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Bonn vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-71
19-9 28-16 16-22 23-24
Position#9
Record1-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game74.0
Bonn 🏆
vs
Position#29
Record1-0
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game48.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3· Telekom Dome
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
69-70
69
70
-1
57avg 82
A24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Vechta
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 82
A01/10
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 82
H04/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
100-73
100
73
+27
101avg 82
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#14
W
80-79
80
79
+1
69avg 82
A14/10
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 82
A21/10
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 82
A25/10
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
90-68
90
68
+22
85avg 82
H29/10
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
65avg 82
H01/11
Champions League
Ulm
#5
L
87-105
87
105
-18
79avg 82
A05/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
21-16
16-24
19-12
25-28
18-15
19-24
17-17
19-23
9-16
21-28
27-21
25-20
20-14
29-19
26-20
13-22
21-24
21-16
25-17
22-11
23-26
30-26
16-23
24-14
25-20
19-12
23-27
18-25
29-14
20-11
23-18
14-14
14-24
22-18
24-19
22-31
18-27
26-21
21-26
163.8Avg total
83.7Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.574.0156.5+8.550%
Season at home (1)74.075.0149.0-1.00%
Season away (1)91.073.0164.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.780.1163.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)86.681.4168.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.083.4163.4-3.440%
vs Weaker (24)88.873.4162.2+15.379%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
68avg 61
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 61
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
57avg 61
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
no box
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
44avg 61
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
68-48
68
48
+20
64avg 61
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
59-74
59
74
-15
39avg 61
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 61
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
50avg 61
H05/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
18-14
20-19
24-24
19-23
18-26
20-18
22-21
17-17
19-23
13-17
20-6
18-28
25-21
21-10
13-18
24-18
3-11
15-14
32-31
15-11
6-13
20-16
18-21
23-17
12-5
10-15
23-11
17-12
8-24
20-24
14-14
22-15
11-29
18-17
19-26
19-21
12-18
20-19
12-21
146.7Avg total
71.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.048.0116.0+20.0100%
Season at home (1)68.048.0116.0+20.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.375.4146.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)63.869.8133.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.684.4155.1-13.87%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.878.8157.6+0.150%
vs Weaker (4)79.565.5145.0+14.075%
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
BonnBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Vechta
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A01/10
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H04/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#14
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/10
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A21/10
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A25/10
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/10
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H01/11
Champions League
Ulm
#5
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A05/11
BBL
79.5Avg total
39.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.279.6+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.535.376.7+6.280%-
Last 30 away (15)43.439.182.5+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.279.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.283.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.441.480.8-2.040%-
vs Weaker (24)43.435.979.3+7.579%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H05/11
ACB
69.0Avg total
32.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.038.673.6-3.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.736.973.7-0.240%-
Last 30 away (15)33.340.273.5-6.97%-
Last 10 (10)32.436.669.0-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)29.033.062.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.940.572.4-8.67%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.239.176.3-1.833%-
vs Weaker (4)39.230.269.5+9.050%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.6
57.4%
51.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.1
32.3%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.414.2
77.2%
74.5%14.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.017.5
43.8%
51.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.8
29.2%
34.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.013.0
68.4%
74.5%13.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
LLWWWWWLLL
Breogan
LLLWLLLWLW
#9
League position
#29
+4.1
Net rating
-7.0
113.0
Offensive rating
96.1
108.9
Defensive rating
103.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
43.8%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.3%
3-point %
29.2%
60.3%
Assist %
54.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 96.1Defence108.9 · 103.1Shooting53.4% · 43.8%3-point %32.3% · 29.2%Ball care18.5% · 16.5%Off. rebounds36.7% · 30.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Bonn   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bonn wins
0
Breogan wins
No previous meetings.
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23AUlm87-105
01/11/23HHapoel Holon74-75
29/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins90-68
25/10/23ABursaspor91-73
21/10/23ALudwigsburg91-86
14/10/23ALudwigsburg80-79
09/10/23HSyntainics MBC100-73
04/10/23HTubingen76-88
01/10/23AVechta79-84
24/09/23AFranca69-70
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HBarcelona63-79
28/10/23AUnicaja70-87
21/10/23APalencia59-74
18/10/23HBursaspor68-48
15/10/23HValencia59-61
07/10/23ATenerife81-88 OT
01/10/23HManresa85-89 OT
29/09/23AMoraBanc Andorra69-63
24/09/23HBaskonia79-88
24/05/23AValencia80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game82.574.091.0
Allowed / game74.075.073.0
Point differential+8.5-1.0+18.0
Avg total156.5149.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game68.068.0-
Allowed / game48.048.0-
Point differential+20.0+20.0-
Avg total116.0116.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica440100%96.566.5+30.0
2 Promitheas220100%96.571.0+25.5
3 Dijon220100%95.575.0+20.5
4 Breogan110100%68.048.0+20.0
5 Unicaja330100%83.772.0+11.7
6 Karsiyaka220100%89.580.0+9.5
7 AEK Athens330100%84.378.3+6.0
8 Tortona220100%83.077.0+6.0
9 Strasbourg550100%82.076.2+5.8
10 Hapoel Jerusalem110100%99.096.0+3.0
11 Hapoel Holon110100%75.074.0+1.0
12 Cholet65183%82.079.5+2.5
13 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
14 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
15 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
16 Darussafaka32167%84.083.3+0.7
17 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
18 Murcia21150%73.062.5+10.5
19 Bonn21150%82.574.0+8.5
20 Tenerife21150%89.581.5+8.0
21 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
22 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
23 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
25 Tofas21150%92.095.0-3.0
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 PAOK21150%80.085.5-5.5
28 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
29 Le Mans31233%77.777.3+0.3
30 Sassari31233%84.385.0-0.7
31 Szczecin31233%82.784.3-1.7
32 Szombathely31233%76.379.0-2.7
33 Ludwigsburg31233%80.083.7-3.7
34 Peristeri31233%73.082.3-9.3
35 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
36 Oldenburg2020%83.085.0-2.0
37 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
38 Rytas2020%79.582.5-3.0
39 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
40 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
41 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
42 VEF Riga2020%74.079.0-5.0
43 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
44 Galatasaray2020%86.593.5-7.0
45 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
46 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
47 Igokea2020%74.588.0-13.5
48 Oostende2020%72.587.5-15.0
49 Bursaspor2020%60.579.5-19.0
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava2020%66.5109.5-43.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn1928162386
Breogan916222471
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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