unicaja95456%79.877.7+2.1
9 Obradoiro CAB95456%83.281.3+1.9
10 Manresa95456%83.283.0+0.2
11 Valencia84450%80.879.9+0.9
12 Estudiantes94544%81.383.0-1.7
13 MoraBanc Andorra73443%78.979.3-0.4
14 Fuenlabrada83538%89.487.4+2.0
15 Real Betis82625%75.580.5-5.0
16 Basket Zaragoza82625%81.988.1-6.2
17 Bilbao61517%82.388.8-6.5
18 Gran Canaria81712%74.688.8-14.1
19 Gipuzkoa81712%68.583.6-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1217312383
Real Madrid2321142785
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