Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 89-79

26-18 27-14 22-23 14-24

Position#4

Record7-3

FormWLWWL

Points / game74.3

Allowed / game71.1

Bilbao 🏆

Real Madrid

Position#1

Record9-1

FormLWWLW

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game76.5

ACBRound 11

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Bilbao v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#18

73-54

+19

H05/10

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

76-75 OT

A11/10

ACB

Murcia

#10

82-74

H19/10

ACB

Baskonia

74-86

-12

A26/10

ACB

Real Betis

#15

89-61

+28

H01/11

ACB

Manresa

#16

77-76

A09/11

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

71-82

-11

H16/11

ACB

Gran Canaria

70-60

+10

A23/11

ACB

Estudiantes

#13

64-63

H30/11

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

67-80

-13

A06/12

ACB

24-15

10-14

22-13

17-12

18-14

20-15

13-20

15-17

20-19

22-16

24-14

16-25

23-13

11-28

19-21

21-24

25-15

21-19

24-9

19-18

15-28

28-16

18-16

16-16

11-26

25-15

16-15

19-26

22-8

17-22

17-17

14-13

19-17

16-23

12-10

17-13

16-25

16-23

20-16

15-16

145.4Avg total

74.3Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	74.3	71.1	145.4	+3.2	70%
Season at home (5)	75.8	66.8	142.6	+9.0	80%
Season away (5)	72.8	75.4	148.2	-2.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	74.3	71.1	145.4	+3.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	72.2	142.0	-2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	72.6	92.0	164.6	-19.4	0%
vs Similar (17)	77.5	79.9	157.4	-2.5	35%
vs Weaker (8)	82.6	70.6	153.2	+12.0	88%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#18

96-94

A09/11

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#12

73-75

-2

A14/11

Euroleague

Murcia

#10

90-65

+25

H16/11

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#16

68-66

A21/11

Euroleague

Real Betis

#15

81-72

A23/11

ACB

Unics Kazan

75-85

-10

H27/11

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

89-71

+18

H30/11

ACB

Nizhny Novgorod

#20

101-98

101

A04/12

Euroleague

Estudiantes

#13

84-89

-5

A07/12

ACB

Sassari

#26

83-58

+25

A12/12

Euroleague

23-20

22-25

34-13

17-36

18-18

18-21

21-21

16-15

26-16

16-25

28-8

20-16

24-14

14-24

15-19

15-9

24-22

24-20

16-15

17-15

22-23

24-19

15-26

14-17

23-20

25-20

23-17

18-14

20-23

21-21

27-25

33-29

20-16

25-20

21-26

18-27

14-18

27-15

13-18

29-7

161.3Avg total

84.0Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	87.3	76.5	163.8	+10.8	90%
Season at home (5)	85.8	70.4	156.2	+15.4	100%
Season away (5)	88.8	82.6	171.4	+6.2	80%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	77.3	161.3	+6.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	80.2	166.6	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	85.0	88.2	173.2	-3.2	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	88.3	79.6	167.9	+8.7	84%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.1	41.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.2	24.6	42.8	-6.4	40%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.2	19.5	38.8	-0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.0	42.3	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	21.1	43.1	+0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.9	19.2	42.1	+3.7	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.9	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	23.1	45.8	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.1	41.3	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.0	43.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.9	21.9	43.8	+0.0	48%	-

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#18

34-29

H05/10

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

38-29

A11/10

ACB

Murcia

#10

42-35

H19/10

ACB

Baskonia

34-41

-7

A26/10

ACB

Real Betis

#15

46-34

+12

H01/11

ACB

Manresa

#16

43-44

-1

A09/11

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

36-41

-5

H16/11

ACB

Gran Canaria

39-30

A23/11

ACB

Estudiantes

#13

35-40

-5

H30/11

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

32-48

-16

A06/12

ACB

75.0Avg total

37.9Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	39.8	79.8	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	37.7	79.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	41.9	80.3	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	37.1	75.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	40.6	77.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	39.0	46.6	85.6	-7.6	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	39.7	38.5	78.2	+1.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.2	38.2	79.5	+3.0	62%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#18

45-45

A09/11

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#12

36-39

-3

A14/11

Euroleague

Murcia

#10

42-41

H16/11

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#16

38-38

A21/11

Euroleague

Real Betis

#15

48-42

A23/11

ACB

Unics Kazan

46-42

H27/11

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

48-40

H30/11

ACB

Nizhny Novgorod

#20

41-44

-3

A04/12

Euroleague

Estudiantes

#13

45-36

A07/12

ACB

Sassari

#26

41-33

A12/12

Euroleague

83.0Avg total

43.0Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	41.6	85.9	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.5	41.9	87.4	+3.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	41.3	84.3	+1.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	40.0	83.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	39.0	83.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	41.5	44.2	85.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	44.8	41.1	85.9	+3.7	60%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	16.7	38.3	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	21.5	39.3	-3.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	15.1	33.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	14.8	31.4	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.2	25.0	44.2	-5.8	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.8	41%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.9	14.1	36.0	+7.8	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.2	40.5	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	17.3	39.3	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.1	41.7	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.8	40.1	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	21.2	22.2	43.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.5	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.1	37.5	-2.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.0	34.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	16.8	33.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	14.4	20.4	34.8	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	35%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.5	18.2	37.8	+1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+2.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.5	38.2	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.9	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	39.4	77.1	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	37.1	77.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.2	41.6	76.8	-6.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	33.1	68.5	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	31.6	64.4	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	33.6	45.4	79.0	-11.8	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	37.2	40.9	78.1	-3.7	41%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.4	32.4	73.8	+9.0	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	38.5	81.1	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	37.1	81.7	+7.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	39.9	80.5	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	37.3	78.3	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.2	83.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	43.5	44.0	87.5	-0.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	42.2	37.9	80.1	+4.4	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
23/03/14	Bilbao v Real Madrid	73-87
03/11/13	Real Madrid v Bilbao	92-75
04/10/13	Real Madrid v Bilbao	100-61
03/02/13	Bilbao v Real Madrid	74-94
11/11/12	Real Madrid v Bilbao	98-84
08/02/12	Bilbao v Real Madrid	93-69
05/02/12	Real Madrid v Bilbao	90-93
01/02/12	Real Madrid v Bilbao	89-73
13/10/11	Bilbao v Real Madrid	86-82
02/06/11	Bilbao v Real Madrid	80-72

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/14	A	Gipuzkoa	67-80
30/11/14	H	Estudiantes	64-63
23/11/14	A	Gran Canaria	70-60
16/11/14	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	71-82
09/11/14	A	Manresa	77-76
01/11/14	H	Real Betis	89-61
26/10/14	A	Baskonia	74-86
19/10/14	H	Murcia	82-74
11/10/14	A	MoraBanc Andorra	76-75 OT
05/10/14	H	Fuenlabrada	73-54

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/12/14	A	Sassari	83-58
07/12/14	A	Estudiantes	84-89
04/12/14	A	Nizhny Novgorod	101-98
30/11/14	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	89-71
27/11/14	H	Unics Kazan	75-85
23/11/14	A	Real Betis	81-72
21/11/14	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	68-66
16/11/14	H	Murcia	90-65
14/11/14	A	Anadolu Efes	73-75
09/11/14	A	Fuenlabrada	96-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

ACB 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	70%
Home	WWWLW	80%
Away	WLWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	70%	80%	60%
Points / game	74.3	75.8	72.8
Allowed / game	71.1	66.8	75.4
Point differential	+3.2	+9.0	-2.6
Avg total	145.4	142.6	148.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	40%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

Real Madrid

ACB 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	90%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	90%	100%	80%
Points / game	87.3	85.8	88.8
Allowed / game	76.5	70.4	82.6
Point differential	+10.8	+15.4	+6.2
Avg total	163.8	156.2	171.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	80%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	10	9	1	90%	87.3	76.5	+10.8
2	Unicaja	10	9	1	90%	80.1	70.2	+9.9
3	Barcelona	11	9	2	82%	80.3	66.4	+13.9
4	Joventut Badalona	11	8	3	73%	78.5	76.8	+1.7
5	Bilbao	10	7	3	70%	74.3	71.1	+3.2
6	Valencia	10	6	4	60%	75.6	73.3	+2.3
7	Obradoiro CAB	11	6	5	55%	72.4	71.7	+0.6
8	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	11	6	5	55%	74.4	75.0	-0.6
9	Murcia	11	6	5	55%	75.7	77.0	-1.3
10	Tenerife	11	5	6	45%	75.1	74.6	+0.5
11	Baskonia	11	5	6	45%	79.2	79.2	+0.0
12	Gran Canaria	11	5	6	45%	73.3	73.4	-0.1
13	Real Betis	10	3	7	30%	75.0	83.1	-8.1
14	Estudiantes	11	3	8	27%	71.2	75.6	-4.5
15	MoraBanc Andorra	11	3	8	27%	73.0	79.6	-6.6
16	Gipuzkoa	11	3	8	27%	67.7	74.5	-6.7
17	Fuenlabrada	11	2	9	18%	70.9	75.5	-4.6
18	Manresa	10	1	9	10%	71.8	81.4	-9.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bilbao	26	27	22	14	89
Real Madrid	18	14	23	24	79

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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