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Botafogo vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 89-102
22-22 18-25 21-29 28-26
Position#16
Record10-26
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#4
Record26-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game78.8
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Botafogo v Flamengo
11 Apr 2026
BOTA89
FLAM102
29 Mar 2025
BOTA85
FLAM92
20 Apr 2024
BOTA87
FLAM92
06 Feb 2024
BOTA78
FLAM102
24 Mar 2020
BOTA v FLAM
upcoming
14 May 2019
BOTA75
FLAM90
03 May 2019
BOTA77
FLAM79
01 Mar 2019
BOTA67
FLAM73
12 Mar 2018
BOTA84
FLAM90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A06/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H12/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
62-93
62
93
-31
H16/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A24/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H03/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-106
71
106
-35
H09/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
13-21
25-23
20-26
17-23
20-14
19-27
27-18
10-16
23-20
18-23
22-20
27-21
17-28
21-19
20-11
25-20
17-19
8-22
12-32
21-6
18-18
15-25
14-18
19-19
24-6
20-21
15-25
22-18
11-27
17-18
22-23
25-15
22-15
13-26
20-14
28-28
15-32
14-23
14-23
157.3Avg total
75.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)72.782.7155.4-10.028%
Season at home (18)74.981.1155.9-6.239%
Season away (18)70.684.3154.9-13.817%
Last 10 (10)75.382.0157.3-6.750%
Last 5 (5)73.880.0153.8-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)71.983.6155.5-11.722%
vs Similar (7)77.679.3156.9-1.757%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#3
W
101-99
101
99
+2
H06/03
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Pinheiros
#2
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H20/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H23/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A31/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A02/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H06/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H08/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-19
23-26
22-21
23-33
25-16
18-24
12-17
22-18
20-30
21-15
17-16
22-14
18-13
26-20
30-19
27-19
26-21
16-21
18-11
24-26
23-23
21-28
19-13
24-25
21-22
29-27
18-15
23-32
18-19
15-13
21-23
20-21
24-23
20-16
24-26
18-28
34-15
29-23
8-25
19-21
170.8Avg total
87.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)86.978.8165.7+8.072%
Season at home (18)88.476.7165.2+11.783%
Season away (18)85.380.9166.2+4.361%
Last 10 (10)87.183.7170.8+3.460%
Last 5 (5)85.687.6173.2-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.286.6165.8-7.440%
vs Similar (9)87.383.3170.7+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.080.4166.4+5.662%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
BotafogoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A06/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A24/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H03/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H09/04
NBB
78.0Avg total
39.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.978.9-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.339.578.8-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)36.542.478.9-5.920%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.378.0+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.877.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.840.878.6-3.035%-
vs Similar (7)38.441.379.7-2.929%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#3
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H06/03
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Pinheiros
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A31/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A02/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H06/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H08/04
NBB
87.4Avg total
46.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.885.4+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.040.287.2+6.869%-
Last 30 away (14)41.941.583.4+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)46.041.487.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.888.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.443.886.2-1.440%-
vs Similar (9)46.041.087.0+5.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.639.884.3+4.869%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.5
52.7%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.6
28.4%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.711.5
65.0%
72.8%11.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.9
52.2%
52.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.8
38.8%
32.5%38.4
🏀 Free throws19.914.9
74.9%
72.8%14.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LWLWWLWLWL
Flamengo
WLLLLWWWWW
#16
League position
#4
-5.5
Net rating
+4.7
88.8
Offensive rating
100.0
94.4
Defensive rating
95.3
48.6%
Effective FG%
55.2%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.4%
3-point %
38.8%
62.3%
Assist %
63.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.8 · 100.0Defence94.4 · 95.3Shooting48.6% · 55.2%3-point %28.4% · 38.8%Ball care14.1% · 14.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Botafogo   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Botafogo wins
9
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
29/12/25Flamengo v Botafogo104-71
29/03/25Botafogo v Flamengo85-92
13/11/24Flamengo v Botafogo91-67
27/04/24Flamengo v Botafogo78-56
20/04/24Botafogo v Flamengo87-92
06/02/24Botafogo v Flamengo78-102
07/11/23Flamengo v Botafogo92-69
25/11/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-72
15/05/19Botafogo v Flamengo75-90
11/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo77-81
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/26HMinas71-106
06/04/26HCruzeiro80-70
03/04/26HPaulistano72-86
24/03/26AUniao Corinthians78-71
22/03/26ACaxias do Sul68-67
16/03/26HPinheiros62-93
12/03/26HOsasco85-79
06/03/26ABrasilia73-79
04/03/26ARio Claro83-82
19/02/26HBauru81-87
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26HCruzeiro90-84
06/04/26HMinas86-93
02/04/26ACaxias do Sul74-76
31/03/26AUniao Corinthians91-96
25/03/26ABrasilia87-89
23/03/26HPaulistano84-79
20/03/26HOsasco101-71
19/03/26HPinheiros80-75
14/03/26AAstros77-75
06/03/26HAstros101-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL28%
HomeWLLWL39%
AwayLWLWW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %28%39%17%
Points / game72.774.970.6
Allowed / game82.781.184.3
Point differential-10.0-6.2-13.8
Avg total155.4155.9154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW72%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLLLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %72%83%61%
Points / game86.988.485.3
Allowed / game78.876.780.9
Point differential+8.0+11.7+4.3
Avg total165.7165.2166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%44%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3630683%91.076.7+14.3
2 Pinheiros3729878%85.274.6+10.6
3 Minas3628878%88.381.9+6.4
4 Brasilia3627975%81.471.9+9.5
5 Flamengo36261072%86.978.8+8.0
6 Corinthians Paulista36251169%84.879.2+5.6
7 Paulistano36231364%83.478.2+5.2
8 Bauru36211558%81.979.0+2.9
9 Sao Jose36211558%82.380.5+1.8
10 Mogi36201656%76.471.2+5.2
11 Unifacisa36181850%81.180.2+0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians36181850%79.581.4-1.9
13 Caxias do Sul36171947%74.176.6-2.5
14 Cruzeiro36122433%79.885.2-5.4
15 Rio Claro36112531%78.185.8-7.7
16 Botafogo36102628%72.782.7-10.0
17 Pato3672919%72.480.3-7.9
18 Cearense3672919%76.789.1-12.3
19 Osasco3763116%76.188.2-12.2
20 Vasco3653114%70.580.9-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2218212889
Flamengo22252926102
← all games of the day
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