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Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-112
17-26 33-26 21-36 19-24
Position#1
Record64-22
FormLWWWW
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game108.7
vs
Position#8
Record53-33
FormWWWWW
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game107.2
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Fiserv Forum
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics
08 Nov 2026
MIL97
BOS117
03 Apr 2026
MIL101
BOS133
02 Mar 2026
MIL81
BOS108
11 Dec 2025
MIL116
BOS101
10 Nov 2024
MIL107
BOS113
09 Apr 2024
MIL104
BOS91
11 Jan 2024
MIL135
BOS102
30 Mar 2023
MIL99
BOS140
14 Feb 2023
MIL131
BOS125
13 May 2022
MIL95
BOS108
09 May 2022
MIL108
BOS116
07 May 2022
MIL103
BOS101
07 Apr 2022
MIL127
BOS121
25 Dec 2021
MIL117
BOS113
26 Mar 2021
MIL114
BOS122
24 Mar 2021
MIL121
BOS119
31 Jul 2020
MIL119
BOS112
12 Mar 2020
MIL v BOS
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
MIL128
BOS123
08 May 2019
MIL116
BOS91
30 Apr 2019
MIL123
BOS102
28 Apr 2019
MIL90
BOS112
21 Feb 2019
MIL98
BOS97
26 Apr 2018
MIL97
BOS86
22 Apr 2018
MIL104
BOS102
20 Apr 2018
MIL116
BOS92
03 Apr 2018
MIL106
BOS102
26 Oct 2017
MIL89
BOS96
28 Jan 2017
MIL108
BOS112
09 Feb 2016
MIL112
BOS111
10 Nov 2015
MIL83
BOS99
15 Apr 2015
MIL100
BOS105
07 Feb 2015
MIL96
BOS93
10 Feb 2014
MIL86
BOS102
30 Nov 2013
MIL92
BOS85
01 Dec 2012
MIL91
BOS88
10 Nov 2012
MIL92
BOS96
22 Mar 2012
MIL91
BOS100
06 Mar 2011
MIL83
BOS89
10 Apr 2010
MIL90
BOS105
09 Mar 2010
MIL86
BOS84
15 Mar 2009
MIL86
BOS77
15 Nov 2008
MIL97
BOS102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
135-136 OT
135
136
-1
no box
A31/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
131-121
131
121
+10
122avg 113
A01/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
128-122
128
122
+6
118avg 113
A05/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
128-133
128
133
-5
124avg 113
H06/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
115-107
115
107
+8
108avg 113
H07/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
116-127
116
127
-11
no box
H11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
121-86
121
86
+35
121avg 113
H14/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
120-99
120
99
+21
123avg 113
H18/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
119-103
119
103
+16
117avg 113
A21/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
127-104
127
104
+23
131avg 113
A23/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-26
28-42
26-30
25-24
35-20
24-34
32-35
40-32
30-26
26-32
26-28
46-36
26-34
39-32
31-42
32-25
28-21
26-24
31-27
30-35
31-29
27-39
31-30
27-29
38-18
32-25
27-18
24-25
38-27
20-32
35-17
27-23
32-24
35-30
33-24
19-25
26-28
30-34
39-23
32-19
237.8Avg total
124.0Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)118.3108.7227.0+9.674%
Season at home (43)119.9107.1227.0+12.881%
Season away (43)116.7110.4227.1+6.367%
Last 10 (10)124.0113.8237.8+10.270%
Last 5 (5)120.6103.8224.4+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)120.5111.4231.9+9.173%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
96-110
96
110
-14
no box
A30/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
110-105
110
105
+5
102avg 102
H01/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
112-102
112
102
+10
108avg 102
A03/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
117-97
117
97
+20
no box
A06/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
108-116
108
116
-8
101avg 102
H07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
116-110
116
110
+6
104avg 102
A09/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 102
H14/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
99-91
99
91
+8
95avg 102
H17/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
104-96
104
96
+8
98avg 102
A20/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
110-106
110
106
+4
101avg 102
A21/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
27-32
22-33
26-28
36-17
25-30
27-30
22-28
29-31
24-18
30-32
29-21
24-27
34-20
33-27
26-23
27-27
25-21
26-35
30-33
25-39
38-25
26-31
27-15
20-20
18-25
26-8
20-21
29-33
23-17
16-29
31-12
41-28
18-33
21-12
24-23
21-23
26-26
26-23
37-34
206.3Avg total
105.6Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)111.8107.2219.0+4.662%
Season at home (43)113.0106.2219.2+6.970%
Season away (43)110.5108.2218.7+2.353%
Last 10 (10)105.6100.7206.3+4.980%
Last 5 (5)102.695.4198.0+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)97.098.0195.0-1.00%
vs Similar (15)106.0106.5212.5-0.553%
vs Weaker (14)114.4111.5225.9+2.971%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
Milwaukee BucksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A31/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A01/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A05/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H06/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H07/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
70-43
70
43
+27
H14/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H18/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A21/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A23/04
NBA
119.1Avg total
61.4Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.056.1115.1+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.455.5115.9+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)57.656.7114.3+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)61.457.7119.1+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)61.857.2119.0+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)59.056.1115.1+2.960%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A30/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H01/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A03/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A06/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A09/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H17/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A20/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A21/04
NBA
104.0Avg total
53.1Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.253.8108.0+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.852.9105.7-0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)55.454.5109.8+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)53.150.9104.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)51.853.8105.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)47.053.0100.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (15)52.653.9106.5-1.340%-
vs Weaker (14)56.553.7110.2+2.864%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 123.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.631.3
58.4%
51.7%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.112.9
35.7%
35.4%38.7
🏀 Free throws28.822.0
76.4%
76.6%22.0
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.026.9
48.9%
51.7%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.5
37.8%
35.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.816.9
77.5%
76.6%16.9
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLWLWWL
Boston Celtics
WWWWWLWWWL
#1
League position
#8
+10.8
Net rating
+4.5
115.4
Offensive rating
105.4
104.7
Defensive rating
100.9
56.5%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
12.0%
Turnover %
12.8%
19.1%
Off. rebound %
19.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.7%
3-point %
37.8%
60.4%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 105.4Defence104.7 · 100.9Shooting56.5% · 51.7%3-point %35.7% · 37.8%Ball care12.0% · 12.8%Off. rebounds19.1% · 19.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/19ADetroit Pistons127-104
21/04/19ADetroit Pistons119-103
18/04/19HDetroit Pistons120-99
14/04/19HDetroit Pistons121-86
11/04/19HOklahoma City Thunder116-127
07/04/19HAtlanta Hawks115-107
06/04/19HBrooklyn Nets128-133
05/04/19APhiladelphia 76ers128-122
01/04/19ABrooklyn Nets131-121
31/03/19AAtlanta Hawks135-136 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/19AIndiana Pacers110-106
20/04/19AIndiana Pacers104-96
17/04/19HIndiana Pacers99-91
14/04/19HIndiana Pacers84-74
09/04/19AWashington Wizards116-110
07/04/19HOrlando Magic108-116
06/04/19AIndiana Pacers117-97
03/04/19AMiami Heat112-102
01/04/19HMiami Heat110-105
30/03/19ABrooklyn Nets96-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeLWLWW81%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864343
Win %74%81%67%
Points / game118.3119.9116.7
Allowed / game108.7107.1110.4
Point differential+9.6+12.8+6.3
Avg total227.0227.0227.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%65%49%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)33% (6)36% (11)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayWWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864343
Win %62%70%53%
Points / game111.8113.0110.5
Allowed / game107.2106.2108.2
Point differential+4.6+6.9+2.3
Avg total219.0219.2218.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%35%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)56% (9)50% (10)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks86642274%118.3108.7+9.6
2 Toronto Raptors88632572%113.9107.3+6.6
3 Golden State Warriors88612769%118.1111.5+6.7
4 Houston Rockets87573066%113.5108.5+5.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers87573066%114.4110.2+4.3
6 Denver Nuggets89583165%110.2106.4+3.8
7 Philadelphia 76ers88553362%115.4112.4+3.0
8 Boston Celtics86533362%111.8107.2+4.6
9 Utah Jazz87513659%110.9106.5+4.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder87503757%113.9111.1+2.9
11 San Antonio Spurs89513857%111.0109.6+1.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers88503857%115.1115.0+0.1
13 Indiana Pacers86483856%107.3104.4+2.8
14 Orlando Magic87434449%106.4106.6-0.2
15 Brooklyn Nets87434449%112.2112.9-0.7
16 Detroit Pistons86414548%106.6108.0-1.3
17 Miami Heat82394348%105.7105.9-0.2
18 Charlotte Hornets82394348%110.7111.8-1.1
19 Sacramento Kings82394348%114.2115.3-1.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers82374545%111.8113.5-1.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves82364644%112.5114.0-1.5
22 Dallas Mavericks82334940%108.9110.1-1.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans82334940%115.4116.8-1.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies82334940%103.5106.1-2.6
25 Washington Wizards82325039%114.0116.9-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks82295335%113.3119.4-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls82226027%104.9113.4-8.4
28 Phoenix Suns82196323%107.5116.8-9.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82196323%104.5114.1-9.6
30 New York Knicks82176521%104.6113.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks1733211990
Boston Celtics26263624112
← all games of the day
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