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Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 99-140
26-34 21-41 27-39 25-26
Position#1
Record55-21
FormWWLWW
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Position#3
Record52-24
FormLWWWL
Points / game118.0
Allowed / game112.0
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics
08 Nov 2026
MIL v BOS
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
MIL101
BOS133
02 Mar 2026
MIL81
BOS108
11 Dec 2025
MIL116
BOS101
10 Nov 2024
MIL107
BOS113
09 Apr 2024
MIL104
BOS91
11 Jan 2024
MIL135
BOS102
30 Mar 2023
MIL99
BOS140
14 Feb 2023
MIL131
BOS125
13 May 2022
MIL95
BOS108
09 May 2022
MIL108
BOS116
07 May 2022
MIL103
BOS101
07 Apr 2022
MIL127
BOS121
25 Dec 2021
MIL117
BOS113
26 Mar 2021
MIL114
BOS122
24 Mar 2021
MIL121
BOS119
31 Jul 2020
MIL119
BOS112
12 Mar 2020
MIL v BOS
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
MIL128
BOS123
08 May 2019
MIL116
BOS91
30 Apr 2019
MIL123
BOS102
28 Apr 2019
MIL90
BOS112
21 Feb 2019
MIL98
BOS97
26 Apr 2018
MIL97
BOS86
22 Apr 2018
MIL104
BOS102
20 Apr 2018
MIL116
BOS92
03 Apr 2018
MIL106
BOS102
26 Oct 2017
MIL89
BOS96
28 Jan 2017
MIL108
BOS112
09 Feb 2016
MIL112
BOS111
10 Nov 2015
MIL83
BOS99
15 Apr 2015
MIL100
BOS105
07 Feb 2015
MIL96
BOS93
10 Feb 2014
MIL86
BOS102
30 Nov 2013
MIL92
BOS85
01 Dec 2012
MIL91
BOS88
10 Nov 2012
MIL92
BOS96
22 Mar 2012
MIL91
BOS100
06 Mar 2011
MIL83
BOS89
10 Apr 2010
MIL90
BOS105
09 Mar 2010
MIL86
BOS84
15 Mar 2009
MIL86
BOS77
15 Nov 2008
MIL97
BOS102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
106avg 108
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
133-124
133
124
+9
133avg 108
A14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
116-104
116
104
+12
107avg 108
A15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
123-139
123
139
-16
116avg 108
H17/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
118-111
118
111
+7
123avg 108
H20/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
130-94
130
94
+36
121avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
144-116
144
116
+28
150avg 108
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
106-129
106
129
-23
97avg 108
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
126-117
126
117
+9
120avg 108
A27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
149-136
149
136
+13
150avg 108
A29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
23-22
28-30
34-31
27-32
26-30
37-25
43-37
29-24
28-24
28-36
31-20
40-30
24-25
37-49
22-35
33-29
25-27
31-39
29-16
33-28
33-23
34-21
30-22
40-25
32-33
43-27
29-31
38-37
28-26
19-34
21-32
31-27
26-24
37-39
32-27
34-30
39-39
46-38
30-29
245.6Avg total
126.1Scored
119.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)117.2112.8230.0+4.572%
Season at home (37)119.9111.9231.8+8.181%
Season away (39)114.7113.6228.3+1.164%
Last 10 (10)126.1119.5245.6+6.670%
Last 5 (5)131.0118.4249.4+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)118.6111.6230.2+7.083%
vs Weaker (12)133.7119.8253.4+13.992%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
115-93
115
93
+22
108avg 111
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
134-125
134
125
+9
132avg 111
A12/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
109-111
109
111
-2
95avg 111
A14/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
104-102
104
102
+2
92avg 111
A16/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
126-112
126
112
+14
125avg 111
A18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
117-118
117
118
-1
111avg 111
A19/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
132-109
132
109
+23
129avg 111
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
120-95
120
95
+25
115avg 111
H24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
137-93
137
93
+44
142avg 111
H26/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
111-130
111
130
-19
103avg 111
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-28
25-17
34-27
21-21
37-38
34-23
30-28
33-36
29-31
26-31
25-23
29-26
23-23
21-20
33-28
27-31
32-24
31-24
26-22
37-42
34-24
30-33
27-31
26-30
30-32
30-22
40-31
32-24
34-32
26-23
32-21
28-19
30-32
38-26
28-19
41-16
23-29
28-35
27-35
33-31
229.3Avg total
120.5Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)118.0112.0230.0+6.068%
Season at home (37)121.1111.0232.1+10.176%
Season away (39)115.1112.9228.1+2.262%
Last 10 (10)120.5108.8229.3+11.770%
Last 5 (5)123.4109.0232.4+14.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)116.3114.6230.9+1.750%
vs Weaker (20)117.1109.7226.8+7.465%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
Milwaukee BucksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H17/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H20/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A29/03
NBA
117.8Avg total
61.5Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.455.3117.7+7.077%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.355.1117.4+7.179%-
Last 30 away (16)62.455.5117.9+6.975%-
Last 10 (10)61.556.3117.8+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)66.858.4125.2+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)58.054.4112.4+3.667%-
vs Weaker (12)68.956.8125.7+12.292%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A12/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A14/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A16/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A19/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H26/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A28/03
NBA
114.3Avg total
59.6Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.454.6114.0+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.152.9114.0+8.386%-
Last 30 away (16)57.856.1113.9+1.756%-
Last 10 (10)59.654.7114.3+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)60.657.6118.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)58.355.7114.0+2.670%-
vs Weaker (20)59.954.0113.9+5.970%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 126.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.632.6
63.2%
54.5%65.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.914.5
36.3%
35.8%43.5
🏀 Free throws23.417.4
74.4%
78.1%17.4
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 120.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.827.6
60.3%
54.5%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.016.4
37.3%
35.8%49.2
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
78.1%16.1
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLWWWLWWL
Boston Celtics
LWWWLWWLWW
#1
League position
#3
+6.2
Net rating
+11.5
118.9
Offensive rating
118.7
112.6
Defensive rating
107.2
59.4%
Effective FG%
58.1%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
12.2%
Turnover %
10.6%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.3%
3-point %
37.3%
61.6%
Assist %
63.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 118.7Defence112.6 · 107.2Shooting59.4% · 58.1%3-point %36.3% · 37.3%Ball care12.2% · 10.6%Off. rebounds21.6% · 19.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/23AIndiana Pacers149-136
27/03/23ADetroit Pistons126-117
26/03/23ADenver Nuggets106-129
25/03/23AUtah Jazz144-116
23/03/23HSan Antonio Spurs130-94
20/03/23HToronto Raptors118-111
17/03/23HIndiana Pacers123-139
15/03/23APhoenix Suns116-104
14/03/23ASacramento Kings133-124
12/03/23AGolden State Warriors116-125 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/23AWashington Wizards111-130
26/03/23HSan Antonio Spurs137-93
24/03/23HIndiana Pacers120-95
22/03/23ASacramento Kings132-109
19/03/23AUtah Jazz117-118
18/03/23APortland Trail Blazers126-112
16/03/23AMinnesota Timberwolves104-102
14/03/23AHouston Rockets109-111
12/03/23AAtlanta Hawks134-125
09/03/23HPortland Trail Blazers115-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeLWLWW81%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763739
Win %72%81%64%
Points / game117.2119.9114.7
Allowed / game112.8111.9113.6
Point differential+4.5+8.1+1.1
Avg total230.0231.8228.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)57% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %7%3%10%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL68%
HomeLLWWW76%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763739
Win %68%76%62%
Points / game118.0121.1115.1
Allowed / game112.0111.0112.9
Point differential+6.0+10.1+2.2
Avg total230.0232.1228.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%49%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (22)50% (10)58% (12)
Overtime %14%16%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks76552172%117.2112.8+4.5
2 Boston Celtics76522468%118.0112.0+6.0
3 Denver Nuggets75512468%116.8112.7+4.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers76502666%115.2110.5+4.6
5 Memphis Grizzlies76482863%116.9112.7+4.2
6 Cleveland Cavaliers77482962%112.3106.7+5.6
7 Sacramento Kings76463061%121.0118.0+2.9
8 New York Knicks77443357%115.4112.5+2.9
9 Phoenix Suns76413554%113.6111.7+1.9
10 Brooklyn Nets76413554%113.5112.8+0.7
11 Los Angeles Clippers77413653%113.3112.8+0.5
12 Golden State Warriors77403752%118.2117.6+0.6
13 Miami Heat77403752%108.7109.8-1.1
14 Minnesota Timberwolves77393851%115.7115.9-0.2
15 New Orleans Pelicans76383850%114.3112.5+1.8
16 Toronto Raptors76383850%112.9111.6+1.2
17 Atlanta Hawks76383850%118.0117.8+0.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers76383850%116.4116.6-0.1
19 Oklahoma City Thunder77383949%117.5116.4+1.1
20 Dallas Mavericks77374048%113.8113.3+0.5
21 Chicago Bulls76364047%113.3112.5+0.8
22 Utah Jazz76364047%117.2117.8-0.6
23 Washington Wizards76344245%113.1113.8-0.7
24 Indiana Pacers77334443%115.9119.1-3.2
25 Orlando Magic76324442%111.7114.2-2.4
26 Portland Trail Blazers76324442%113.4116.4-3.0
27 Charlotte Hornets77265134%111.5117.3-5.8
28 San Antonio Spurs76195725%112.1122.6-10.5
29 Houston Rockets77185923%110.4118.9-8.5
30 Detroit Pistons76166021%110.7118.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2621272599
Boston Celtics34413926140
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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