Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 11:40

Final 73-87

19-15 16-23 23-25 15-24

Position#13

Record9-14

FormWWLLL

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game78.3

Bilbao

Real Madrid 🏆

Position#1

Record23-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game88.7

Allowed / game70.0

ACBRound 24

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Bilbao v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#12

81-89

-8

A26/01

ACB

Nizhny Novgorod

65-81

-16

A29/01

Eurocup

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

72-88

-16

A02/02

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#13

81-85

-4

H12/02

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#15

95-73

+22

H16/02

ACB

Panionios

#40

88-84

A19/02

Eurocup

Gipuzkoa

#10

78-68

+10

H23/02

ACB

Estudiantes

#14

80-86

-6

A02/03

ACB

Real Betis

79-82

-3

H08/03

ACB

Gran Canaria

70-77

-7

A16/03

ACB

16-26

18-20

28-25

19-18

11-18

15-25

22-25

17-13

4-17

27-20

21-26

20-25

17-25

20-12

20-23

24-25

19-21

28-15

24-25

24-12

22-14

24-25

22-18

20-27

24-14

19-20

25-18

10-16

18-19

23-13

13-29

26-25

23-30

24-9

23-18

9-25

22-18

21-28

18-19

9-12

160.2Avg total

78.9Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	78.3	78.3	156.7	+0.0	39%
Season at home (11)	80.9	78.1	159.0	+2.8	55%
Season away (12)	76.0	78.6	154.6	-2.6	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	81.3	160.2	-2.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	79.4	158.4	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	74.5	76.8	151.2	-2.2	25%
vs Similar (18)	80.7	81.3	162.0	-0.6	39%
vs Weaker (8)	84.5	75.1	159.6	+9.4	62%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

90-74

+16

A15/02

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#23

108-72

108

+36

H21/02

Euroleague

Manresa

#17

92-69

+23

A23/02

ACB

Partizan

#24

80-57

+23

H28/02

Euroleague

Tenerife

#11

87-76

+11

H02/03

ACB

Galatasaray

#13

85-74

+11

A07/03

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#12

83-68

+15

A09/03

ACB

Bayern

#17

83-85

-2

A13/03

Euroleague

Murcia

#16

102-65

102

+37

H15/03

ACB

CSKA Moscow

93-79

+14

H20/03

Euroleague

26-21

16-16

26-13

22-24

34-21

26-16

32-13

16-22

25-10

17-18

28-17

22-24

22-17

24-10

15-13

19-17

21-16

20-24

13-19

33-17

20-16

23-22

18-14

24-22

14-17

19-12

26-16

24-23

19-20

23-14

18-22

23-29

32-25

18-12

24-11

28-17

24-24

18-17

24-20

27-18

162.2Avg total

90.3Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	88.7	70.0	158.7	+18.7	100%
Season at home (11)	92.7	68.4	161.1	+24.4	100%
Season away (12)	85.0	71.4	156.4	+13.6	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.3	71.9	162.2	+18.4	90%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	74.2	163.4	+15.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	85.7	78.3	164.0	+7.3	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	87.0	71.7	158.8	+15.3	92%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.6	20.4	39.1	-1.8	39%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	18.1	40.1	+3.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	18.7	42.4	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.1	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	16.8	38.6	+5.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.7	40.6	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.8	20.5	41.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.2	17.9	39.1	+3.2	61%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.9	18.4	39.2	+2.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	17.5	39.6	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.4	17.6	42.0	+6.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	17.5	36.9	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.1	36.5	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	15.4	35.6	+4.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.2	17.3	39.5	+4.8	77%	-

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#12

34-46

-12

A26/01

ACB

Nizhny Novgorod

26-43

-17

A29/01

Eurocup

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

31-37

-6

A02/02

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#13

37-37

H12/02

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#15

47-36

+11

H16/02

ACB

Panionios

#40

46-39

A19/02

Eurocup

Gipuzkoa

#10

43-34

H23/02

ACB

Estudiantes

#14

41-32

A02/03

ACB

Real Betis

47-39

H08/03

ACB

Gran Canaria

43-46

-3

A16/03

ACB

78.4Avg total

39.5Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	38.5	79.0	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	36.0	78.4	+6.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	40.6	79.5	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	38.9	78.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	41.2	41.0	82.2	+0.2	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	39.8	38.4	78.2	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.9	37.4	79.2	+4.5	62%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

42-37

A15/02

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#23

60-37

+23

H21/02

Euroleague

Manresa

#17

42-28

+14

A23/02

ACB

Partizan

#24

46-27

+19

H28/02

Euroleague

Tenerife

#11

41-40

H02/03

ACB

Galatasaray

#13

43-38

A07/03

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#12

33-29

A09/03

ACB

Bayern

#17

42-34

A13/03

Euroleague

Murcia

#16

50-37

+13

H15/03

ACB

CSKA Moscow

42-41

H20/03

Euroleague

78.9Avg total

44.1Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	35.8	78.9	+7.4	90%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.4	35.7	82.1	+10.8	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	35.9	75.2	+3.5	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	34.8	78.9	+9.3	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	35.8	77.8	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.7	35.8	79.5	+7.9	96%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.4	21.6	41.9	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.9	18.8	41.6	+4.1	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	16.8	38.2	+4.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	16.9	39.2	+5.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	16.6	37.1	+3.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	15.8	38.2	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.6	38.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	24.7	21.3	46.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.1	16.0	37.1	+5.1	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.4	38.2	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	21.0	35.8	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.2	17.5	33.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.1	19.9	39.0	-0.9	39%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.5	41.7	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+2.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	21.3	45.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	21.8	47.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.3	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	39.7	79.2	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	38.5	78.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.3	40.8	80.1	-1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	42.4	81.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	41.4	76.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	33.2	35.8	69.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	39.4	41.5	80.9	-2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.6	37.8	80.4	+4.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	36.2	79.9	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	36.0	79.9	+7.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.4	36.5	79.9	+6.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	37.1	83.3	+9.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	38.4	85.6	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	46.7	37.3	84.0	+9.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.3	36.0	79.3	+7.4	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
03/11/13	Real Madrid v Bilbao	92-75
04/10/13	Real Madrid v Bilbao	100-61
03/02/13	Bilbao v Real Madrid	74-94
11/11/12	Real Madrid v Bilbao	98-84
08/02/12	Bilbao v Real Madrid	93-69
05/02/12	Real Madrid v Bilbao	90-93
01/02/12	Real Madrid v Bilbao	89-73
13/10/11	Bilbao v Real Madrid	86-82
02/06/11	Bilbao v Real Madrid	80-72
31/05/11	Bilbao v Real Madrid	68-51

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/14	A	Gran Canaria	70-77
08/03/14	H	Real Betis	79-82
02/03/14	A	Estudiantes	80-86
23/02/14	H	Gipuzkoa	78-68
19/02/14	A	Panionios	88-84
16/02/14	H	Fuenlabrada	95-73
12/02/14	H	Crvena zvezda	81-85
02/02/14	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	72-88
29/01/14	A	Nizhny Novgorod	65-81
26/01/14	A	Obradoiro CAB	81-89

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/03/14	H	CSKA Moscow	93-79
15/03/14	H	Murcia	102-65
13/03/14	A	Bayern	83-85
09/03/14	A	Obradoiro CAB	83-68
07/03/14	A	Galatasaray	85-74
02/03/14	H	Tenerife	87-76
28/02/14	H	Partizan	80-57
23/02/14	A	Manresa	92-69
21/02/14	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	108-72
15/02/14	A	Baskonia	90-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

ACB 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	39%
Home	LWWWL	55%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	39%	55%	25%
Points / game	78.3	80.9	76.0
Allowed / game	78.3	78.1	78.6
Point differential	+0.0	+2.8	-2.6
Avg total	156.7	159.0	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	27%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	88.7	92.7	85.0
Allowed / game	70.0	68.4	71.4
Point differential	+18.7	+24.4	+13.6
Avg total	158.7	161.1	156.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	78%	100%	58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	23	23	0	100%	88.7	70.0	+18.7
2	Valencia	24	21	3	88%	85.4	73.8	+11.7
3	Barcelona	24	18	6	75%	80.7	70.0	+10.7
4	Gran Canaria	23	16	7	70%	75.0	70.9	+4.1
5	Unicaja	23	15	8	65%	79.1	73.2	+6.0
6	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	24	15	9	62%	78.8	74.3	+4.5
7	Baskonia	23	12	11	52%	81.1	80.5	+0.6
8	Real Betis	23	12	11	52%	73.3	73.7	-0.3
9	Joventut Badalona	23	11	12	48%	77.9	78.1	-0.2
10	Obradoiro CAB	24	10	14	42%	75.0	75.9	-0.8
11	Bilbao	23	9	14	39%	78.3	78.3	+0.0
12	Tenerife	23	9	14	39%	77.7	81.4	-3.7
13	Gipuzkoa	24	9	15	38%	70.2	71.6	-1.4
14	Fuenlabrada	24	9	15	38%	76.7	80.7	-4.0
15	Estudiantes	24	7	17	29%	75.5	80.1	-4.6
16	Murcia	24	7	17	29%	77.0	84.9	-7.8
17	Manresa	24	7	17	29%	73.0	82.8	-9.8
18	Baloncesto Valladolid	24	2	22	8%	68.2	90.7	-22.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bilbao	19	16	23	15	73
Real Madrid	15	23	25	24	87

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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