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Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 95-124
20-29 26-35 19-25 30-35
Position#21
Record22-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game110.3
vs
Position#3
Record26-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game118.6
Allowed / game113.3
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics
30 Nov 2026
DAL v BOS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
DAL100
BOS110
25 Jan 2025
DAL107
BOS122
14 Jun 2024
DAL122
BOS84
12 Jun 2024
DAL99
BOS106
22 Jan 2024
DAL110
BOS119
05 Jan 2023
DAL95
BOS124
06 Nov 2021
DAL107
BOS104
23 Feb 2021
DAL110
BOS107
18 Dec 2019
DAL103
BOS109
24 Nov 2018
DAL113
BOS104
20 Nov 2017
DAL102
BOS110
13 Feb 2017
DAL98
BOS111
18 Jan 2016
DAL118
BOS113
03 Nov 2014
DAL118
BOS113
17 Mar 2014
DAL94
BOS89
22 Mar 2013
DAL104
BOS94
20 Feb 2012
DAL89
BOS73
08 Nov 2010
DAL89
BOS87
20 Mar 2010
DAL93
BOS102
12 Feb 2009
DAL92
BOS99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
130-110
130
110
+20
127avg 101
H17/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
85avg 101
A18/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
106-116
106
116
-10
100avg 101
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
104-99
104
99
+5
95avg 101
A22/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
112-106
112
106
+6
100avg 101
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
124-115
124
115
+9
121avg 101
H25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
126-121 OT
126
121
+5
115avg 101
H28/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
129-114
129
114
+15
124avg 101
H30/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
126-125
126
125
+1
110avg 101
A01/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
111-106
111
106
+5
100avg 101
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-32
41-31
38-22
20-25
29-27
20-20
26-20
21-29
30-21
14-36
30-37
32-22
29-31
22-21
24-22
29-25
30-24
31-26
20-34
31-22
21-28
22-26
51-21
30-40
28-30
27-33
27-29
33-23
36-30
29-21
34-28
30-35
32-30
36-34
35-29
23-32
18-26
26-29
39-32
28-19
227.9Avg total
116.7Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)112.6110.3222.8+2.358%
Season at home (20)114.0107.1221.1+6.975%
Season away (18)111.1113.8224.8-2.739%
Last 10 (10)116.7111.2227.9+5.580%
Last 5 (5)123.2116.2239.4+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)106.8107.0213.8-0.233%
vs Similar (16)110.9110.6221.5+0.256%
vs Weaker (8)117.8113.1230.9+4.675%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
110avg 110
A14/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
109-117
109
117
-8
93avg 110
H17/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
92-95
92
95
-3
83avg 110
H18/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
112-117
112
117
-5
104avg 110
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
121-109
121
109
+12
112avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
139-118
139
118
+21
135avg 110
H25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
126-102
126
102
+24
125avg 110
H28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
116-110
116
110
+6
108avg 110
H30/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
111-123
111
123
-12
106avg 110
A02/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
117-150
117
150
-33
108avg 110
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-24
28-26
23-32
22-28
28-32
26-30
27-26
28-29
23-26
18-24
30-18
21-27
22-42
21-29
42-29
27-17
22-29
32-27
34-30
33-23
36-28
26-33
38-25
39-32
22-21
34-28
36-32
34-21
27-26
33-23
24-36
32-25
28-37
26-25
31-36
26-25
33-34
21-40
37-48
26-28
232.4Avg total
116.5Scored
115.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)118.6113.3231.9+5.268%
Season at home (20)122.5113.0235.5+9.675%
Season away (18)114.2113.8227.9+0.461%
Last 10 (10)116.5115.9232.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)121.8120.6242.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)124.2113.5237.7+10.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)117.7112.8230.5+5.067%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
Dallas MavericksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H17/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A18/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H28/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H30/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A01/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A03/01
NBA
110.8Avg total
55.2Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.156.2112.3-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.253.1110.3+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)54.959.3114.3-4.440%-
Last 10 (10)55.255.6110.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)55.057.4112.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)55.357.5112.8-2.267%-
vs Similar (16)54.455.2109.6-0.844%-
vs Weaker (8)60.057.2117.2+2.862%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A14/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H17/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H18/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
43-71
43
71
-28
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H24/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H30/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A02/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
54-74
54
74
-20
A04/01
NBA
112.7Avg total
54.3Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.457.6117.9+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.957.1118.0+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)59.758.1117.9+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)54.358.4112.7-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)57.259.0116.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)63.060.3123.3+2.783%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)59.756.9116.6+2.854%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 116.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.024.4
61.0%
54.5%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.215.7
36.3%
35.8%47.1
🏀 Free throws26.820.8
77.6%
78.1%20.8
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.527.3
56.3%
54.5%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.513.9
32.0%
35.8%41.7
🏀 Free throws25.020.2
80.8%
78.1%20.2
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWWWWWWLLW
Boston Celtics
LLWWWWLLLW
#21
League position
#3
+5.5
Net rating
+0.6
117.7
Offensive rating
112.2
112.2
Defensive rating
111.6
57.6%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
10.7%
Turnover %
12.8%
16.4%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.3%
3-point %
32.0%
56.1%
Assist %
63.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 112.2Defence112.2 · 111.6Shooting57.6% · 52.3%3-point %36.3% · 32.0%Ball care10.7% · 12.8%Off. rebounds16.4% · 25.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/23AHouston Rockets111-106
01/01/23ASan Antonio Spurs126-125
30/12/22HHouston Rockets129-114
28/12/22HNew York Knicks126-121 OT
25/12/22HLos Angeles Lakers124-115
24/12/22AHouston Rockets112-106
22/12/22AMinnesota Timberwolves104-99
20/12/22AMinnesota Timberwolves106-116
18/12/22ACleveland Cavaliers99-100 OT
17/12/22HPortland Trail Blazers130-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23AOklahoma City Thunder117-150
02/01/23ADenver Nuggets111-123
30/12/22HLos Angeles Clippers116-110
28/12/22HHouston Rockets126-102
25/12/22HMilwaukee Bucks139-118
24/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves121-109
22/12/22HIndiana Pacers112-117
18/12/22HOrlando Magic92-95
17/12/22HOrlando Magic109-117
14/12/22ALos Angeles Lakers122-118 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWWWW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %58%75%39%
Points / game112.6114.0111.1
Allowed / game110.3107.1113.8
Point differential+2.3+6.8-2.7
Avg total222.8221.1224.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)78% (9)56% (9)
Overtime %13%10%17%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL68%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLWLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %68%75%61%
Points / game118.6122.5114.2
Allowed / game113.3113.0113.8
Point differential+5.2+9.6+0.4
Avg total231.9235.5227.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics38261268%118.6113.3+5.2
2 Memphis Grizzlies38251366%116.1111.1+4.9
3 Brooklyn Nets38251366%115.1111.1+4.0
4 Milwaukee Bucks38251366%112.5110.5+2.0
5 Denver Nuggets37241365%116.4114.5+1.9
6 Cleveland Cavaliers39251464%111.6106.4+5.2
7 New Orleans Pelicans38241463%117.5112.8+4.6
8 Philadelphia 76ers37231462%112.6108.7+3.9
9 Dallas Mavericks38221658%112.6110.3+2.3
10 Sacramento Kings37201754%117.9116.8+1.2
11 New York Knicks39211854%114.2111.4+2.8
12 Los Angeles Clippers39211854%109.5109.4+0.1
13 Indiana Pacers39211854%115.8116.1-0.3
14 Portland Trail Blazers37191851%112.8112.0+0.7
15 Phoenix Suns39201951%113.5111.2+2.4
16 Golden State Warriors39201951%117.2117.6-0.4
17 Miami Heat39201951%109.0109.5-0.4
18 Utah Jazz40192148%117.2116.6+0.6
19 Atlanta Hawks38182047%115.4116.3-0.9
20 Minnesota Timberwolves39182146%114.6115.5-0.9
21 Chicago Bulls38172145%114.5115.5-1.0
22 Los Angeles Lakers38172145%116.0117.4-1.4
23 Washington Wizards39172244%112.1112.7-0.6
24 Toronto Raptors38162242%111.1111.3-0.2
25 Oklahoma City Thunder38162242%116.1117.1-1.0
26 Orlando Magic39142536%110.3114.2-3.9
27 San Antonio Spurs38122632%111.7120.9-9.2
28 Detroit Pistons41113027%111.8118.9-7.1
29 Houston Rockets38102826%109.3115.8-6.5
30 Charlotte Hornets39102926%111.3118.4-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2026193095
Boston Celtics29352535124
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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