Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 92-99

23-17 23-31 19-17 27-34

Position#9

Record4-3

FormWLWWW

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game80.7

Bilbao

Real Madrid 🏆

Position#1

Record6-1

FormLWLWL

Points / game91.6

Allowed / game75.7

ACBRound 8

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Bilbao v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#18

75-63

+12

A25/10

ACB

Oldenburg

#25

94-60

+34

A27/10

Eurocup

Unicaja

88-70

+18

H01/11

ACB

Petrol Olimpija

#32

80-83

-3

H04/11

Eurocup

Murcia

68-96

-28

A08/11

ACB

Trento

80-75

A11/11

Eurocup

Valencia

104-111 OT

104

111

-7

H15/11

ACB

Nanterre

#29

83-52

+31

A17/11

Eurocup

Real Betis

#11

81-71

+10

A22/11

ACB

Bonn

#41

95-80

+15

H25/11

Eurocup

18-14

28-13

13-17

16-19

27-16

18-13

26-19

23-12

24-13

22-17

26-20

16-20

22-18

19-27

18-16

21-22

19-22

26-21

14-28

9-25

19-21

27-15

18-16

16-23

23-23

18-16

15-18

29-28

20-9

24-20

21-13

18-10

31-15

16-26

15-18

19-12

19-17

27-17

23-23

26-23

160.9Avg total

84.8Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	79.1	80.7	159.9	-1.6	57%
Season at home (3)	83.7	88.7	172.3	-5.0	33%
Season away (4)	75.8	74.8	150.5	+1.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	76.1	160.9	+8.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	77.8	166.4	+10.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	75.2	84.8	160.0	-9.6	20%
vs Similar (16)	78.9	81.9	160.8	-2.9	44%
vs Weaker (9)	84.7	70.7	155.3	+14.0	78%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tenerife

#10

112-89

112

+23

H25/10

ACB

Fenerbahce

66-77

-11

A30/10

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#12

88-80

A01/11

ACB

Bayern

#14

101-99

101

H05/11

Euroleague

Estudiantes

#17

80-75

A08/11

ACB

Strasbourg

#20

86-93

-7

A13/11

Euroleague

Manresa

#16

106-68

106

+38

H15/11

ACB

Khimki M.

#10

82-85

-3

H18/11

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#13

79-69

+10

A22/11

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#13

88-94

-6

A27/11

Euroleague

26-18

28-22

29-23

29-26

18-20

14-19

24-24

10-14

17-17

23-23

24-16

24-24

33-20

18-31

22-30

28-18

15-19

25-14

19-18

21-24

25-24

19-27

23-15

29-15

22-17

28-20

27-16

22-24

20-20

21-22

19-19

19-12

17-12

25-20

18-25

18-28

25-18

24-20

21-28

171.7Avg total

88.8Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	91.6	75.7	167.3	+15.9	86%
Season at home (3)	100.0	81.7	181.7	+18.3	67%
Season away (4)	85.2	71.2	156.5	+14.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	88.8	82.9	171.7	+5.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	81.8	170.0	+6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	66.0	77.0	143.0	-11.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	87.6	84.9	172.4	+2.7	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	90.5	80.9	171.4	+9.6	74%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	16.8	39.0	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.0	39.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	31%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.2	16.4	38.7	+5.8	89%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	17.9	42.3	+6.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.1	17.3	38.4	+3.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.8	42.3	+2.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.7	40.9	+1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.1	18.8	40.9	+3.3	58%	-

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#18

46-27

+19

A25/10

ACB

Oldenburg

#25

45-29

+16

A27/10

Eurocup

Unicaja

46-30

+16

H01/11

ACB

Petrol Olimpija

#32

41-45

-4

H04/11

Eurocup

Murcia

45-43

A08/11

ACB

Trento

46-36

+10

A11/11

Eurocup

Valencia

41-39

H15/11

ACB

Nanterre

#29

44-29

+15

A17/11

Eurocup

Real Betis

#11

47-41

A22/11

ACB

Bonn

#41

46-34

+12

H25/11

Eurocup

80.0Avg total

44.7Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	38.4	77.9	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	39.4	78.6	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.7	37.6	77.2	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	35.3	80.0	+9.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	35.8	80.6	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	35.8	40.0	75.8	-4.2	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.4	40.6	78.9	-2.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.3	33.8	77.1	+9.6	78%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tenerife

#10

54-40

+14

H25/10

ACB

Fenerbahce

32-39

-7

A30/10

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#12

40-40

A01/11

ACB

Bayern

#14

51-51

H05/11

Euroleague

Estudiantes

#17

40-33

A08/11

ACB

Strasbourg

#20

44-51

-7

A13/11

Euroleague

Manresa

#16

51-32

+19

H15/11

ACB

Khimki M.

#10

42-44

-2

H18/11

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#13

36-24

+12

A22/11

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#13

43-46

-3

A27/11

Euroleague

83.3Avg total

43.3Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	38.9	82.6	+4.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.8	37.7	84.5	+9.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	40.1	80.6	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	40.0	83.3	+3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	39.4	82.6	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	32.0	39.0	71.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	44.8	39.9	84.7	+4.9	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	44.1	38.1	82.2	+6.1	68%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	18.8	37.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.4	43.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.9	43.3	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	22.0	45.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	24.0	48.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	22.6	43.4	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	18.8	36.1	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.8	19.7	40.4	+1.1	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.7	44.0	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	21.7	44.2	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.9	42.9	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	10.0	14.0	24.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	39.0	78.1	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.8	40.6	83.4	+2.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.0	37.5	73.5	-1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	38.2	76.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	36.8	76.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	35.6	39.6	75.2	-4.0	60%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.1	39.9	79.0	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.3	36.9	78.2	+4.4	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	43.1	87.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	42.6	87.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.6	43.6	87.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	42.9	88.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	42.4	87.4	+2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	38.0	72.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.8	45.0	87.8	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	45.6	42.2	87.8	+3.4	63%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
26/04/15	Real Madrid v Bilbao	78-52
14/12/14	Bilbao v Real Madrid	89-79
23/03/14	Bilbao v Real Madrid	73-87
03/11/13	Real Madrid v Bilbao	92-75
04/10/13	Real Madrid v Bilbao	100-61
03/02/13	Bilbao v Real Madrid	74-94
11/11/12	Real Madrid v Bilbao	98-84
08/02/12	Bilbao v Real Madrid	93-69
05/02/12	Real Madrid v Bilbao	90-93
01/02/12	Real Madrid v Bilbao	89-73

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/15	H	Bonn	95-80
22/11/15	A	Real Betis	81-71
17/11/15	A	Nanterre	83-52
15/11/15	H	Valencia	104-111 OT
11/11/15	A	Trento	80-75
08/11/15	A	Murcia	68-96
04/11/15	H	Petrol Olimpija	80-83
01/11/15	H	Unicaja	88-70
27/10/15	A	Oldenburg	94-60
25/10/15	A	Gipuzkoa	75-63

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/15	A	Crvena zvezda	88-94
22/11/15	A	Joventut Badalona	79-69
18/11/15	H	Khimki M.	82-85
15/11/15	H	Manresa	106-68
13/11/15	A	Strasbourg	86-93
08/11/15	A	Estudiantes	80-75
05/11/15	H	Bayern	101-99
01/11/15	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	88-80
30/10/15	A	Fenerbahce	66-77
25/10/15	H	Tenerife	112-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	57%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	57%	33%	75%
Points / game	79.1	83.7	75.8
Allowed / game	80.7	88.7	74.8
Point differential	-1.6	-5.0	+1.0
Avg total	159.9	172.3	150.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	33%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	14%	33%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	86%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	86%	67%	100%
Points / game	91.6	100.0	85.2
Allowed / game	75.7	81.7	71.2
Point differential	+15.9	+18.3	+14.0
Avg total	167.3	181.7	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valencia	7	7	0	100%	87.0	75.3	+11.7
2	Barcelona	8	7	1	88%	83.9	68.0	+15.9
3	Baskonia	8	7	1	88%	82.9	70.4	+12.5
4	Real Madrid	7	6	1	86%	91.6	75.7	+15.9
5	Gran Canaria	7	5	2	71%	81.0	67.1	+13.9
6	Obradoiro CAB	8	5	3	62%	74.4	70.4	+4.0
7	Joventut Badalona	8	5	3	62%	77.6	77.0	+0.6
8	Bilbao	7	4	3	57%	79.1	80.7	-1.6
9	Unicaja	8	4	4	50%	76.8	73.6	+3.1
10	Manresa	8	4	4	50%	72.6	79.0	-6.4
11	Fuenlabrada	8	3	5	38%	74.0	76.4	-2.4
12	Murcia	8	3	5	38%	74.2	77.2	-3.0
13	MoraBanc Andorra	8	3	5	38%	74.8	79.0	-4.2
14	Real Betis	8	3	5	38%	73.1	82.9	-9.8
15	Tenerife	8	2	6	25%	77.1	82.1	-5.0
16	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	8	1	7	12%	74.4	81.2	-6.9
17	Estudiantes	8	1	7	12%	70.1	81.5	-11.4
18	Gipuzkoa	8	0	8	0%	64.8	86.8	-22.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bilbao	23	23	19	27	92
Real Madrid	17	31	17	34	99

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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