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Breogan vs Murcia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game98.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game93.3
SpainACBRound 16· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Breogan v Murcia
03 Jan 2027
BRE v MUR
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
BRE95
MUR106
22 Mar 2025
BRE70
MUR86
17 Dec 2023
BRE74
MUR83
07 May 2023
BRE60
MUR65
31 Oct 2021
BRE94
MUR89
10 Feb 2019
BRE77
MUR73
09 Jan 2011
BRE73
MUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
126-80
126
80
+46
128avg 91
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 91
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 91
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 91
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 91
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 91
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 91
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 91
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
110-90
110
90
+20
107avg 91
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
32-22
37-18
32-24
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
20-23
20-16
30-30
21-30
202.8Avg total
106.0Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)102.798.7201.4+4.057%
Season at home (3)105.099.7204.7+5.367%
Season away (4)101.098.0199.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)106.096.8202.8+9.260%
Last 5 (5)101.698.4200.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar (12)91.993.3185.2-1.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)104.493.2197.6+11.270%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 80
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
85-58
85
58
+27
89avg 80
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 80
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 80
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
93-116
93
116
-23
78avg 80
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#13
W
88-81
88
81
+7
74avg 80
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 80
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#17
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 80
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
98-66
98
66
+32
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
34-21
26-19
25-25
40-33
20-22
19-25
16-16
16-27
29-19
21-18
15-11
33-18
173.5Avg total
89.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.193.3183.4-3.143%
Season at home (4)97.590.8188.2+6.875%
Season away (3)80.396.7177.0-16.30%
Last 10 (10)89.584.0173.5+5.560%
Last 5 (5)90.883.0173.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.297.5182.8-12.225%
vs Similar (7)86.192.4178.6-6.329%
vs Weaker (19)91.979.4171.4+12.589%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
BreoganMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/11
ACB
95.8Avg total
51.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.845.891.5+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.844.892.5+3.054%-
Last 30 away (17)44.246.590.8-2.335%-
Last 10 (10)51.544.395.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)50.245.095.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (12)43.247.290.5-4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)51.542.594.0+9.080%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#17
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H11/11
Champions League
80.5Avg total
40.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.682.6+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.940.283.2+2.761%-
Last 30 away (12)40.741.181.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.980.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.483.0+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.548.887.2-10.20%-
vs Similar (7)40.442.482.9-2.043%-
vs Weaker (19)43.438.281.5+5.274%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.4
61.4%
55.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.914.3
44.8%
36.2%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
76.0%16.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.4
50.8%
55.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.7
32.7%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
76.0%19.0
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWLLWWWLWW
Murcia
WLWLWLWLWW
#7
League position
#11
+11.0
Net rating
+1.2
114.3
Offensive rating
97.1
103.4
Defensive rating
95.9
64.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
44.8%
3-point %
32.7%
59.9%
Assist %
53.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 97.1Defence103.4 · 95.9Shooting64.1% · 50.0%3-point %44.8% · 32.7%Ball care15.2% · 14.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Breogan wins
7
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26Breogan v Murcia95-106
16/11/25Murcia v Breogan83-96
22/03/25Breogan v Murcia70-86
16/11/24Murcia v Breogan79-63
12/05/24Murcia v Breogan68-61
17/12/23Breogan v Murcia74-83
07/05/23Breogan v Murcia60-65
29/09/22Murcia v Breogan70-84
23/03/22Murcia v Breogan91-72
31/10/21Breogan v Murcia94-89
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ABarcelona91-99
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84
14/09/26HRilski Sportist126-80
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBamberg98-66
08/11/26AReal Madrid71-90
31/10/26HForca Lleida125-98
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game102.7105.0101.0
Allowed / game98.799.798.0
Point differential+4.0+5.3+3.0
Avg total201.4204.7199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game90.197.580.3
Allowed / game93.390.896.7
Point differential-3.1+6.8-16.3
Avg total183.4188.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia75271%99.188.0+11.1
3 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
4 Tenerife75271%86.779.0+7.7
5 Basket Zaragoza75271%92.687.7+4.9
6 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
7 Breogan74357%102.798.7+4.0
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+2.6
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Leyma Coruna73443%91.999.9-8.0
14 Joventut Badalona72529%89.389.9-0.6
15 San Pablo Burgos72529%88.789.3-0.6
16 MoraBanc Andorra71614%86.797.4-10.7
17 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-12.7
18 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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