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Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 118-111
33-29 25-27 31-39 29-16
Position#1
Record50-20
FormWLWWL
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game112.4
vs
Position#18
Record35-36
FormLLWWW
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game112.1
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
06 Nov 2026
MIL107
TOR121
22 Feb 2026
MIL94
TOR122
18 Dec 2025
MIL105
TOR111
17 Jan 2025
MIL130
TOR112
12 Nov 2024
MIL99
TOR85
05 Apr 2024
MIL111
TOR117
19 Mar 2023
MIL118
TOR111
17 Jan 2023
MIL130
TOR122
15 Jan 2022
MIL96
TOR103
05 Jan 2022
MIL111
TOR117
18 Feb 2021
MIL96
TOR110
16 Feb 2021
MIL113
TOR124
10 Aug 2020
MIL106
TOR114
02 Nov 2019
MIL115
TOR105
23 May 2019
MIL v TOR
upcoming
17 May 2019
MIL125
TOR103
15 May 2019
MIL108
TOR100
05 Jan 2019
MIL116
TOR123
29 Oct 2018
MIL124
TOR109
05 Jan 2018
MIL110
TOR129
27 Apr 2017
MIL89
TOR92
22 Apr 2017
MIL76
TOR87
20 Apr 2017
MIL104
TOR77
04 Mar 2017
MIL101
TOR94
25 Nov 2016
MIL99
TOR105
15 Mar 2016
MIL89
TOR107
26 Dec 2015
MIL90
TOR111
19 Jan 2015
MIL89
TOR92
05 Apr 2014
MIL98
TOR102
02 Nov 2013
MIL90
TOR97
06 Apr 2013
MIL100
TOR83
02 Mar 2013
MIL122
TOR114
23 Apr 2012
MIL92
TOR86
11 Apr 2011
MIL93
TOR86
08 Feb 2011
MIL92
TOR74
20 Jan 2010
MIL113
TOR107
09 Dec 2009
MIL117
TOR95
05 Jan 2009
MIL107
TOR97
01 Nov 2008
MIL87
TOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
118-104
118
104
+14
113avg 107
A01/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
139-117
139
117
+22
134avg 107
H02/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
130-133
130
133
-3
131avg 107
H05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
117-111
117
111
+6
116avg 107
A06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
134-123
134
123
+11
136avg 107
A08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
118-113
118
113
+5
115avg 107
H10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
106avg 107
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
133-124
133
124
+9
133avg 107
A14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
116-104
116
104
+12
107avg 107
A15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
123-139
123
139
-16
116avg 107
H17/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-34
30-28
39-23
27-19
31-29
45-37
32-30
31-21
29-29
30-24
40-32
31-48
34-28
25-20
24-32
34-31
36-26
34-34
32-32
32-31
37-20
27-27
23-33
31-33
26-28
23-22
28-30
34-31
27-32
26-30
37-25
43-37
29-24
28-24
28-36
31-20
40-30
24-25
37-49
22-35
243.7Avg total
124.4Scored
119.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)116.2112.4228.6+3.971%
Season at home (35)119.7112.4232.1+7.380%
Season away (35)112.8112.3225.1+0.463%
Last 10 (10)124.4119.3243.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)121.2121.0242.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)116.9110.9227.8+6.076%
vs Weaker (9)131.9121.4253.3+10.489%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
93-118
93
118
-25
76avg 101
A26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
104-98
104
98
+6
93avg 101
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
108-119
108
119
-11
101avg 101
A03/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
116-109 OT
116
109
+7
108avg 101
A04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
113-118
113
118
-5
110avg 101
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
100-108
100
108
-8
82avg 101
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
112-122
112
122
-10
104avg 101
A11/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
125-110
125
110
+15
118avg 101
H14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
128-111
128
111
+17
126avg 101
H16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-107
122
107
+15
115avg 101
H18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-34
24-30
24-28
17-26
24-23
20-23
26-26
34-26
20-24
30-35
28-30
30-30
26-30
27-23
33-26
19-26
34-29
27-29
27-25
25-35
25-17
24-32
25-34
26-25
35-31
27-39
28-15
22-37
49-30
23-26
26-36
27-18
29-28
35-31
29-28
35-24
32-26
34-32
28-27
28-22
224.1Avg total
112.1Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)112.9112.1225.0+0.949%
Season at home (36)114.3110.6225.0+3.764%
Season away (35)111.5113.5225.0-2.134%
Last 10 (10)112.1112.0224.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)117.4111.6229.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)104.0106.0210.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (23)115.0115.0230.0-0.148%
vs Weaker (6)115.0106.2221.2+8.8100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
Milwaukee BucksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A01/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H02/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H17/03
NBA
115.4Avg total
60.3Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.555.2115.7+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.958.2121.1+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)58.452.6111.0+5.956%-
Last 10 (10)60.355.1115.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)57.452.4109.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)56.753.7110.4+3.052%-
vs Weaker (9)69.358.7128.0+10.778%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A03/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A11/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H18/03
NBA
114.5Avg total
57.3Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.956.9115.9+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.155.8115.8+4.377%-
Last 30 away (17)58.157.8115.9+0.235%-
Last 10 (10)57.357.2114.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)62.658.4121.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.050.0107.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)59.659.2118.7+0.443%-
vs Weaker (6)56.849.5106.3+7.383%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 124.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.628.5
57.5%
54.5%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.916.7
40.8%
35.8%50.1
🏀 Free throws22.517.3
76.9%
78.1%17.3
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 112.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.731.9
51.7%
54.5%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.3
36.9%
35.8%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.814.4
80.9%
78.1%14.4
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWLWWWLWW
Toronto Raptors
WWWLLLWLWL
#1
League position
#18
+4.8
Net rating
+0.1
118.1
Offensive rating
113.2
113.3
Defensive rating
113.1
59.2%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
12.9%
Turnover %
12.9%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.19
40.8%
3-point %
36.9%
63.9%
Assist %
60.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 113.2Defence113.3 · 113.1Shooting59.2% · 52.9%3-point %40.8% · 36.9%Ball care12.9% · 12.9%Off. rebounds22.0% · 29.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/23HIndiana Pacers123-139
15/03/23APhoenix Suns116-104
14/03/23ASacramento Kings133-124
12/03/23AGolden State Warriors116-125 OT
10/03/23HBrooklyn Nets118-113
08/03/23AOrlando Magic134-123
06/03/23AWashington Wizards117-111
05/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers130-133
02/03/23HOrlando Magic139-117
01/03/23ABrooklyn Nets118-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-107
16/03/23HOklahoma City Thunder128-111
14/03/23HDenver Nuggets125-110
11/03/23ALos Angeles Lakers112-122
09/03/23ALos Angeles Clippers100-108
07/03/23ADenver Nuggets113-118
04/03/23AWashington Wizards116-109 OT
03/03/23AWashington Wizards108-119
01/03/23HChicago Bulls104-98
26/02/23ACleveland Cavaliers93-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWWLWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703535
Win %71%80%63%
Points / game116.2119.7112.8
Allowed / game112.4112.4112.3
Point differential+3.9+7.3+0.4
Avg total228.6232.1225.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%43%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)57% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %7%3%11%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW49%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLWLLL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713635
Win %49%64%34%
Points / game112.9114.3111.5
Allowed / game112.1110.6113.5
Point differential+0.9+3.7-2.1
Avg total225.0225.0225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (22)44% (9)31% (13)
Overtime %7%3%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks70502071%116.2112.4+3.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers70482269%115.5110.5+5.1
3 Boston Celtics72492368%117.6112.3+5.4
4 Denver Nuggets72482467%116.6112.9+3.8
5 Cleveland Cavaliers73452862%112.2106.6+5.5
6 Memphis Grizzlies70432761%116.1112.2+3.9
7 Sacramento Kings70432761%121.1118.2+2.9
8 New York Knicks72423058%115.1112.2+2.9
9 Brooklyn Nets71393255%113.4112.8+0.5
10 Phoenix Suns71383354%113.4111.6+1.8
11 Miami Heat73393453%109.0109.5-0.5
12 Los Angeles Clippers71373452%112.8112.7+0.1
13 Dallas Mavericks71363551%113.8113.3+0.6
14 Golden State Warriors72363650%118.3118.1+0.2
15 Oklahoma City Thunder71353649%117.9116.4+1.5
16 Toronto Raptors71353649%112.9112.1+0.9
17 Atlanta Hawks71353649%117.4117.6-0.3
18 Minnesota Timberwolves72353749%115.6116.0-0.4
19 Utah Jazz70343649%117.2117.2+0.0
20 New Orleans Pelicans71343748%113.9113.4+0.5
21 Los Angeles Lakers71343748%116.5117.0-0.5
22 Chicago Bulls70333747%113.5112.6+1.0
23 Washington Wizards71323945%112.8113.5-0.7
24 Indiana Pacers71323945%115.9118.3-2.4
25 Portland Trail Blazers70313944%114.4116.1-1.7
26 Orlando Magic71294241%111.6114.5-2.8
27 Charlotte Hornets72225031%111.2117.5-6.3
28 San Antonio Spurs71195227%112.8122.1-9.3
29 Houston Rockets71185325%110.3118.1-7.8
30 Detroit Pistons72165622%110.9118.5-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks33253129118
Toronto Raptors29273916111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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