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Breogan vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-106
24-29 22-27 27-27 22-23
Position#11
Record8-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game92.3
Breogan
Spain
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#4
Record12-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game81.8
SpainACBRound 19· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Breogan v Murcia
03 Jan 2027
BRE v MUR
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
BRE95
MUR106
22 Mar 2025
BRE70
MUR86
17 Dec 2023
BRE74
MUR83
07 May 2023
BRE60
MUR65
31 Oct 2021
BRE94
MUR89
10 Feb 2019
BRE77
MUR73
09 Jan 2011
BRE73
MUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#12
L
80-103
80
103
-23
66avg 77
A06/12
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
96-108
96
108
-12
86avg 77
H13/12
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
100-99
100
99
+1
90avg 77
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 77
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
100-103
100
103
-3
86avg 77
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
98-82
98
82
+16
100avg 77
H03/01
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
99-104
99
104
-5
113avg 77
A10/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
104-101
104
101
+3
no box
A17/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
74avg 77
H24/01
ACB
Granada
#18
W
83-64
83
64
+19
81avg 77
A31/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
16-30
23-24
27-19
24-33
27-26
20-22
25-27
21-23
24-24
26-22
29-30
18-17
17-26
19-11
21-29
25-18
23-32
30-27
22-26
22-25
28-18
22-17
26-22
23-28
15-34
30-20
31-22
25-25
19-31
34-24
26-21
19-19
24-24
22-27
20-33
17-19
17-17
26-10
23-18
187.0Avg total
92.0Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)90.492.3182.7-1.844%
Season at home (9)94.494.7189.1-0.244%
Season away (9)86.489.9176.3-3.444%
Last 10 (10)92.095.0187.0-3.040%
Last 5 (5)93.890.8184.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)82.391.6173.9-9.329%
vs Similar (12)93.195.1188.2-2.042%
vs Weaker (4)83.577.2160.8+6.275%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Granada
#18
W
86-79
86
79
+7
70avg 78
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
62avg 78
H30/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
72-77
72
77
-5
61avg 78
A03/01
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
82-96
82
96
-14
69avg 78
A10/01
ACB
Rostock
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
H18/01
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 78
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
77avg 78
A25/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
83avg 78
H01/02
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
92-66
92
66
+26
86avg 78
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
23-24
21-22
24-14
18-22
14-19
23-26
25-24
18-19
26-24
8-16
20-18
17-18
23-23
15-23
27-32
14-18
24-21
23-17
24-21
18-24
27-10
32-20
13-30
21-15
28-19
15-24
16-17
24-20
24-17
21-25
10-17
18-30
24-21
19-17
23-15
22-16
21-20
28-10
21-20
165.9Avg total
83.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.681.8169.3+5.867%
Season at home (9)86.380.4166.8+5.978%
Season away (9)88.883.1171.9+5.756%
Last 10 (10)83.982.0165.9+1.960%
Last 5 (5)86.880.0166.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (6)83.784.8168.5-1.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)88.076.7164.7+11.374%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
BreoganMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#12
L
30-60
30
60
-30
A06/12
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H13/12
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H03/01
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A10/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A17/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H24/01
ACB
Granada
#18
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A31/01
ACB
91.7Avg total
41.8Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.687.0-2.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.543.587.1+0.027%-
Last 30 away (15)41.145.786.9-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)41.849.991.7-8.110%-
Last 5 (5)41.848.089.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.142.083.1-0.921%-
vs Similar (12)44.749.293.9-4.633%-
vs Weaker (4)39.540.079.5-0.525%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/01
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/01
ACB
Rostock
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H18/01
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A25/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/02
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
82.1Avg total
42.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.782.7+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.938.479.2+2.556%-
Last 30 away (14)45.541.186.6+4.464%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.982.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.483.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (6)43.043.286.2-0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.139.082.1+4.165%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.5
55.7%
50.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.4
37.4%
42.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.617.7
81.9%
74.7%17.7
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.0
50.3%
50.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.2
34.7%
42.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.7
74.1%
74.7%15.7
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLWLWLLWLL
Murcia
WWLWWWLLLW
#11
League position
#4
+0.2
Net rating
+3.8
113.5
Offensive rating
103.8
113.2
Defensive rating
100.0
55.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
38.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.4%
3-point %
34.7%
58.0%
Assist %
56.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 103.8Defence113.2 · 100.0Shooting55.9% · 51.0%3-point %37.4% · 34.7%Ball care14.9% · 15.3%Off. rebounds31.5% · 38.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Breogan wins
6
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Murcia v Breogan83-96
22/03/25Breogan v Murcia70-86
16/11/24Murcia v Breogan79-63
12/05/24Murcia v Breogan68-61
17/12/23Breogan v Murcia74-83
07/05/23Breogan v Murcia60-65
29/09/22Murcia v Breogan70-84
23/03/22Murcia v Breogan91-72
31/10/21Breogan v Murcia94-89
10/02/19Breogan v Murcia77-73
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AGranada83-64
24/01/26HReal Madrid85-103
17/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra104-101
10/01/26AManresa99-104
03/01/26HUnicaja98-82
29/12/25HBaskonia100-103
27/12/25AJoventut Badalona75-83
21/12/25HBilbao100-99
13/12/25HTenerife96-108
06/12/25ABasquet Girona80-103
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HTrefl Sopot92-66
01/02/26HBarcelona84-83
25/01/26AUnicaja88-92 OT
21/01/26ASzombathely80-75
18/01/26HBasket Zaragoza90-84
14/01/26HRostock85-77
10/01/26ABilbao82-96
03/01/26AGran Canaria72-77
30/12/25HReal Madrid80-91
27/12/25AGranada86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW44%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%44%44%
Points / game90.494.486.4
Allowed / game92.394.789.9
Point differential-1.8-0.2-3.4
Avg total182.7189.1176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW67%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game87.686.388.8
Allowed / game81.880.483.1
Point differential+5.8+5.9+5.7
Avg total169.3166.8171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1816289%92.582.2+10.3
2 Valencia1814478%94.980.7+14.2
3 Unicaja1913668%88.284.2+3.9
4 Barcelona1812667%87.780.5+7.2
5 Murcia1812667%87.681.8+5.8
6 Baskonia1711665%93.788.8+4.9
7 Tenerife1911858%87.284.5+2.6
8 Joventut Badalona1810856%83.681.4+2.2
9 Bilbao1810856%84.385.1-0.8
10 Basquet Girona189950%86.490.2-3.7
11 Breogan1881044%90.492.3-1.8
12 Forca Lleida1881044%81.186.7-5.6
13 Manresa1871139%85.492.4-7.1
14 Gran Canaria1761135%78.182.6-4.5
15 Basket Zaragoza1861233%86.791.7-5.0
16 MoraBanc Andorra1951426%84.591.8-7.3
17 San Pablo Burgos1941521%87.692.2-4.6
18 Granada181176%79.990.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2422272295
Murcia29272723106
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