Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2013

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 88-79

22-19 30-19 22-21 14-20

Position#4

Record16-11

FormWLWWL

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game76.9

Valencia 🏆

Real Madrid

Position#1

Record25-2

FormLWLWW

Points / game89.4

Allowed / game76.3

ACBRound 28

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

62-76

-14

A24/02

ACB

Real Betis

#14

66-72

-6

H02/03

ACB

Unics Kazan

80-70

+10

H06/03

Eurocup

Estudiantes

#12

81-71

+10

H09/03

ACB

Unics Kazan

68-71

-3

A13/03

Eurocup

Obradoiro CAB

80-74

A16/03

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

87-97

-10

H20/03

Eurocup

Gran Canaria

68-56

+12

H23/03

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

68-63

A26/03

Eurocup

Barcelona

62-94

-32

A01/04

ACB

12-16

12-18

22-20

16-22

19-19

21-16

17-16

9-21

21-20

24-15

19-23

16-12

24-13

20-25

20-17

17-16

14-20

17-15

22-19

15-17

17-18

22-15

22-20

19-21

21-29

22-16

15-31

29-21

19-19

20-13

16-13

13-11

15-16

13-10

15-11

25-26

21-25

17-19

14-29

10-21

146.6Avg total

72.2Scored

74.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	80.1	76.9	157.0	+3.2	59%
Season at home (13)	85.8	76.1	161.9	+9.8	77%
Season away (14)	74.8	77.6	152.4	-2.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	72.2	74.4	146.6	-2.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	76.8	149.8	-3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	76.5	86.0	162.5	-9.5	0%
vs Similar (8)	71.6	79.1	150.8	-7.5	25%
vs Weaker (19)	86.1	76.7	162.8	+9.4	74%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Murcia

#13

86-69

+17

H03/03

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

105-104 OT

105

104

A07/03

Euroleague

Baskonia

100-92

100

A10/03

ACB

Unicaja

74-77

-3

H15/03

Euroleague

Tenerife

#10

83-96

-13

H17/03

ACB

Panathinaikos

73-74

-1

H21/03

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

84-75

A24/03

ACB

CSKA Moscow

72-81

-9

A28/03

Euroleague

Real Betis

#14

84-74

+10

H31/03

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#10

86-66

+20

H04/04

Euroleague

19-5

24-22

18-15

25-27

19-29

21-15

23-17

21-23

18-21

21-31

30-21

31-19

21-15

19-17

13-28

21-17

19-26

26-14

17-25

21-31

14-17

19-21

20-11

20-25

21-13

17-19

21-27

25-16

15-24

13-20

19-19

25-18

24-16

24-14

15-23

21-21

25-14

22-16

18-18

21-18

165.5Avg total

84.7Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	89.4	76.3	165.6	+13.1	93%
Season at home (13)	89.5	75.8	165.3	+13.6	92%
Season away (14)	89.3	76.6	165.9	+12.6	93%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	80.8	165.5	+3.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	74.0	153.8	+5.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	84.5	84.2	168.8	+0.2	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	83.5	72.9	156.4	+10.6	80%

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValenciaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	14.5	18.5	33.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.5	19.8	37.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.6	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.8	36.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	16.5	22.8	39.2	-6.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.8	17.3	38.1	+3.5	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	16.9	38.0	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	16.0	39.2	+7.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	14.6	33.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.6	15.4	34.0	+3.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.6	17.5	40.1	+5.1	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	17.2	39.6	+5.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	18.8	16.0	34.8	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.7	56%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

24-34

-10

A24/02

ACB

Real Betis

#14

40-35

H02/03

ACB

Unics Kazan

45-35

+10

H06/03

Eurocup

Estudiantes

#12

44-38

H09/03

ACB

Unics Kazan

31-35

-4

A13/03

Eurocup

Obradoiro CAB

39-33

A16/03

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

43-45

-2

H20/03

Eurocup

Gran Canaria

39-32

H23/03

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

28-26

A26/03

Eurocup

Barcelona

38-44

-6

A01/04

ACB

72.8Avg total

37.1Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	36.3	77.0	+4.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.6	34.0	79.6	+11.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	38.9	74.0	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	35.7	72.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	36.0	73.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	30.5	38.5	69.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.1	35.1	71.2	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	43.9	37.2	81.1	+6.7	63%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Murcia

#13

43-27

+16

H03/03

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

40-44

-4

A07/03

Euroleague

Baskonia

39-52

-13

A10/03

ACB

Unicaja

40-32

H15/03

Euroleague

Tenerife

#10

45-40

H17/03

ACB

Panathinaikos

33-38

-5

H21/03

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

38-32

A24/03

ACB

CSKA Moscow

28-44

-16

A28/03

Euroleague

Real Betis

#14

48-30

+18

H31/03

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#10

47-30

+17

H04/04

Euroleague

77.0Avg total

40.1Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	36.6	77.8	+4.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	33.8	76.6	+8.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	39.8	79.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	36.9	77.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	34.8	73.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	35.2	38.8	74.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	42.0	35.8	77.7	+6.2	72%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.8	37.2	-4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	24.5	21.0	45.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.9	21.5	37.4	-5.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.4	18.4	39.7	+3.0	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.9	18.8	35.8	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	16.5	16.2	32.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.2	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.2	41.0	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.8	35.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	21.5	26.5	48.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.8	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	18.3	40.7	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	15.2	37.6	+7.1	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.5	44.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	22.5	21.2	43.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.5	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	40.5	80.3	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	40.0	80.2	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	41.1	80.4	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	38.7	73.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	40.8	76.4	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	46.0	47.5	93.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.5	44.0	79.5	-8.5	12%	-
vs Weaker (19)	40.9	38.7	79.6	+2.2	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	36.9	77.7	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.3	39.8	79.1	-0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	33.6	76.1	+9.0	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	41.9	84.4	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.2	80.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	39.0	37.5	76.5	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	41.5	37.2	78.7	+4.4	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valencia wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/12	Real Madrid v Valencia	87-84
11/03/12	Valencia v Real Madrid	83-66
04/12/11	Real Madrid v Valencia	81-64
07/04/11	Real Madrid v Valencia	66-58
31/03/11	Valencia v Real Madrid	81-72
29/03/11	Valencia v Real Madrid	66-75
24/03/11	Real Madrid v Valencia	75-81
22/03/11	Real Madrid v Valencia	71-65
19/02/11	Valencia v Real Madrid	59-52
12/02/11	Real Madrid v Valencia	69-59

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/13	A	Barcelona	62-94
26/03/13	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	68-63
23/03/13	H	Gran Canaria	68-56
20/03/13	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	87-97
16/03/13	A	Obradoiro CAB	80-74
13/03/13	A	Unics Kazan	68-71
09/03/13	H	Estudiantes	81-71
06/03/13	H	Unics Kazan	80-70
02/03/13	H	Real Betis	66-72
24/02/13	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	62-76

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/13	H	Anadolu Efes	86-66
31/03/13	H	Real Betis	84-74
28/03/13	A	CSKA Moscow	72-81
24/03/13	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	84-75
21/03/13	H	Panathinaikos	73-74
17/03/13	H	Tenerife	83-96
15/03/13	H	Unicaja	74-77
10/03/13	A	Baskonia	100-92
07/03/13	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	105-104 OT
03/03/13	H	Murcia	86-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	59%
Home	LWLWW	77%
Away	LLLWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	59%	77%	43%
Points / game	80.1	85.8	74.8
Allowed / game	76.9	76.1	77.6
Point differential	+3.2	+9.8	-2.9
Avg total	157.0	161.9	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	54%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	60% (5)	43% (7)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	93%
Home	WWWLW	92%
Away	WWWWW	93%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	93%	92%	93%
Points / game	89.4	89.5	89.3
Allowed / game	76.3	75.8	76.6
Point differential	+13.1	+13.6	+12.6
Avg total	165.6	165.3	165.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	70%	77%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	27	25	2	93%	89.4	76.3	+13.1
2	Baskonia	28	21	7	75%	81.5	78.0	+3.6
3	Barcelona	27	18	9	67%	80.3	71.9	+8.4
4	Bilbao	27	16	11	59%	81.1	77.4	+3.7
5	Valencia	27	16	11	59%	80.1	76.9	+3.2
6	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	27	15	12	56%	76.0	71.8	+4.2
7	Gran Canaria	27	15	12	56%	73.1	71.1	+2.0
8	Obradoiro CAB	27	14	13	52%	74.7	73.5	+1.3
9	Unicaja	28	14	14	50%	74.0	73.8	+0.2
10	Estudiantes	27	13	14	48%	80.4	78.1	+2.3
11	Joventut Badalona	28	13	15	46%	77.3	79.9	-2.6
12	Tenerife	28	12	16	43%	77.5	80.9	-3.4
13	Murcia	27	11	16	41%	76.4	82.1	-5.8
14	Baloncesto Valladolid	28	11	17	39%	77.4	82.1	-4.7
15	Real Betis	28	10	18	36%	71.6	76.2	-4.5
16	Fuenlabrada	28	10	18	36%	74.6	79.4	-4.8
17	Gipuzkoa	27	8	19	30%	73.6	80.0	-6.4
18	Manresa	28	5	23	18%	75.6	84.4	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valencia	22	30	22	14	88
Real Madrid	19	19	21	20	79

← all games of the day

Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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